I agree that the entries this EA provides is nothing short of impressive. World class indeed. However, it sometime gives up very good profits in the quest for more profits and ended up in the red. I would suggest that Mr Goldstein, the creator of this great EA to update this EA to allow users (with smaller risk appetite) an alternative option for a less aggressive Take-Profit strategy in order to secure more but smaller wins. In any case, I would certainly recommend the Inertia Trader.
Looking at the growth graph it looks like it's hitting support and poised for a big move up 😁 Seriously though, I do believe that the system is a good system. Just need to monitor a little, take profit when you have it, and it's great. The last trades with the eurusd sat there in profit for hours building a base of support around 1.1875 Yes, the bot should be able to take the profit on its own but if your running this system on real $, you need to know how it works take profit when it's on the table. Side note, I do see a good short opportunity with the eurusd this week for a retracement...
However it might sound now, the EA is not failing. If you watch its backtests when they are running, you will see such drops are in fact very common, given the risk level and the leverage used. Something that has worked for years won't fail so easily no matter how random the Forex market is. As a matter of fact, the market's randomness is what ensures this strategy's success in the long run.
Yeah there's insufficient evidence to suggest that the EA is failing, it's just on very high leverage and doesn't have a smooth R^2 growth curve or Sharpe ratio. IF you look at the previous forward-test periods (May 2, 2016 to March 10, 2017) you would be saying the same thing.
I just finished the book fooled by randomness and I have to agreed jake is right. A 50% winrate is as random as it get. Smooth grow curve are for turkey, get fed all year just to die on thanks giving. If you want smooth growth curve, get a martingale bot, or ask me for one :).
I actually run test backtest inertia 15 mins from 2001-2017 oct at 0.20 lot, it has a relative drawdown of 83% somewhere in 2004. Eventually recover and making new high.
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