Fundamental Education
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Member Since Jan 13, 2011 7 posts
wallstreett1984
Mar 29 2011 at 01:15
Key factors that affect a Currency's value.
• Interest Rates • Economic Growth • Geo-Politics • Trade and Capital Flows • Merger and Acquisition Activity Key factors that affect a Crude Oil’s value • Crude Oil inventories • Political stability in the Middle East • Recessions causing demand cutbacks • Exchange rate of dollars: as oil is priced in dollars Most Important Economic Indicators Gross Domestic Product Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health Unemployment rate Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment Trade Balance Difference in value between imported and exported goods Monetary Policy Statement It's among the primary tools to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions; Consumer Price Index Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier |
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Member Since Aug 06, 2011 85 posts
Gary Sharp (myfxpt)
Aug 09 2011 at 22:13
Have you performed any correlation studies between the economic factors and the currency pairs concerned? For example, if UK interest rates rise by say 0.5%, whilst US rates remain on hold, what is the likely percent increase in the GBPUSD? Further, is there a time-lag between the interest rate rise and the GBPUSD rise?
I previously traded interest rate futures, and economic data correlation proved quite helpful in forecasting direction, range of forecast move, and timing. Would be interested in hearing from forex traders performing this analysis, and the results achieved. Keep it simple! |
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Member Since Aug 10, 2011 13 posts
SarahStone
Aug 16 2011 at 11:55
wallstreett1984 posted:     Key factors that affect a Currency's value. • Interest Rates • Economic Growth • Geo-Politics • Trade and Capital Flows • Merger and Acquisition Activity Key factors that affect a Crude Oil’s value • Crude Oil inventories • Political stability in the Middle East • Recessions causing demand cutbacks • Exchange rate of dollars: as oil is priced in dollars Most Important Economic Indicators Gross Domestic Product Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health Unemployment rate Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment Trade Balance Difference in value between imported and exported goods Monetary Policy Statement It's among the primary tools to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions; Consumer Price Index Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier I think it is not enough to have this info, you have to analise this info and check the right trend's moving, sometimes even this doesn't help)))Good luck to everybody)) |
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Member Since Jan 26, 2011 1367 posts
zzzero
Aug 17 2011 at 00:38
(edited Aug 17 2011 at 00:39 )
wallstreett1984 posted:
    Key factors that affect a Currency's value. • Interest Rates • Economic Growth • Geo-Politics • Trade and Capital Flows • Merger and Acquisition Activity • Current price/availability of weed Key factors that affect a Crude Oil’s value • Crude Oil inventories • Political stability in the Middle East • Recessions causing demand cutbacks • Exchange rate of dollars: as oil is priced in dollars • has chikot cornered the oil market? n/a |
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Member Since Aug 25, 2011 14 posts
Chunky_Monkey
Aug 25 2011 at 10:19
sharpforex posted:     Have you performed any correlation studies between the economic factors and the currency pairs concerned? For example, if UK interest rates rise by say 0.5%, whilst US rates remain on hold, what is the likely percent increase in the GBPUSD? Further, is there a time-lag between the interest rate rise and the GBPUSD rise? I previously traded interest rate futures, and economic data correlation proved quite helpful in forecasting direction, range of forecast move, and timing. Would be interested in hearing from forex traders performing this analysis, and the results achieved. are you sure it applies to forex-trading? as far as i'm aware most forex trading is done in the short-term, while the affects you're describing are good for long-term trading only. |
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Member Since Aug 06, 2011 85 posts
Gary Sharp (myfxpt)
Aug 25 2011 at 20:59
Chunky_Monkey posted:      sharpforex posted:    are you sure it applies to forex-trading? as far as i'm aware most forex trading is done in the short-term, while the affects you're describing are good for long-term trading only. Short-term traders are always at the mercy of the long-term direction. Keep it simple! |
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