Sharescwizard (by scwizard) Estadísticas rápidas
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scwizard Discusión
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 02 2010 at 22:46
Stocks and the US Dollar are flat or slightly lower for the month. Everyone is waiting on November when we have a important FOMC meeting, midterm elections and Black Friday. Huge uncertainty will cause people to make large bets in both directions, which will cancel each other out for the most part.
There won't be a crash this October. October crashes happen when people are certain that November's numbers will be super ugly and that we're fucked. There's huge uncertainty right now, but both sides are looking for huge moves. This will drive the VIX up a ton for sure. Long term recommendations: VXX: LONG. Gold: Long. Yen: Long after they intervene again. Stocks: Flat. Dollar: Flat. Euro: Flat. TYO: Long (short treasuries). u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 05 2010 at 04:12
I'd like to thank #forex at irc.ircforex.com
Someone Australian mentioned in the channel that there was a chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia wouldn't raise interest rates like expected. This lead to me placing limit orders for a breakout around the news event which lead to profit! u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 05 2010 at 04:18
u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 05 2010 at 18:10
You may be wondering what's up with a 5$ AU trade I lost recently. Well I was surprised to when I woke up and I found myself down five dollars. I had a limit order set that I forgot to cancel.
Everyone makes mistakes. I'm short USD/SEK now, the plan is to close the trade after Wednesday's New York market closes. Of course I'm regretting not going long gold instead (or perhaps as well). u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 06 2010 at 16:20
Dollar being driven down, but it has no effect on markets. This is big!
u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 06 2010 at 23:21
So my tea leaves said that gold would have a technical pullback, so I short it before my 5:20 class.
Two hours later, I get home and go to #forex and the first thing I see is people saying 'I wouldn't be surprised if gold hit 9000 today.' I check my position panicked and... it's in profit. My face: -.- u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 07 2010 at 06:22
u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 08 2010 at 06:19
People are saying there are rumors of intervention on UJ at 82.10. Rumors are wrong 110% of the time. My price target on UJ is below 80.00.
On an unrelated note, I'm waking up early tomorrow (today) for NFP. it'll be fun :) Also a dead goose formation is taking shape on XAU/USD. Be careful! u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 08 2010 at 08:35
I should scalp EU more. Oanda's crazy low spreads mean that I'm not even losing very much money when I do so, and it's lots of fun.
I really gotta nap before NFP... u gotta skate |
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Miembro desde Oct 02, 2010 94 mensajes
Paul Dejean (scwizard)
Oct 08 2010 at 21:41
Couldn't trade NFP due to technical difficulties. Which is good because it was a wierd one and I would have lost a lot of money.
Wheat, Corn, Soybeans, Oats all lock limit up in the futures. I still believe that there won't be a crash this October, but I'm very scared here. u gotta skate |
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