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EUR/USD - 1.1770 Euro's selloff from 1.1830 (Thursday) to 1.1755 on Friday suggests re-test of Wednesday's fresh 3-1/2 month trough at 1.1753 would be seen, break there would extend recent erratic decline towards 2021 bottom at 1.1705 (March) but 'loss of downward momentum' may keep price above there.
On the upside, only a daily close above 1.1804 'prolongs' choppy sideways trading and may risk another rise towards 1.1830.
Market's attention is release of Germany's key Ifo data, keep an eye out on July's business climate n current expectations.
DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major Update Time: 28 July 2021 03:00GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1817 Although yesterday's brief break of last week's 1.1830 high to 1.1841 in New York due to broad-based usd's weakness suggests recent decline has made a temporary bottom at 1.1753 last week, subsequent retreat would bring consolidation ahead of key FOMC's announcement, below 1.1171 signals correction over and yields re-test of 1.1753, then later towards 2021 trough at 1.1705.
A daily close above 1.1841 (Fed's dovish hold perhaps) would risk stronger gain to 1.1880/90 later.
Data to be released on Wednesday: Australia CPI, Japan coincident index, leading indicator, U.K. BRC shop price index, Germany Gfk consumer sentiment, France consumer confidence, Italy business confidence, consumer confidence, Swiss investor sentiment. U.S. MBA mortgage application good trade balance, wholesale inventories, Fed interest rate decision and Canada CPI.
■ Low risk signal ■ Ideal for long term trading/investing ■ Automated entry system ■ Very stringent entry criteria to be met before trading starts ■ Only trades the 20 currency pairs ■ Trade sizing kept low on purpose to control risk
DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major Update Time: 11 Aug 2021 03:00GMT
EUR/USD - 1.1718 Euro's resumption of recent downtrend to a fresh 4-month trough of 1.1710 (New York) suggests price would briefly penetrate 2021 bottom at 1.1705 (March), however, loss of downward momentum is expected to keep price above 1.1650/55 and risk has increased for a minor correction to occur later this week.
On the upside, only a daily close above 1.1742 signals temporary low is in place and yields stronger retracement to 1.1768 but 1.1808 should cap upside.
Data to be released on Wednesday: Australia consumer sentiment, Japan machine tool orders, Germany CPI, HICP, Italy CPI, U.S. MBA mortgage application, CPI and Federal Budget.