Guys i have changed my strategy from taking profit of risk reward of 1:3 to only 1:1.5. Do you guys think it will be more profitable in the long run as i have noticed a lot of trades which should have taken profit at 1:1.5 but beacause i let it run till 1:3, ,most of them have reversed resulting in only small profit. What do you think guys? please let me know, thank you.
There is a line you can cross between investing and speculating (gambling)
Managed FX as an investment should look to return 25-40% per year after fees with draw downs of less than 3-4% Max gearing used should be no more than 3:1 and a max of 2:1 is preferable.
Here are the simple sums (no gearing)
Two trades per day average win +25 average loss -15 Hit Rate of 70%
assume 20 trading days per month that a total of 480 trades per year
per month 28 wins of +25 (average) = +700 pips per month 12 losses of -15 (average) = - 180 pips
that's a gross total of 520 pips
Assume a USD account trading say EUR/USD and Cable then you have a gross profit of 5.2%
Take a 35% management fee - gives you about 3.4% net per month
Ignoring compounding that's 40.8% net after fees to the client
Remember the above are simply averages as viewed over a 12 month period - there may be times where a traded stop needs to be further than 15 pips from open (and obviously spreads and therefore trading time is a key factor) but never should more than 0.5% be risked on a single trade.
If you can do that and keep the draw downs below 3%: - You will have access to all the Assets Under Management you will be able to cope will and you will make a fortune...
In the real world you cannot sell high leveraged programs as the risk element to too great - remember savvy investors always look at the downside risk before they consider the profits!
Of course these are just my thoughts and targets from working in the sector and having my fair share of wins and losses over many years.
Hmm. You are right in general. It depends how you present your system : in high risk mode or in low risk one. All depends on the lot sizes you trade. Nothing is wrong to have 25 DD if you get 250 % profit per year. If you want to have 2.5 DD just divide your lot size by 10 and here are your 25% of sure secure profit. It is like a sportive car, you can drive on high or low speed, all depends on investor wishes.
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