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EUR/USD
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idimitrov

Mitglied seit Apr 09, 2016  421 Beiträge idimitrov Jan 15 2017 at 08:54
At the end of the trading week, the dollar remains under pressure, continuing to digest vague news conference of elected US President D. Trump. The absence of new information about the future economic policy of the new administration makes players doubt that this year the conditions for the three Fed rate increases.

deresel

Mitglied seit Nov 16, 2015  679 Beiträge deresel Jan 15 2017 at 09:01
idimitrov posted:
At the end of the trading week, the dollar remains under pressure, continuing to digest vague news conference of elected US President D. Trump. The absence of new information about the future economic policy of the new administration makes players doubt that this year the conditions for the three Fed rate increases.


Yeah, so far Trump brings a lot of volatility and pressure for the dollar.

idimitrov

Mitglied seit Apr 09, 2016  421 Beiträge idimitrov Jan 15 2017 at 09:11
deresel posted:

Yeah, so far Trump brings a lot of volatility and pressure for the dollar.


It's possible, that Trump's administration will aim to weaker dollar, in favour to US exporters.

deresel

Mitglied seit Nov 16, 2015  679 Beiträge deresel Jan 15 2017 at 10:05
Key levels to watch for:
Support: 1.0550; 1.0370;
Resistance: 1.0815; 1.0980.

snapdragon1970

Mitglied seit Sep 12, 2015  1870 Beiträge kieran (snapdragon1970) Jan 15 2017 at 19:23
idimitrov posted:
deresel posted:

Yeah, so far Trump brings a lot of volatility and pressure for the dollar.


It's possible, that Trump's administration will aim to weaker dollar, in favour to US exporters.

That seems to be the case from what I read too.

"Mistakes are the portals of discovery",James Joyce.
stian

Mitglied seit Nov 14, 2015  308 Beiträge stian Jan 15 2017 at 19:59 (bearbeitet Jan 15 2017 at 20:00 )
snapdragon1970 posted:
idimitrov posted:
deresel posted:

Yeah, so far Trump brings a lot of volatility and pressure for the dollar.


It's possible, that Trump's administration will aim to weaker dollar, in favour to US exporters.

That seems to be the case from what I read too.

He'll first have to fix the trade balance. A weaker dollar would be net negative for both importers and industry in general. The US import raw materials like steel, aluminium and most rare earth materials. His trade war with China might lead to a a material deficit in rare earth materials as well.

In any event, such a policy will come in 2018 or 2019.

And if he ever makes the Fed agree to a crazy weaker dollar policy, OPEC will be pissed as well, risk a return to the 1970s? Don't think so. But with Trump, nothing can be entirely ruled out.

honeill

Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014  1086 Beiträge Hugo O'Neill (honeill) Jan 16 2017 at 08:39
On the last Friday’s session the EURUSD rose with a narrow range and closed in the middle of the daily range, in addition managed the currency pair managed to close within Thursday’s range, which suggests being clearly neutral neither side is showing control.

The currency pair is trading above the 10 and 50-day moving averages should act as a dynamic supports but remains trading below the 200-day moving average that also should act as dynamic resistance.

The key levels to watch are: a daily resistance at 1.0819, a key level at 1.0666 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.0622, the 50-day moving average at 1.0560 (support), the 10-day moving average at 1.0554 (support) and a daily support at 1.0462

"I trade to make money not to be right." |
honeill

Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014  1086 Beiträge Hugo O'Neill (honeill) Jan 16 2017 at 08:39
stian posted:
snapdragon1970 posted:
idimitrov posted:
deresel posted:

Yeah, so far Trump brings a lot of volatility and pressure for the dollar.


It's possible, that Trump's administration will aim to weaker dollar, in favour to US exporters.

That seems to be the case from what I read too.

He'll first have to fix the trade balance. A weaker dollar would be net negative for both importers and industry in general. The US import raw materials like steel, aluminium and most rare earth materials. His trade war with China might lead to a a material deficit in rare earth materials as well.

In any event, such a policy will come in 2018 or 2019.

And if he ever makes the Fed agree to a crazy weaker dollar policy, OPEC will be pissed as well, risk a return to the 1970s? Don't think so. But with Trump, nothing can be entirely ruled out.


I fully agree with your assessment.

"I trade to make money not to be right." |
rosentray

Mitglied seit Feb 24, 2016  277 Beiträge rosentray Jan 16 2017 at 09:17
EUR/USD is trading to the downside in today's early European hours as market participants are expecting the speech of Theresa May that may influence the Sterling. Traders are heading to the stronger US dollar in an attempt to preserve their capital in case of unwanted volatility in the UK currency. CMP 1.0584 EUR/USD.

victoriajensen

Mitglied seit Jul 10, 2014  1088 Beiträge victoriajensen Jan 16 2017 at 12:22
EUR/USD bounced off 1.0685 last week and started falling. The pair is currently testing the support at 1.0580, if it breaks out below that level it will likely continue falling towards 1.0540.

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Coincident Index (43 min)
AUD/USD: Bearish 5-day EMA is capping ga...(2h 14min ago)
EURUSD 1.14638 GBPUSD 1.29763
USDJPY 112.475 USDCAD 1.30843

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