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EASY 25% p. Month
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Členom od Feb 24, 2012 77 príspevkov
TradeCopier2012
Apr 12 2012 at 16:31
Thanks Sherry,
you are very welcome to watch this |
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Členom od Feb 24, 2012 77 príspevkov
TradeCopier2012
Apr 12 2012 at 16:37
(upravené Apr 12 2012 at 16:42 )
actual snapshot
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Členom od Feb 24, 2012 77 príspevkov
TradeCopier2012
Apr 12 2012 at 16:52
my $10 Account, very Risky for this of course but worth to try
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Členom od Feb 07, 2011 617 príspevkov
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 13 2012 at 00:08
What's emotions go to do with trading?
I find this quite irritating for 2 reasons. The first being that someone who is doing say 2% or 4% a month quite stably for the last say 5 years can't compete with this claim even though it's primarily bullshit. And secondly the amount of regulatory changes in the last two years in fx has been substantially more than the rest of the industry for the last 15 years. In other words because of claims like this and the losses that follows for clients the industry is going to end up being so heavily regulated that most of us can't trade it. Ask any American, they're already having trouble. But hey, what do I know... Show me your pips!! |
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Členom od Feb 24, 2012 77 príspevkov
TradeCopier2012
Apr 13 2012 at 04:05
(upravené Apr 13 2012 at 04:08 )
Hey PipGnostic,
I already know your thinkin about my system and est. monthly gain so I would say you do now what you told me before and end this. I invite you to come back after one month. Meantime you can analyze the history for bad behaviour or other bad stuff. I personally know too that my claim is very high and everybody else understand all your given points against it so nothin else to speak about. btw., DD is right now at 10%. I can easily live with that one. Just calm down, relax and watch please..... |
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Členom od Feb 07, 2011 617 príspevkov
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 13 2012 at 10:58
(upravené Apr 13 2012 at 10:59 )
Not going to analyze anything. No need. You'll see your posterior in due course. Don't blame it on external factors like a tsunami next time. Got nothing to do with it. That strategy is fundamentally flawed on all levels. It can't work. It's not possible for it work.
The most obvious factors are: 1. Kurtosis : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fat-tailed_distribution Show me your pips!! |
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Členom od Feb 07, 2011 617 príspevkov
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 13 2012 at 11:05
(upravené Apr 13 2012 at 11:08 )
Read this bit very carefully and slowly:
'Many—notably Benoît Mandelbrot as well as Nassim Taleb—have noted this shortcoming of the normal distribution model and have proposed that fat tail distributions such as the stable distribution govern asset returns frequently found in finance.[2]' Mandelbrot is the fractal guy (the math used to measure mountain ranges and coast lines) and Nicholas Taleb is the Black Swan guy. Go buy their books. 'The Black–Scholes model of option pricing is based on a normal distribution. If the distribution is actually a fat-tailed one, then the model will under-price options that are far out of the money, since a 5 or 7 sigma event is much more likely than the normal distribution would predict.' Of course you'll remember Black and Scholes as LTC - biggest bankruptcy in US history before Enron, won a noble prize for their work. Some very, very clever people have seen their asses due to this. Figure it out mate. Show me your pips!! |
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Členom od Feb 07, 2011 617 príspevkov
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 13 2012 at 11:23
You see,
I'm not 100% sure yet, but I'm starting to think all the funds run fat tail systems. They've never solved this problem to, and all of them run at < 30% per annum if they are to survive for any period of time. Only the HFT guys managed more and as their are at least 100 of them competing on speed alone now against each they are down to a few percent per year. Only the biggest and the best are getting anywhere. I hope that puts things into perspective for you. Barking up the wrong tree here. No cats here. Show me your pips!! |
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Členom od Feb 24, 2012 77 príspevkov
TradeCopier2012
Apr 13 2012 at 11:50
(upravené Apr 13 2012 at 11:54 )
a little pic about my system. With this Martiangale style i think it is pretty safe to survive some events....
watch the short trades, times and lots........ no manually setups, just pure H/G/M System..... this is within my $10 account, pip steps are 25..... just to show the Martiangale behaviour so this should be it about the fat tail hopefully Prílohy:
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Členom od Feb 07, 2011 617 príspevkov
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 13 2012 at 11:58
No mate, what leverage you at? 50: 1
What you have is: Serious problem (grid) x 50 x martingale Don't believe me. Just watch it fail. When it does. Come back read all of this again. I've spent the last 3 years or so trying to solve a problem you just doubled up on. Show me your pips!! |
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