The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. Generally speaking, if the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the AUD.
The hosing price index, released by the National Bureau of Statistics, is a key indicator for economy, as rising prices usually encourages new construction, and therefore, growth for the country. A high reading is seen as positive or (Bullish) for the CNY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Conference Board LEI for China aggregates six economic indicators that measure economic activity in China. Each of the LEI components has proven accurate on its own.
The FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) is released by the Ministry of Commerce of the People’s Republic of China presents the total investment capital made by foreign enterprises, economic organizations and individuals (including overseas Chinese, Hong Kong and Macao compatriots, and Chinese enterprises registered abroad) in accordance with Chinese relevant policies, laws and regulations, with cash, goods, technology start-up wholly foreign-owned enterprises in China, and Chinese domestic companies or economic entities, foreign joint ventures, cooperative enterprises or joint development of resources for investment (including reinvestment of foreign investment income), and projects approved by the relevant governmental departments. A large foreign direct investment is indicative of overall growth and demand in the China economy. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CNY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish) for the CNY.
The Industrial Production released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry measures outputs of the Japanese factories and mines. Changes in industrial production are widely followed as a major indicator of strength in the manufacturing sector. A high reading is seen as bullish for the JPY, whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.
The Industrial Production released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry measures outputs of the Japanese factories and mines. Changes in industrial production are widely followed as a major indicator of strength in the manufacturing sector. A high reading is seen as bullish for the JPY, whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.
The Capacity Utilization released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is the percentage of the Japanese production capacity which is actually used over the short-time period. It is indicative of overall growth and demand in the Japanese economy. A high capacity utilization stimulates inflationary pressures. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Cumulative Industrial Output released by Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation measures output of Indian factories, calculated as a weighted aggregate of goods. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Rupee, wheras a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Prelim Machine Tool Orders released by the Japan Machine Tool Builders'' Association shows movements in tool orders by manufacturers. It indicates business conditions and the overall economic condition in Japan. Generally speaking, if a large number of tool orders come out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the JPY, on the other hand, a small number is seen as negative (or bearish).
The European Central Bank's president Mario Draghi was born in 1947 in Rome, Italy. Graduated of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Draghi became the president of the European Central Bank in 2011. As part of his job in the Governing Council he gives press conferences in the back of how the ECB observes the current European economy. President's comments may determine positive or negative the Euro's trend in the short-term. Usually, if he shows a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a dovish is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Gross Wages released by the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, portraits the percentage variation of wages for that period over the same of the previous year,. Wages are considered monthly earnings on average for the working population within the economy. Generally, a high reading is considered positive for the economy as it might stimulate consumption.
The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends.Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Core Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. "Core" excludes seasonally volatile products such as food and energy in order to capture an accurate calculation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
Producer Prices Index Core Output, released by National Statistics, excludes volatile items such as food and energy. The Core PPI is generally a better measure of inflation because it excludes those items whose short-term price fluctuations can distort inflationary data.
Producer Prices Index Core Output, released by National Statistics, excludes volatile items such as food and energy. The Core PPI is generally a better measure of inflation because it excludes those items whose short-term price fluctuations can distort inflationary data.
The Producer Price Index Input released by the National Statistics is a monthly measurement of the rate of inflation experienced by the UK manufactures when buying goods and services. It captures changes in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by the UK Manufactures. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Producer Price Index Input released by the National Statistics is a monthly measurement of the rate of inflation experienced by the UK manufactures when buying goods and services. It captures changes in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by the UK Manufactures. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Producer Price Index Out released by the National Statistics is a monthly measurement of the price changes of goods produced by UK manufacturers. Generally speaking, a price hike generates higher retail prices for consumers. Thus, a high reading is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Producer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a monthly measurement of the price changes of goods produced by UK manufacturers. Generally speaking, a price hike generates higher retail prices for consumers. Thus, a high reading is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Retail Price Index released by the National Statistics is a statistical measure of a weighted average of prices of a specified set of goods and services purchased by consumers. It is widely considered as a key measure of inflation that indicates an accurate reflection of the cost of living. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Retail Price Index released by the National Statistics is a statistical measure of a weighted average of prices of a specified set of goods and services purchased by consumers. It is widely considered as a key measure of inflation that indicates an accurate reflection of the cost of living. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The unemployment rate, released by Census and Statistics Department, represents the number of unemployed people expresses as a percentage of the labour force. Unemployed people refer to the those people who have not had a job and have not performed any work for pay or profit, and have been available for work during the 7 days before enumeration.
The House Price Index released by the Office for National Statistics shows changes in housing prices with the use of mix-adjusted method. The Index shows insight into housing trends and is considered as a key indicator for inflationary pressures. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive or (bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. A positive number means that the share of optimists outweighs the share of pessimists. usually, an optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish).
The Treasury Committee is appointed by the House of Commons to examine the expenditure, administration and policy of HM Treasury, HM Revenue & Customs, and associated public bodies, including the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority.
The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. Generally speaking, an optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish). Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Euro with Germany ZEW Survey
The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. Generally speaking, an optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish). Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Euro with Germany ZEW Survey
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announces the interest rate policy. This interest rate tends to affect the exchange rate. If the Bank is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rate then it is positive, or bullish, for the TRY. Likewise if the TCMB has a dovish view on the Turkish economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate or cuts the interest rate then it is negative, or bearish.
BOE inflation letter is issued if the earlier-released CPI y/y is above 3.0% or below 1.0%. If CPI is not above 3.0% or below 1.0% this event will be removed from the calendar immediately following the CPI release. Otherwise the Tentative mark will be discarded when the exact timing of the letter is known.
The Corporate Sector Wages released by the Central Statistical Office is an indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. This figure can provide insight on the Polish employment situation. A high reading is positive for the Zloty, whereas a low reading is negative.
The Building Permits released by the US Census Bureau, at the Department of Commerce shows the number of permits for new construction projects. It implies the movement of corporate investments (US economic development). It tends to cause some volatility to the USD. Normally, the more growing number of permits, the more positive (or bullish) for the USD.
The Consumer Price Index released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistcs is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of USD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of USD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistcs is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of USD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Ex Food & Energy released by the US Department of Labor Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. Those volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Ex Food & Energy released by the US Department of Labor Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. Those volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistcs is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of USD is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Housing Starts released by the US Census Bureau, at the Department of Commerce is an indicator that tracks how many new single-family homes or buildings were constructed. For the survey each house and each single apartment are counted as one housing start. The figures include all private and publicly owned units. It indicates movements of the US housing market. Generally, a high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Johnson Redbook Index, released by Redbook Research Inc., is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9.000 stores. By dollar value, the index represents over 80% of the equivalent "official" retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce.
The Johnson Redbook Index, released by Redbook Research Inc., is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9.000 stores. By dollar value, the index represents over 80% of the equivalent "official" retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce.
Displayed in the calendar is the average yield on the bills auctioned by US Department of Treasury. Treasury bills are short-term securities maturing in one year or less.
The yield on the bills represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity.
Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation.
The Current Account released by the Statistics New Zealand is a net flow of current transactions, including goods, services, and interest payments into and out of New Zealand. A current account surplus indicates that the flow of capital into New Zealand exceeds the capital reduction. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or Bullish) for the NZD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Current Account released by the Statistics New Zealand is a net flow of current transactions, including goods, services, and interest payments into and out of New Zealand. In this case is showed as a percentage of gross domestic product. A current account surplus indicates that the flow of capital into New Zealand exceeds the capital reduction. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or Bullish) for the NZD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance is released by the Ministry of Finance and it's a seasonal measure of balance amount between import and export. A positive value shows a trade surplus while a negative value shows a trade deficit. Japan is so much dependant on exports. A high reading is positive for the JPY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Yen with Japan Trade Balance
Exports of goods and services, released by Japan Customs, consist of transactions of goods ans services (sales, barter, gifts or grants) from residents to non-residents.
Imports of goods and services, released by Ministry of Finance, consist of transactions in goods and services (purchases, barters, gifts or grants) from non-residents to residents.
The Merchandise Trade Balance Total released by the Ministry of Finance is a measure of balance amount between import and export. A positive value shows a trade surplus while a negative value shows a trade deficit. Japan is so much dependant on exports that the Japanese economy heavily relies on a trade surplus. Therefore, any variation in the figures influences the domestic economy. If a steady demand in exchange for Japanese exports is seen, that would turn into a positive. Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Yen with Japan Trade Balance
The Conference Board Australia leading Index released by the Conference Board measures future trends of the overall economic activity including employment, average manufacturing workweek, initial claims, permits for new housing construction, stock prices and yield curve. It forecasts short to mid-term growth in the Australian economy. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Westpac Leading Index released by the Melbourne Institute tracks nine gauges of economic activity, including share prices and telephone installations, to provide an indication of how the economy will perform. It tends to have an impact on the AUD volatility. Generally speaking, the more positive the reading, the better for the currency, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish)
The Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics South Africa Head Office is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of the Rand is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Rand, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics South Africa Head Office is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of the Rand is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Rand, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The minutes of the BoE MPC meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. Generally speaking, if the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the GBP.
The ZEW Survey Expectations published by the Centre for European Economic Research presents business conditions, employment conditions and other elements affecting the day to day running of a business in Switzerland. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CHF, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Displayed in the calendar is the average yield on the Federal Bonds auctioned by Deutsche Bundesbank. German Federal Bonds have maturities of above then ten years. The yield on the bonos represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity. Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation.
The MBA Mortgage Applications released by the Mortgage Bankers Association presents various mortgage applications. It is considered as a leading indicator of the U.S Housing Market. A Mortgage growth represents a healthy housing market that stimulates the overall US economy. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Industrial Output released by Central Statistical Office measures outputs of the Polish factories. Changes in industrial output are widely followed as a major indicator of strength in the manufacturing sector. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Zloty, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Producer Price Index released by the Central Statistical Office measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of Poland by producers of commodities in all states of processing. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Zloty, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Wholesale Sales released by the Statistics Canada shows value of sales made by wholesalers in Canada. Generally, a growing number in wholesales indicates increases in retail trade and consumption, that is seen as positive or bullish for the CAD, while a declining number indicates the weakened retail sectors, consumption, and the economy in Canada, that is seen as negative or bearish for the currency.
The Consumer Confidence released by the National Bank of Belgium is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Private Spending released by the INEGI is an indicator that measures the total expenditure by individuals. The level of spending can be used as an indicator of consumer optimism. It is also considered as a measure of economic growth: While the private spending stimulates inflationary pressures, it could lead to rise in interest rates. A high reading is positive (or Bullish) for the Mexican Peso.
The Private Spending released by the INEGI is an indicator that measures the total expenditure by individuals. The level of spending can be used as an indicator of consumer optimism. It is also considered as a measure of economic growth: While the private spending stimulates inflationary pressures, it could lead to rise in interest rates. A high reading is positive (or Bullish) for the Mexican Peso.
EIA Crude Oil Stock is a measure of change in crude oil storage and it's released by the Energy Information Administration. This report indicates the oil demand and the price volatility. As the oil prices have an impact on worldwide economy, some volatility for the currencies, specially for the CAD is expected. We have to take into account that Canada is the world's fourteenth largest producer of oil so a strong oil demand appreciates, or is bullish for the CAD.
The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate. This interest rate affects the whole range of interest rates set by commercial banks, building societies and other institutions for their own savers and borrowers. It also tends to affect the exchange rate. Generally speaking, if the Fed is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the USD. Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Suggested Strategies to trade the US dollar with this economic release
This report, released by Federal Reserve, includes the FOMC's projection for inflation and economic growth over the next 2 years and, more importantly, a breakdown of individual FOMC member's interest rate forecasts.
Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference
Advertisement
Following the Fed's rate decision, Ben Bernanke gives a press conference regarding monetary policy. His comments may influence the volatility of USD and determine a short-term positive or negative trend. His hawkish view is considered as positive, or bullish for the USD, whereas his dovish view is considered as negative, or bearish.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by New Zealand. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of New Zealand economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the NZD.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by New Zealand. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of New Zealand economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the NZD.
Securities investment, released by Ministry of Finance, referrers to bonds issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity in the domestic market’s currency. The report is released by the Ministry of Finance, detailing the flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents (capital inflow), and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents (capital outflow).
Securities investment, released by Ministry of Finance, referrers to bonds issued in a domestic market by a foreign entity in the domestic market’s currency. The report is released by the Ministry of Finance, detailing the flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents (capital inflow), and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents (capital outflow).
Eurogroup meetings are attended by the Eurogroup President, the Finance Minister of each Member State of the euro area, the Commissioner for economic and monetary affairs, and the President of the European Central Bank. The Chairman of the Economic and Financial Committee's Eurogroup Working Group also attends, to present the preparatory work done in that Group.
The Bulletin, published by Reserve Bank of Australia, contains articles and speeches that discuss economic and financial developments as well as the Bank's operations. Published monthly until December 2009 and thereafter quarterly.
The Foreign Exchange Transactionreleased by the Reserve Bank of Australia shows the movements of the exchange of the AUD for others, likewise others for the AUD. It indicates the climate of foreign investors into the AUD itself. This event causes volatility in the AUD. Generally, an increasing number of investments is seen as positive prospect of the Australian economy (or bullish sentiment for the AUD).
The HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the Markit Economics is an early indicator of economic health in the Chinese manufacturing sector. Any reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading under 50 shows contraction. As the Chinese economy has influence on the global economy, this economic indicator would have an impact on the Forex market.
The Coincident Index released by the Cabinet Office is a single summary statistic that tracks the current state of the Japanese economy. A rise in the index indicates an expansion of economic activity and a decline in the index indicates a contraction in economic activity. Generally speaking, a result that values above 50% signals appreciates (or is bullish for) the JPY, whereas a result that values below 50% is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Leading Economic Index released by the Cabinet Office is an economic indicator that consists of 12 indexes such as account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. It shows the performance of the Japanese Economy over the short and mid-term. Generally speaking, a result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the JPY, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
Exports of goods and services, released by Federal Customs Administration, consist of transactions in goods and services (sales, barter, gifts or grants) from residents to non-residents.
Imports of goods and services, released by Federal Customs Administration, consist of transactions in goods and services (purchases, barters, gifts or grants) from non-residents to residents.
The Producer Price Index released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland measures the average changes in prices in the German primary markets. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Producer Price Index released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland measures the average changes in prices in the German primary markets. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of commodity inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Trade Balance released by the Federal Customs Administration is a measure of balance amount between import and export. A positive value shows a trade surplus while a negative value shows a trade deficit. Any variation in the figures influences the domestic economy. Generally speaking, if a steady demand in exchange for Swiss exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the CHF.
Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Swiss Franc with the Swiss Trade Balance
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by Markit Economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in France. A result above 50 signals is bullish for the Euro, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
The Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by Markit Economics captures business conditions in the services sector. As the services sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the services PMI is an important indicator of the overall economic condition in France. A result above 50 signals is bullish for the Euro, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
The Consumer Confidence released by the Statistics Denmark is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Danish Krone, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Retail Sales released by the Statistics Denmark is a measure of changes in sales of the Danish retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Danish Krone, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the Markit economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in Germany. Normally, a result above 50 signals is bullish for the EUR, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
The Services PMI released by the Markit Economics interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. Any reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading under 50 shows contraction.
The Swiss National Bank conducts the country’s monetary policy as an independent central bank. It is obliged by the Constitution and by statute to act in accordance with the interests of the country as a whole. Its primary goal is to ensure price stability, while taking due account of economic developments. In so doing, it creates an appropriate environment for economic growth.
The Consumer Confidence released by the Statistics NL is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Unemployment Rate released by Statistics NL is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Dutch economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Dutch labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the Markit Economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in the Euro Zone. Usually a result above 50 signals is bullish for the EUR, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
The PMI monthly Composite Reports on Manufacturing and Services, released by Markit Economics, are based on surveys of over 300 business executives in private sector manufacturing companies and also 300 private sector services companies. Data is usually released on the third working day of each month. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Replies from larger companies have a greater impact on the final index numbers than those from small companies. Results are presented by question asked, showing the percentage of respondents reporting an improvement, deterioration or no change since the previous month. From these percentages, an index is derived: a level of 50.0 signals no change since the previous month, above 50.0 signals an increase (or improvement), below 50.0 a decrease (or contraction).
The PMI service released by the Markit Economics is an indicator of the economic situation in the Euro Zone services sector. It captures an overview of the condition of sales and employment. It is worth noting that the European service sector does not influence, either positively or negatively, the GDP as much as the PMI manufacturing does. Any reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading under 50 shows contraction. Usually a result above 50 is bullish for the EUR, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
The Industrial Sales released by the National Institute of Statistics shows the volume of production of Italian industries such as factories and manufacturing. An uptrend is regarded as inflationary which may anticipate interest rates to rise. If high industrial output growth comes out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the Euro.
The Industrial Sales released by the National Institute of Statistics shows the volume of production of Italian industries such as factories and manufacturing. An uptrend is regarded as inflationary which may anticipate interest rates to rise. If high industrial output growth comes out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the Euro.
The Industrial Orders released by the National Institute of Statistics is an indicator that includes shipments, inventories, and new and unfilled orders. An increase in the orders total may indicate an expansion in the Italian economy and could be an inflationary factor. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while a low reading is negative.
The Industrial Orders released by the National Institute of Statistics is an indicator that includes shipments, inventories, and new and unfilled orders. An increase in the orders total may indicate an expansion in the Italian economy and could be an inflationary factor. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while a low reading is negative.
The minutes of the BoE MPC meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. Generally speaking, if the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the GBP.
The retail Sales released by the National Statistics measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
The retail Sales released by the National Statistics measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by Census and Statistics Department, provides a measure to reflect the price level of consumer goods ands services purchased by households. Four series of Consumer Price Indices (CPI) are compiled to reflect the impact of consumer price changes on households in different expenditure ranges.
Displayed in the calendar is the average yield on the Bonos del Tesoro auctioned by Ministerio de Economía y Hacienda. Spanish bonds have maturities of above two years.
The yield on the bonos represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity.
Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation.
Displayed in the calendar is the average yield on the Bonos del Tesoro auctioned by Tesoro Público. Spanish bonds have maturities of above then five years
The yield on the bonos represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity.
Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation.
The CBI Industrial Trends Survey is released by the Confederation of British Industry and gives expert qualitative opinion from senior manufacturing executives, on past and expected trends in output, exports, prices, costs, investment intentions, business confidence and capacity utilization. Usually, if those opinions show a hawkish outlook in the manufacturing sector, that is seen as positive, or bullish, for the GBP.
The Gross Domestic Product released by Central Statistical Office is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Ireland. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while a negative trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
The NB Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Norges Bank. If the NB is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the NOK. Likewise, if the NB has a dovish view on the Norwegian economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate, it is seen as negative, or bearish.
The Unemployment Rate released by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatisticais the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the South African economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the South African labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Rand, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Counting Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor measure the number of individuals who are unemployed and are currently receiving unemployment benefits. It presents the strength in the labor market. A rise in this indicator has negative implications for consumer spending which discourage economic growth. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as negative, or bearish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as positive, or bullish.
The Initial Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor is a measure of the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance. In other words, it provides a measure of strength in the labor market. A larger than expected number indicates weakness in this market which influences the strength and direction of the US economy. Generally speaking, a decreasing number should be taken as positive or bullish for the USD.
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the Markit Economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in the United States. Readings above 50 imply the economy is expanding, making investors understood it as a bullish for the USD, whereas a result below 50 points for an economic contraction, and weighs negatively on the currency.
The Retail Sales released by INEGI measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changues reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in retail sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Mexican peso, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
The Retail Sales released by INEGI measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in retail sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the Mexican peso, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
American Petroleum Institute Monthly Report contains timely interpretation and analysis of recent developments for major products, production, imports, refinery operations, and inventories - accompanied by API's estimates of these data for the most recent month and graphs of major series, including product deliveries, crude oil production, imports, refinery activity, and inventories for the past 24 months.
The Existing Home Sales, released by the National Association of Realtors provide an estimated value of housing market conditions. As the housing market is considered as a sensitive factor to the US economy, it generates some volatility for the USD. Generally speaking, a high reading is positive for the Dollar, while a low reading is negative.
The Existing Home Sales, released by the National Association of Realtors, provide an estimated value of housing market conditions. As the housing market is considered as a sensitive factor to the US economy, it generates some volatility for the USD. Generally speaking, a high reading is positive for the Dollar, while a low reading is negative.
The Philadelphia Fed Survey is a spread index of manufacturing conditions (movements of manufacturing) within the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. This survey, served as an indicator of manufacturing sector trends, is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index (Institute for Supply Management) and the index of industrial production. It is also used as a forecast of The ISM Index. Generally, an above-the-expectaitons reading is seen as positive for the USD.
The Leading Indicators released by the Conference Board measures future trends of the overall economic activity including employment, average manufacturing workweek, initial claims, permits for new housing construction, stock prices and yield curve. It is considered as a measure for economic stability in United States. This event generates some volatility for the USD. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish).
The Consumer Confidence released by the European Commission is a leading index that measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
These data ara estimates derived from a computation process that uses both EIA (Energy Information Administration) monthly survey data and AGA (The American Gas Association) weekly survey data.
HIGH RISK WARNING: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to
trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all of your initial investment; do not invest money that you
cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions.
Any data and information is provided 'as is' solely for informational purposes, and is not intended for trading purposes or advice.
Share
(Click on an event for more information)
