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Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jan 24, 2018 at 06:34

Since December 2012, the US debt limit has been reached and since then the State has operated through a series of legal and accounting subterfuges, without having a budget as such. As time goes by the efficiency and duration of these subterfuges is becoming smaller and it will be important that this problem find a more structural solution.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jan 23, 2018 at 05:50

The results of UBS officially inaugurate the earnings season of the European banking sector. Today, the IMF announce its economic forecasts for 2018. This event is taking place in Davos, Switzerland, where the World Economic Forum will begin tomorrow. This event, attended by politicians, economists, CEOs, central bank presidents, among others, is generally a precious source of insight and opinions from people with a potential to influence the global political-economic environment.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jan 22, 2018 at 07:35

It's impressive how U.S. stocks ignore the government shutdown drama in Washington and rose to all-time highs.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jan 22, 2018 at 07:35

Oil companies were among the worst performers on Friday, in line with the behavior shown by the price of crude oil in response to OPEC statements about the expectation of a greater supply of this raw material in the market in 2018 by the non-member countries of this organization.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jan 17, 2018 at 06:09

Today begins the earnings season, which will be one of the central themes of this week.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 31, 2017 at 11:11

European markets ended the last session of 2017 in different directions, with investors looking at the outlook for the coming year. 2017 was marked by an appreciation of the European stock markets, albeit smaller than the US, mainly due to the appreciation of the Euro which is a disadvantage for the region's exports. The technology sector has appreciated by around 20%, making it one of the best performers in Europe on an annual basis. The producers of raw materials were also highlighted by the positive, driven mainly by the rise in metal prices at the end of the year. In London and Frankfu...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 29, 2017 at 13:23

Copper hit highest yesterday for the last three and a half years. Sustaining the rise in this raw material are, on a more structural level, positive prospects for the world economy. In fact, the current macroeconomic environment has some unique characteristics. The current phase is marked by a unison of the major economic regions, something that was not observed more than two decades ago. Thus, this whole cycle is guided by a high correlation between the main economies, with the growth of one to stimulate and reinforce the expansion of the others.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 28, 2017 at 11:49

Today’s session is part of the period that corresponds to the so-called Santa Claus Rally. This period includes the last five sessions of the year and the first two of the new year. The Dow Jones and S&P500 indices completed at the end of last week five consecutive weeks of gains as a result of the tax reform announced by Donald Trump that reduces corporate taxation from 35% to 21%.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 28, 2017 at 11:48

The retail sector stood out positively after Mastercard reported that US consumers spent more than 800,000 M.USD on holiday purchases, a number considered a record. This behavior was driven mainly by the increase in consumer confidence, the growth in employment and the fact that rebates in stores started earlier.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 25, 2017 at 08:01

Friday session was poor in news, which, along with the current court, contributed to a decrease in volume. Roche announced that it will acquire the American Ignyta (specialized in cancer treatment) for 1700 M.USD. Roche shares fell 0.41%. At the sector level, the banking sector was penalized by the weakness of the Spanish banks. On the positive side, the media sector stood out.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 25, 2017 at 08:01

The approval of the tax reform is a victory of the Trump Administration that managed to approve it at times that can still be considered short, overcoming the objections of several members of the Republican Party itself .

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 21, 2017 at 07:48

Yeserday the session was marked by the realization of some profit takinhg. This move had its epicenter in Apple shares. Reducing Nomura's recommendation to Apple served as a motivation for a number of investors to realize some profit takinhg, not only in this stock but also in the technology sector as a whole.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 20, 2017 at 07:22

In the United States, homes under construction during the month of November increased by 3.30% to 1,297 million, compared to the expected 1,250 million. On the other hand, the number of building permits decreased by 1.40% to 1,298 million. Economists estimated 1,270 million licenses.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 19, 2017 at 07:20

The reconstruction of strategies leads to a chain of movement in the stock markets, forcing the intervention of other types of investors. This quarter, the rebuilding of some derivative strategies ended with the influx of several stock purchase orders into the market.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 17, 2017 at 08:25

Concerning Final Tax Measure, expected to be voted on next week, one significant change from the Senate bill is that the rate reduction (to 21 percent from the current 35 percent) will begin next year, instead of being delayed until 2019. One should see a chaotic last few weeks of 2017, as companies try to best position themselves.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 15, 2017 at 12:24

The US market declined, one day after the Fed’s decision to raise benchmark interest rates. The meeting of the Central Bank generally corresponded to the expectations of the previous day. The benchmark rates increased 0.25% for the 1.25% 1.50% range. This decision had two opposing votes, from the Fed Governors of Chicago and Minneapolis, who preferred a maintenance of reference rates. The content of the communiqué resembled the one from the end-October meeting, although it took an even more positive view of the economy and the labor market. In this positive view of the economy, th...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 14, 2017 at 08:46

The US market traded positively, with investors expecting the Fed meeting. The current FED meeting is the last meeting of the Yellen Presidency. Although the mandate of the current President will not end until February 2018, Janet Yellen will entrust the Central Bank with Jerome Powell, the newly appointed President of the Fed. Financial markets have already anticipated the near-steady increase of 0.25% in interest rates to 1.25% -1.50%. The focus will therefore be on two themes: the revision of the macroeconomic projections and the individual perspectives of each FED member for interest rates...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 14, 2017 at 08:46

In sectoral terms, trends were observed in different directions, with the positive result being the producers of raw materials and the negative effects of utilities. Among German utilities, Innogy fell about 13% after adjusting its forecasts for 2017. This behavior influenced the performance of RWE (-12.69%) and E.ON (-4.57% ).

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 14, 2017 at 08:46

European markets closed today’s session with losses, albeit contained. Today’s sentiment was fundamentally marked by the expectation of the FED meeting that ends today (but the outcome will only be known after the closing of European exchanges), as well as the ECB meeting scheduled for tomorrow.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Dec 11, 2017 at 08:28

After years of crossing a long and winding desert the EU economy is finally displaying strenght beyond QE. The EU stock markets are not yet reflecting this new reality but they will.

EURUSD	1.07338	GBPUSD	1.2546	AUDUSD	0.65777
USDJPY	153.057	USDCAD	1.36612	USDCHF	0.90939

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