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Can someone explain Z-score to me....
forexproptrader

Member Since Oct 28, 2011  23 posts FXVIPSERVICE.COM (forexproptrader) Dec 23 2011 at 16:10
Can someone explain Z-score probability including what a negative number means.

Splexin

Member Since Apr 11, 2011  190 posts Splexin (Splexin) Dec 24 2011 at 07:36 (edited Dec 24 2011 at 07:40 )
If you hover your mouse over 'Z-Score' on your account(s) page(s), it explains the use of it with regards to MyFxBook. Here it is strictly used to estimate the probability of a win followed by a loss, or a loss by a win. A stable number means you have a good, consistent trading system. You don't want 'randomness' in a system.

Z-score is a principle of statistics-- when I took my college statistics class, this was a primary topic. Basically, z-score is a reading of the distribution of data for probability in a statistical sense. The z-score is calculated by taking a data point and subtracting the distribution mean and dividing the total by the standard deviation. A positive number means that the data is higher than the mean, and a negative number means the data is below the mean. The best example of this is a class with several grades. Each grade is assigned a z-score according to the distribution mean and standard deviation. The higher the z-score, the higher the variation of that student's grade from the mean.

There are other methods by which probability can determine if your next trade will be a winner or loser, but Z-score is a simple calculation that takes into account all your current numerical data. I'm really not the most qualified person for a detailed explanation-- I barely passed my Stats class and only made it because my project was pretty good (determine differences in gasoline prices in various regions of the city). smiley

Everything should be as simple as it can be, but not simpler.
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