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Forex is chaos, but you can overcome chaos
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Member Since Feb 07, 2011 618 posts
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 25 2012 at 11:18
Lol - oh boy have I thought about hedging. Few years now or something.
I been around the block mate. Over the years I must have binned a few hundred of these systems. Been battling the fat tail for at least 3 years now, can't build a future on a fat tail system. You can hedge till you are metallic purple in the face - at some point you have to deal with your losers or wipe out and/or run out of margin. Show me your pips!! |
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Member Since Feb 07, 2011 618 posts
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 25 2012 at 11:39
(edited Apr 25 2012 at 11:43 )
I've even tried running the fat tails against each other, i.o.w's hedging. Know what happens? You end up with two sets of losing trades, instead of one. And you start building positions in other pairs if you use more than one pair to hedge.
Start taking them off the table, because you're running out of margin, suddenly have exposure and exactly what happened on your portfolio in the last two days is what happens. The NAV crashes. Anyways, not important. Going away soon, so don't mind me. Just an observation. Show me your pips!! |
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Member Since Apr 14, 2012 23 posts
Master_of_Chaos
Apr 25 2012 at 16:51
You are talking about something, with which you have no experience. I'm sorry, but you don't understand anything of the system otherwise you could at least calculate, that the system could never run in a margin call.
By the way, our discussion stops exactly at this point, because I don't waste my time with ignorant and impolite people. Finished !!! The market always wins, be a part of it |
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Member Since Feb 07, 2011 618 posts
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
Apr 26 2012 at 01:30
(edited Apr 26 2012 at 01:50 )
Sigh...
Haven't been doing this for a decade at all. Can't see what's going on in a system at a glance. I might be many things, but ignorant is not one of them, not when it comes to fx trading. Good luck with that double fat tail. Just like to point out that djack said balance going one way, equity the other. You said nonsense, come back in 3 or 4 days. It's been those 3 or 4 days now and it's got worse. A lot worse. Show me your pips!! |
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Member Since Aug 16, 2010 452 posts
Raa (mistificator)
Apr 26 2012 at 18:41
this is another way to hell.. going up on balance down on equity! haha
Was mich nicht umbringt, macht mich stärker. |
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Member Since Apr 22, 2010 15 posts
Midoru
Apr 26 2012 at 22:19
Master_of_Chaos posted: TheCyclist posted: Divergence should be more evident now? Not at all........ it is the normal behaviour for a system which likes ranging markets. And the major part in a year we normally have ranging markets...... System history shows a conservative 1.87% monthly average with a NAV high of 9.91% over 8 months. Losing all profit in a couple of weeks is normal behavior? At the rate this system earns, looks like you may be stuck for some time. |
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Member Since Apr 14, 2012 23 posts
Master_of_Chaos
May 17 2012 at 16:13
mistificator posted: this is another way to hell.. going up on balance down on equity! haha Why argueing, when the time deliver the proof. The fat divergent tail is winning, as predicted LOL...... in average it wins between 0.5 and 1 percent a day..... not every day, but in average ...... this system will always win, if you don't choose the risk too high ........ but we'll see the coming weeks The market always wins, be a part of it |
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Member Since Feb 07, 2011 618 posts
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
May 17 2012 at 23:28
You got lucky. Nothing more. 85% DD on that demo...
Show me your pips!! |
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Member Since Apr 14, 2012 23 posts
Master_of_Chaos
May 18 2012 at 03:34
Of course.......... the ideas and the success of anybody else is always pure luck........ You are sooooo right...... LOL
The market always wins, be a part of it |
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Member Since Feb 07, 2011 618 posts
PipGnostic (TheCyclist)
May 18 2012 at 04:03
Sigh - k, whatever.
If that 85% DD doesn't give you a wake up call nothing will. Show me your pips!! |
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