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Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 09 2017 at 07:51

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Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 10 2017 at 07:33

Daily Forex

EUR/USD slides further to 1.0650, still above weekly lows

The euro extended losses against the US dollar during the American session amid a stronger US dollar. The greenback jumped in the market following comments about a tax reform from Donald Trump, that would be announced over the next weeks.EUR/USD fell to 1.0649, hitting a fresh daily low and currently is hovering around 1.0655, down 0.32% for the day so far. In Wall Street, the Dow Jones soared to new record highs after Trump’s comments and it was up 0.69%. US bond yields rose further and the 10-year climbed from 2.33% to 2.39%. Despite the decline, the euro managed to held above yesterday’s lows but still remains under pressure. The pair is headed toward the lowest daily close in three weeks. Resistance levels might be seen at 1.0665/70 (European session low), 1.0690 (downtrend line from February highs) and 1.0710/15 (Feb 8 high). On the opposite direction, support could be located at 1.0650 (daily low), 1.0640 (weekly low), 1.0617 (Jan 30 low) and 1.0585 (Jan 19 low).



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 12 2017 at 07:32


USD/JPY inter-markets

The greenback gained additional traction against the Japanese Yen on Friday, with the USD/JPY pair hitting 7-day peak near 113.85 region before retracing few pips to currently trade around mid-113.00s.The pair shot up during NY session on Thursday after the US President Donald Trump’s pledge to unveil a “phenomenal” tax plan in coming weeks. Analysts think that lower taxes would encourage consumer spending and accelerate growth, eventually adding to inflationary pressure. The comments revived optimism surrounding Trump's pro-growth policies and triggered a fresh wave of up-surge in the US Treasury bond yields across all maturities. Surging US bond yields prompted investors to buy the US Dollar, providing a catalyst for a short-covering rally. In addition to this, declining Volatility Index (VIX), supporting the ongoing bullish momentum in the US equity markets, also drove flows away from the perceived safety of the Yen and lent an additional support to the pair's up-move. The pair, however, seems to have lost its upside momentum and struggled to risk further as market participants seemed to lighten their positions ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s meeting with the US President Donald Trump, later on Friday.Meanwhile, continuous up-trend in the US Treasury yields is likely to limit any sharp downslide and the pair seems unlikely to weaken back below 113.00 handle.



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 13 2017 at 13:52

GBP/USD a test of 1.2697 is not ruled out Commerzbank

Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, has not ruled out a visit to 1.2697.“GBP/USD spent most of last week trading around its 55 day ma – it lies at 1.2435 and we are unable to rule out another run up to the top of the channel at 1.2697. The near term risk is that this will again hold. A close below the 55 day ma will introduce potential to the 1.2253 the 18th January low. The intraday Elliott counts remain negative and our bias is neutral to negative”.“We suspect that prices will need to go sub 1.2250 in order to alleviate immediate upside pressure and trigger losses to the 1.1988/80 recent low”.“Above 1.2700 would allow for further strength to the 1.2776 December high. Between here and 1.2836 lies several Fibonacci retracements and major resistance and we suspect that it will struggle here”.



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 14 2017 at 12:21


AUD/USD potential for a break higher Commerzbank

In view of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair stays poised for a potential break higher.“AUD/USD is consolidating tightly sideways and is well placed to break higher the Elliott count on the daily chart is pointing to a .7570/.7490 retracement ahead of another upside attempt and we remain unable to rule out minor slippage into this band. However currently the market seems well supported by the 20 day ma at .7602”.“Last week, the market eroded the 2013-2017 downtrend and cleared the .7645 Fibo resistance and in doing so has introduced scope to the .7778/.7850 2016 highs and the 38.2% retracement. Directly above here lies the 200 month ma at .7930. Very near term we would allow for a dip to .7470/.7490 ahead of further gains”. “We suspect that prices will need to go sub 7435, the 55 day ma, to alleviate upside pressure and trigger losses to .7312/00 then .7161/64, the recent lows”.



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 15 2017 at 10:01


USD/JPY: close above 114.23 to trigger additional gains Commerzbank

Karen Jones, technical analyst at Commerzbank, maintains a near-term positive bias for the USD/JPY major and see it rising immediately to 115.62 (Jan. 19 high) ahead of 16 month resistance line at 118.04. 'USD/JPY last week recovered from circa the 38.2% retracement at 111.98 area and the 112.02 April high. The market has eroded the Imoku 2 resistance and will need to close above here (114.23) to trigger gains to the 115.62 19th January high. A close above here is needed to reintroduce scope to key short term resistance offered by the 16 month resistance line at 118.04.'



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 19 2017 at 07:50


EUR/USD struggling near 1.0650, Dollar firmer

EUR/USD remains entrenched in the negative ground at the end of the week, fading part of its earlier gains and hovering over the mid-1.0600s.Spot keeps the trade in the lower bound of today’s 40-pip range for the time being, as the sentiment towards the greenback seems to have regained some traction following the recent sell off post-Yellen’s testimonies.In fact, market participants seem to have turned the attention back to the buck after the US Dollar Index (DXY) met decent support in the mid-100.00s, closer to the 20-day sma, and in light of rising expectations of a Fed’s rate hike at the March meeting.In addition, headlines from Greece and developments from the upcoming French election appear as potential sources of volatility for the single currency in the next weeks.Earlier in the day, ECB’s Council Member P.Lane said the central bank should remain open to further rate cuts. EUR, however, remained apathetic after the comments. At the moment the pair is losing 0.24% at 1.0648 and a break below 1.0520 (low Feb.15) would target 1.0452 (low Jan.11) en route to 1.0339 (2017 low Jan.3). On the flip side, the next hurdle aligns at 1.0682 (high Feb.13) followed by 1.0699 (20-day sma) and finally 1.0706 (38.2% Fibo of the November-January drop).



Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 23 2017 at 08:39


USD/JPY inter-markets

The USD/JPY pair traded with bearish bias on Wednesday and dropped to 113.00 handle, reversing all of its gains recorded in the previous session.Tuesday's remarks by Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, negating possibilities of further lowering negative interest rates, triggered the initial leg of profit taking slide in the major despite of a follow through US Dollar buying interest. Adding to this, retracement in the US and Japanese treasury bond yields pointed to cautious investors' sentiment and provided an additional boost to the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal. Moreover, an up-tick in the Volatility Index (VIX), leading to a corrective weakness in the US equity markets, coupled with concerns over potential political instability in the Euro-zone, ahead of the French Presidential elections, also boosted demand for traditional safe-haven assets and further collaborated to the pair's weakness on Wednesday.Meanwhile, increasing bets for an eventual Fed rate-hike action, sooner-rather-than-later, seems to be lending some support and helping the pair to hold the 113.00 support area, at-least for the time being.Judging from today's price-action, traders also appeared to readjust and hedge their long-dollar positions in the event of any less hawkish statement from the FOMC meeting minutes, scheduled for release later during the day.In absence of any major market-moving releases, broader market risk sentiment (VIX) and treasury yield dynamics, which would take fresh cues from today’s Fed minutes, remains key determinants of the pair’s next leg of directional move.,6251.html


Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 25 2017 at 17:57


EUR/USD: upside momentum but only modest bullish bias - BTMU

Analysts from The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, see a limited bullish outlook for the EUR/USD pair for next week. They expect it to trade between 1.0450 and 1.0800. There are no obvious risk events to focus on in the week ahead and hence our inclination is to give the current momentum greater influence in the bias for the week ahead. We don’t really agree with selling the dollar on the back of the FOMC minutes but the softer dollar momentum might have legs given there is nothing to necessarily alter that for now certainly not from a global macro perspective. Of course, the obvious risk the other way is that French political risk escalates again and we see that drag the euro lower. Opinion polls will be key in that.The key piece of data is perhaps the flash estimate for CPI and core CPI on 28th February. The data from the euro-zone has clearly improved although the core annual CPI rate remains stuck at 0.9%. Any upside surprise there would reinforce expectations of the ECB tapering QE later this year and would help provide support for the euro. Still, upside momentum is unlikely to be strong given the scale of uncertainty lingering in Europe.,6252.html


Membre depuis Aug 22, 2016  183 messages Forex Protect (ForexProtect) Feb 27 2017 at 14:55


EUR/USD sticks to gains, still below 1.0600

EUR/USD stays on a firm note at the beginning of the week, testing highs in the upper-1.0500s although another test of the 1.0600 barrier still remains absent.Spot has recovered from last Friday’s losses and is currently looking to extend the bounce off last week’s lows in sub-1.0500 levels (last seen in early January), always backed by a renewed albeit mild offered bias around the buck.EUR keeps looking to the upcoming French elections as a political driver for the sentiment in the near term, with recent election polls showing far-right candidate Marine Le Pen leading with 26% of the vote intention in the first round, although she would lose in a second round.In the data space, advanced inflation figures in the euro region for the month of February appear as the salient event this week, particularly in light of the recent pick up in prices, while speeches by President Trump (Tuesday) and Chief Yellen (Friday) should keep the buck in centre stage.From the speculative community, EUR stays under pressure, as net shorts have climbed to 5-week tops in the week to February 21 according to the latest CFTC report.Data wise today, advanced Spanish inflation figures expect the CPI to rise at an annualized 3.0% in February, a tad below estimates. Further data saw Private Loans expanding 2.2% YoY in January and M3 Money Supply rising 4.9% YoY during the same period.Across the pond, Pending Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders and the Dallas Fed index should keep the attention on the buck along with the speech by Dallas Fed R.Kaplan (voter, hawkish).At the moment the pair is up 0.21% at 1.0583 facing the initial hurdle at 1.0592 (55-day sma) followed by 1.0620 (high Feb.24) and finally 1.0651 (20-day sma). On the flip side, a breach of 1.0492 (low Feb.22) would target 1.0452 (low Jan.11) en route to 1.0339 (2017 low Jan.3),6253.html

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EURUSD 1.13006 GBPUSD 1.25809
USDJPY 113.401 USDCAD 1.3394







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