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US Elections
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mlawson71

Member Since Dec 11, 2015  709 posts mlawson71 Jan 09 at 11:36
I agree. His twitter comments can certain cause spikes, but I doubt they can change an overall trend.

AnneB

Member Since Dec 23, 2016  10 posts AnneB Jan 11 at 08:17
xgavinc posted:
This is old news, and actually a non-event. Market 'recovered' quickly, a 1% move on equities is a daily occurrence (nothing has to even happen for 1% moves), so attributing it as a 'Trump' event, in my opinion and perspective, more of the same propaganda. I'm not saying his comment had zero impact on GM shares, I'm saying the hype surrounding it is ridiculous.

As @mlawson71 stated, facts will always supersede sentiment, if the facts don't line up with sentiment the market goes back to where it was.

Implementation of policy will cause the trends, not twitter comments.


I see, at least thru the help of this thread it gives me new knowledge and a good way how to analyze things. Thank you so much!

xgavinc

Member Since May 11, 2011  217 posts xgavinc Jan 11 at 14:45
AnneB posted:
xgavinc posted:
This is old news, and actually a non-event. Market 'recovered' quickly, a 1% move on equities is a daily occurrence (nothing has to even happen for 1% moves), so attributing it as a 'Trump' event, in my opinion and perspective, more of the same propaganda. I'm not saying his comment had zero impact on GM shares, I'm saying the hype surrounding it is ridiculous.

As @mlawson71 stated, facts will always supersede sentiment, if the facts don't line up with sentiment the market goes back to where it was.

Implementation of policy will cause the trends, not twitter comments.


I see, at least thru the help of this thread it gives me new knowledge and a good way how to analyze things. Thank you so much!


Always a pleasure lol

For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
RichardBills

Member Since Mar 25, 2015  74 posts Richard Bills (RichardBills) Jan 17 at 15:46
mlawson71 posted:
I agree. His twitter comments can certain cause spikes, but I doubt they can change an overall trend.


Yes, you are right. I remember though there were cases in the past when algos set to react to social media posts caused quite big spikes in the market prices. Good thread, I enjoy reading the posts.
@xgavinc Thanks for your previous clarifications! smiley

mr_cenk

Member Since Mar 14, 2016  44 posts Kartal (mr_cenk) Jan 22 at 07:47
The elections are over but the speech of Trump as the new president stepping into power will be the highlight this evening! We may have a rocking New York session on all USD pairs. Buckle up guys!

togr

Member Since Feb 22, 2011  2785 posts vontogr (togr) Jan 23 at 16:19
mr_cenk posted:
The elections are over but the speech of Trump as the new president stepping into power will be the highlight this evening! We may have a rocking New York session on all USD pairs. Buckle up guys!


Not much movement due to Trump

I like what I trade, I trade what I like
togr

Member Since Feb 22, 2011  2785 posts vontogr (togr) Jan 24 at 11:09
Us elections are behind us. Trump is not strengthening USD anymore. We will see the final outcome but I except some big movements soon or later.

I like what I trade, I trade what I like
xgavinc

Member Since May 11, 2011  217 posts xgavinc Jan 24 at 11:34
Only been his first day so far, I think the market will wait for actual implementation of policy.

Signing executive orders aren't really a big deal until they are used, and all policy changes are still in process (not officially implemented yet). Democrats still appear to be running an invisible election campaign which, other than provide news noise to sift through, aren't moving markets either, as well as protests fueled by ancient false narratives [which is at least amusing - first time I have ever seen protests to get rights already provided lol].

For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
AnneB

Member Since Dec 23, 2016  10 posts AnneB Jan 27 at 09:04
togr posted:
Us elections are behind us. Trump is not strengthening USD anymore. We will see the final outcome but I except some big movements soon or later.


I think you are right especially that recently he totally made a decision for a stronger wall between US and Mexico. Ironically in this way, Mexican peso proved that it can weather Trump’s remarks as it gained grounds against the US dollar.

Source: http://www.funds-money.com/mexican-peso-touches-three-week-high/

Magiic

Member Since Jul 08, 2014  416 posts Magixs (Magiic) Jan 27 at 10:40
AnneB posted:
togr posted:
Us elections are behind us. Trump is not strengthening USD anymore. We will see the final outcome but I except some big movements soon or later.


I think you are right especially that recently he totally made a decision for a stronger wall between US and Mexico. Ironically in this way, Mexican peso proved that it can weather Trump’s remarks as it gained grounds against the US dollar.

Source: http://www.funds-money.com/mexican-peso-touches-three-week-high/


Sooner or later USd will rally, every policy regarding less regulations and pro big business will spur the USD up. Whether it' 'clever' or not is a completely different discussion.

Lets go Justice Democrats!

Keep at it
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Consumer Price Index (YoY) (4h 44min)
EUR/JPY: recovers back on to the 120 han...(24 min ago)
EURUSD 1.07875 GBPUSD 1.24688
USDJPY 111.334 USDCAD 1.33334
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