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How reliable is backtests?
Iepriekšējās 1 2 3 4 Nākamais
kanon103

Biedrs kopš Nov 29, 2013  99 ieraksti kanon103 Oct 07 2014 at 10:18
backtest is nothing
it just better than nothing.

90% not trustworthy

RSTrading

Biedrs kopš Jul 16, 2013  385 ieraksti Rihan (RSTrading) Oct 07 2014 at 21:01
So if I get good results on 90% modeling quality It won't perform like that on real?

Live and let live..
Chowie

Biedrs kopš Oct 02, 2014  2 ieraksti Chowie Oct 08 2014 at 06:56
MT4 strategy tester may not be 100% reliable, however, it keeps you in front of the charts and builds your pattern recognition skills, this is some of the best practice you can get and if your struggling it is a great starting point.

ForexSeeker

Biedrs kopš Apr 20, 2010  814 ieraksti DoubleTrap (ForexSeeker) Oct 08 2014 at 06:57
It didn't perform well as in backtest is because you did not enough back test to see the bad performance might happened.

You need backtest year by year start from 2000 - 2014.
After it pass all these year, you might need try random start date for 3 month test, if stop by close you need increase longer period.

From backtest, you need to figure out what is the save margin Account to play with minimum lot and what is the Risk Reward payout.

Of course there are exception for some EA like the : fast scalping less than 1 pips within split second where backtest can able perform the operation while real it get re-quote and spread factor result scalp Loss instead of Profit.



Information is Gold when come to organised.
kanon103

Biedrs kopš Nov 29, 2013  99 ieraksti kanon103 Oct 08 2014 at 07:00
RSTrading posted:
So if I get good results on 90% modeling quality It won't perform like that on real?


that is correct. wont be even close.

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