togr posted: With 6% profit monthly you need about 2.5 month. Or do I miss something?
Profit is not actually 6% monthly; they ran it very high risk initially but are now running it effectively at extremely low risk, to make it look like a safe and durable strategy. Their current monthly profit is about 2% (that's WITHOUT incorporating the stop-outs). You can check this by using the 'Custom Analysis' tool and look at the period from 11 March 2019 to 18 December 2019, a period that had no stop-outs.
If you DO incorporate the latest stop-out, which you should, the monthly profit over the last year exactly is 0.47%; daily profit is 0.00% (rounded).
And to compute loss versus what you have to gain back you have to take the inverse of 1-the loss; so for a 15% loss you need to make a 1/(1-0.15)-1=0.175=17.5% profit to break even again. This number grows substantially the larger your stop out was; for a 33% stop out, you need to make 50% again to be back at break even. For a 50% stop-out, you need to make 100% in profit to break even again; makes sense right, I have $2, I lose $1 (which is 50%)-->now I need to make $1 again to break even (which is 100%).
To regain 17.5% with a monthly profit of 2%, you need to divide the logarithmic of 1.175 by the log of 1.02-->so it takes you exactly 8.14 months to recover from this stop out with the current risk setting they have. That is assuming, that no other stop-outs occur in that period.