EUR Bounce back in today's session from 1.1300 (2018 low) strong support to get stopped at 1.1422 Resistance represented by the 38.2% FIB right between monthly pivot 1.14127 and weekly pivot of 1.14284 on the 4 Hour chart.
Short term, expecting a move back in the 1.1375 areas or 23.6% fib before getting momentum and break through 1.1422 Resistance aiming for 1.1459 and 1.1550
Major Fundamentals tomorrow Morning Nov 2nd: EUR - Market Manufacturing PMI for Italy, France, Germany & Spain
USA - Non Farm Payroll
Let's see how it goes down tomorrow morning which will determine where the pairs heading. Stay Sharp!!
The euro rose against the US dollar on Friday to 1.1426, adding 0.16%. I believe that support is now at around 1.1301, the low of Wednesday, and resistance is likely at the level of 1.1427 - the maximum of today's trading.
On yesterday session, the EURUSD rallied with a wide range and closed near the high of the day, in addition, managed to close above Wednesday’s high, which suggests a strong bullish momentum.
The currency pair closed above the 10-day moving average that should act as a dynamic support although is trading below the 50 and the 200-day moving averages, all should provide a dynamic resistance.
The key levels to watch: daily resistance at 1.1753, a key level at 1.1684 (resistance), the 50-day moving average at 1.1555 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1555, the 10-day moving average at 1.1391 (support), a daily resistance at 1.1459, a 2018 low at 1.1300 (support) and 100 Fibonacci expansion at 1.1232 (Support).
Possible false breakout on the EURUSD. The EURUSD has been falling since the mid-September, when it bounced to the downside from the 1.1800 level and the 200 day EMA. From that level, the price retraces to the upside from the 1.1500 level to the 55 day EMA, around the 1.1600 level and falls back down to the 1.1300 level. On the daily chart of the EURUSD we can see that the pair bounces to the upside from the 1.1300 level and breaks above the 1.1400 level. But the pair falls back down and leaves behind a long upper shadow on the daily candle. If the next candle is also bearish, then the EURUSD would be confirming a false breakout and the price my drop back down to the 1.1300 level. On the other hand, if the price breaks above the 1.1400 level, then the 1.1500 may act as resistance where we can also find the 55 day EMA.
On the last Friday’s session, the EURUSD tried to rally but found enough selling pressure near 1.1459 to reverse and closed near the low of the day, however, managed to close within Thursday’s range, which suggests being slightly on the bearish side of neutral.
The currency pair is trading above the 10-day moving average that should act as a dynamic support although is trading below the 50 and the 200-day moving averages, all should provide a dynamic resistance.
The key levels to watch: daily resistance at 1.1753, a key level at 1.1684 (resistance), the 50-day moving average at 1.1546 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.1555, a daily resistance at 1.1459, the 10-day moving average at 1.1377 (support), a 2018 low at 1.1300 (support) and 100 Fibonacci expansion at 1.1232 (Support).
The euro rose against the US dollar on Monday. By the close of US trading, EUR / USD was trading at 1.1412, adding 0.20%. I believe that support is now at around 1.1301, the low of Wednesday, and resistance is likely at the level of 1.1458 - the maximum of Friday.
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