The euro broke a five-day losing streak against the US dollar and rose on Friday despite good data on US inflation. The currency pair EUR/USD ended the week at 1.1129, raising on Friday with 0.22 percent, and since the beginning of the year the euro has risen nearly 2.5 percent against the green money. Data from the day showed that consumer confidence in the Eurozone declined for the past month.
On the last Friday’s session the EURUSD initially fell but found enough buying pressure at 1.0900 daily support to reverse and close near the high of the day, in addition managed to close above the previous day high, suggesting a strong bullish momentum.
The pair is trading above the 10, 50-day moving averages that are acting now as dynamic support however the pair did not had the strength to close above the 200 day moving average.
The key levels to watch are: A daily resistance at 1.1236, other daily resistance at 1.1097, the 200-day moving average at 1.1019 (resistance), 50-day moving average at 1.0993 (support), the 10-day moving average at 1.0947 (support) and a daily support at 1.0900.
The dollar fell against most major currencies despite strong employment data in non-agricultural sectors of the US. February new jobs are 242 000. The preliminary estimates of economists was for 198 000. The unemployment rate remain unchanged at 4.9%.
From Goldman Sachs believe that monetary-credit policy will again become the dominant factor in determining the exchange rates, rather than risk appetite. Against this background, the analysts retained its annual forecast for EUR/USD of 0.9500.