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CuongVC

Membre depuis Oct 01, 2009  119 messages Cuong (CuongVC) Sep 04 2011 at 14:37 (édité à Sep 04 2011 at 14:43 )
For example (assuming 0.1 lot equal to 1 USD per pip):

Trade1: 0.1 lot x (-100 pip) = -100 USD (loss 100USD)
Trade 2: 0.1 lot x (-20 pip) = -20 USD (loss 20USD)
Trade 3: 0.5 lot x (10 pip) = + 50 USD (gain 50USD)
Trade 4: 0.5 lot x (30 pip) = + 100 USD (gain 100USD)

Total we gain 30USD even total pip = -100 -20+10+30 = -90 pips. The way myfxbook.com calculate total pips is just a sum of all pip gain or lose of all trades regarless of their lot size. If we only base on that number to say a strategy is bad or good, we may not right, IMO.

Regards,
CuongVC

If you can proof that you can make money grows, tons of money will flow to you.
NextLevelForex

Membre depuis Apr 25, 2011  248 messages Remus Miclea (NextLevelForex) Sep 04 2011 at 16:35
Wow, lots of comments since I went to bed last night! cool

And since I see so many opposing opinions, I'll do the following: rather than address each particular topic, and post my take on it, I'll give more details about what I'm looking for. I think most of you are correct from a certain point of view, and now I'll give my point of view, since that's what I'm using to judge whether is a system is a match or not.

First of all, the 2 metrics I talked about the most (Pips Expectancy and Expectancy Ratio) are not the only things I'm looking for. I hope that was obvious, but just to make sure: I'm not simply sort the systems by one or both of those metrics, and pick the ones with the highest values.

The true measure of a system's success, when talking about its place in my portfolio, is the answer to this question:

<b>Given the ability to trade up to 1 minilot (i.e. open positions are limited to that), in 1 microlot increments, how quickly can you make $100 without going into a drawdown deeper than $100?</b>.

It's up to you if you have just one trade open at a time, and use the maximum allowed size for that (1 minilot), or if you use a system that sometimes needs additional positions, in which case you limit your trades to 0.04 lots, let's say. You can even do a Martingale like this: 0.01, 0.02, 0.03 and 0.04. The final goal is to produce $100 of profit. If you can achieve that in 1 month, great! If you can do it in 2 weeks, even better! However, if it takes you 3+ months to do it, we'll probably talk about ways to reduce the time-to-target.

There are also a couple of conditions you need to be aware of, and I'll list them below:
1) hedging is permitted, FIFO is ignored
2) only Forex trading is currently allowed
3) floating DD is also subject to $100 limit
4) account must be flat over the weekend

#1 is not a restriction, but quite the opposite, and I wanted to tell you about that, since for some systems it matters
#2 will filter out some systems, some quite good, which is unfortunate, but that's what the situation is at the moment
#3 will eliminate all the systems that either use to much leverage, or let the positions build up against them; this condition and further research on my side is what triggered me to ask traders to calculate those 2 metrics; like I said, they are not the ultimate filter, they just allow me to get a good initial feeling about how well a strategy would fit my needs
#4 will further eliminate a bunch of systems, some again being quite profitable; but that condition is part of the strict risk management criteria I'm following right now, so it must be respected; systems that hold on to positions for weeks, hoping for a reversal, will be the first to suffer from this restriction. If your system is really good, I might consider it for an alternate portfolio in the future

There are many more details to be discussed, but I'll end this post now, since it is already loaded with information.

By the way, the actual lot size that you'll be allowed to trade can be much higher than in the example above, but I really want to use the 1 minilot / $100 example since it focuses on profitability, and not on the huge dollar gains. I can assure you there is great dollar gain potential in what I'm offering, but for everyone reading this thread, and for me as well, I want to first discover matching systems and only afterwards dream about how many dollars will flow into our accounts each month.

Happy trading,

Remus

He who thinks he can, and he who thinks he cannot, are both right. ~ Henry Ford
SaltyWaters

Membre depuis Mar 22, 2010  191 messages 77z3-FX.com (SaltyWaters) Sep 04 2011 at 18:55
Did I just see Greasy Monkey and Demo Boy trashing Money Maker :) LOL

Only individuals have a sense of responsibility. – Nietzsche
walker36

Membre depuis May 13, 2011  1341 messages Steve Walker (walker36) Sep 04 2011 at 19:06

SaltyWaters posted:
    Did I just see Greasy Monkey and Demo Boy trashing Money Maker :) LOL


can you PLEASE use nick names!!
so we all understand WHO IS 'Greasy Monkey' AND 'Demo Boy' AND trashing 'Money Maker'


Trade The Trend! Defend To Price!
SaltyWaters

Membre depuis Mar 22, 2010  191 messages 77z3-FX.com (SaltyWaters) Sep 04 2011 at 19:10
That's even funnier! LOL :)

Only individuals have a sense of responsibility. – Nietzsche
walker36

Membre depuis May 13, 2011  1341 messages Steve Walker (walker36) Sep 04 2011 at 19:13

SaltyWaters posted:
    That's even funnier! LOL :)


IF YOU JOIN ME I WILL MAKE LOL SLATYUNDERWATER

Trade The Trend! Defend To Price!
walker36

Membre depuis May 13, 2011  1341 messages Steve Walker (walker36) Sep 04 2011 at 19:15
YOU ARE KIND OF A PERSON WHO POST AFTER PEOPLE. NOT TO THEIR FACE!!

Trade The Trend! Defend To Price!
walker36

Membre depuis May 13, 2011  1341 messages Steve Walker (walker36) Sep 04 2011 at 19:17
Remus I wish you a luck with that kınd of people who call themselves as a TRADER.
you really have a hard job.

regards
walker

Trade The Trend! Defend To Price!
walker36

Membre depuis May 13, 2011  1341 messages Steve Walker (walker36) Sep 04 2011 at 19:24
our discussion here was about DD% and PIP.
at the end thread creator has come to the poınt of making forward tests with a certian amount of Lots which can DD% be calculated for all traders with the same %.

and this is what ı was trying to say.

if people like to call other with stupid names they can first look at the mirror.

Remus this is my last post here. I would like make some positive input here but it is not possible with that great TRADERS here.

regards
walker

Trade The Trend! Defend To Price!
copett

Membre depuis Oct 21, 2010  37 messages copett hilang ingatan (copett) Sep 05 2011 at 00:47
Oh, great............ Feeling so hot here eek

I'm sorry for being like this Remus :)

Thanks for all coment, I really appreciate with that.


ps: Mr. Cuong, you are good strategy developer,success for you :)

Regards,

copett

ZOMBIE hates my neighbour!!!
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