TrackOpportunity Series III (off-line) (by eravo12) Quick Stats
Gain: +21.63%
Drawdown: 14.65%
Pips: 7647.4
Trades: 640
Won:
Lost:
Type: Demo
Leverage: 1:100
Trading: Unknown

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TrackOpportunity Series III (off-line) Discussion
eravo12

Member Since Aug 20, 2009  32 posts eravo12 Apr 13 2010 at 02:26
This system uses the same strategy as http://www.myfxbook.com/members/eravo12/tradena-online/20058 (risk profile = 3) and this setting is done to be a signal provider (coming soon) and you should start with an initial capital of 10K$ for being comfortable.

Expectations risk profile as 1:

Performance: bracket between -7% and 14%+ per month.
Initial lot: 0.01 / 10K$ (always 0.01 lot no matter the capital in the master provider signal).
Pyramid (hidden risk is floating): Between 0.71% and 3.44% per sequence’s trading.
Tactical trading: Proprietary system fitting for myself and I’m comfortable with.
Strategy trading: Uses the composed return (expected 8% per month) to reach annual goal.
VaR: Monte Carlo Analysis and simple probability for driving in high trading field FX.

As a trader/investor, I designed this ‘provider signal’ as a long term return with moderate risk profile =1. It means the system could you payback around 800$+/month or 350$/week if you made a monthly withdrawal or around 15.000$+ per year if you are patient. The expectation projection is done with an 8% return per month. The bad scenario is you can lose around 700$ per month if the system is not following correctly the price action.

Before choosing me you should take care about:

1. Before to choose any service you should watch the system around 3/6 months.
2. To watch regularly the equity %. This value gives the hidden risk (i.e. if the equity is 30% it means you account have a virtual loss of 70%. Can you live with that?).
3. Don’t be so impress by the high performance because high performance means often high risk (and almost of the time it’s a hidden risk).
4. As investor you should be focused on the risk. Uses the same time and the same meticulous mindset as if you buy a new car!
5. Keep on your mind that a zero loss system doesn’t exist and you must live some time with a drawdown.
6. Define properly your goal and after that choose prudentially the trading system.

When the signal provider will be validated, I will send a new post regarding the setting in your side. You will have the possibility to increase or decrease the risk and the performance regarding your own goal as:

Risk profile = 1 (monthly return -7% and 14%)
Risk profile = 2 (monthly return -14% and 28%)
Risk profile = 3 (monthly return -21% and 42%)
Risk profile = x (monthly return as your own goal)

My own goal is to delivery a clearly trading system with an acceptable annual return. I will try to manage the loss and not to manage the pain after a huge loss like an empty account!

As a signal provider, I only promise to do my best in the FX trading field and I hope you will be happy by using my knowledge and services.

Happy trading!

Trading is statistical and emotional game :-)
eravo12

Member Since Aug 20, 2009  32 posts eravo12 Apr 24 2010 at 01:18

The system has reached is weekly goal target and see the report attached.

Happy trading!

Trading is statistical and emotional game :-)
eravo12

Member Since Aug 20, 2009  32 posts eravo12 Apr 26 2010 at 15:00
The system is designed for an account of 10K$ starting with 0.01 lots with 100:1 (not NFA compliance).

1. The last week was a good week because the system gained 560$ and it represents a growing of 5.60% (The system expects to win around 426$ per week).
2. Since the inception the system gained 1149$ and it represents 11.79% (2 weeks running).
3. The monthly projection is 24.24% with a drawdown of 3.07%.
4. The VaR system expects a maximal floating around 17% in worst case (100% of 24 templates/trading sequence are in the same time at the reverse price action market).

Happy trading!

Trading is statistical and emotional game :-)
eravo12

Member Since Aug 20, 2009  32 posts eravo12 May 03 2010 at 14:31

The system is designed for an account of 10K$ starting with 0.01 lots by using a part of 100:1 (not NFA compliance).

1. The last week was a good week because the system gained 846$ and it represents a growing of 8.47% (The system expects to win around 426$ per week).
2. Since the inception the system gained 2070$ and it represents 20.7% (3 weeks running).
3. The monthly projection is 28.82% with a drawdown of 3.25%.
4. The VaR system expects a maximal probability floating around 9.81% in worst case.
5. VaR Monte Carlo Weekly rolling gives a worst drawdown at 29$ and it represents 0.29%.
6. VaR Monte Carlo Inception gives a worst drawdown at 193$ and its represent 1.74%.

Resume: Actually the system has a good reaction regarding the market condition because the drawdown 3.25% is inside the Monte Carlo drawdown expectation and is below the worst drawdown (17%) for an acceptable weekly return (8.47%). The goal for this strategy is to keep a minimum risk by returning a consistent composed return in long term as looking as a residual income.

Trading is statistical and emotional game :-)
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