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Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 12:32
@wernerdj7 Please see my edited post above.To answer your question: "a p-value helps you determine the significance of results". When sample size is low, its "p-value" is high, which means that the results COULD BE due to randomness (but not necessarily), and so they have less reliability.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 12:21
Due to the low number of trades - only 107 - the statistical "p value" of the results is not that good. In other words: there is still a good chance of "random success" (at least statistically). Also, from the pip-by-pip trade analyses of the recent trades it can be seen that a "Hope & Pray" element is involved. The trader enters with large lot sizes and allows significant intra-trade DD, then exits at "breakeven" with a sigh of releif. I am alawys worried when I don't see losses, as I don't know the "downside" of the strategy. ...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 11:44
PLEASE READ TITLE: 100% return a MONTH with a DD below 50%.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 10:04
@HolyGrailPTY Is it you, Alexis?
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:57
Well said.
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:57
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 07:22
What do you mean...?
Opening a New Real Account: Best Broker to Choose
في
المتداولون الجدد
Dec 21, 2015 at 03:41
@snapdragon1970 Well said. Thank you for the clarification and the additional information!
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 21, 2015 at 01:14
@hermonysystem Again, the "problem" is that all the profits are exactly 5.0 pips and the losses are exactly -15.0 pips on all 800+ trades.There is NO WAY, that at least some trades of the 800+ would not get even a +/- 0.1 pip slippage, in other words some trades should be +5.1 pips or +4.9 pips, and some losses would be -15.1 pips or -14.9 pips. At least.As some slippage DOES happen on demo accounts, too.In summary: the pip results are just "too nicely rounded" and therefore irrealistic, i.e. they carry the hallmark of carefully HANDCRAFTED results. Got it...?
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 20, 2015 at 10:16
@hermonysystem I am not sure what is your motivation here, but your results are falsified.What the "problem" is that all 832 trades over a one week period have EXACTLY either +5.0 pips profits or -15.0 losses.The issue is with the "zeros". THERE IS NO WAY that IC Markets had not slipped even 0.1 pip (+ or -) on ANY OF THE 832 trades, even in demo mode. Furthermore there is no way that ANY broker would not slip even 0.1 pip (+/-) over 800+ trades.In other words:1. Your results are HANDCRAFTED.2. You falsly name your broker as ICM.In other words you are a SCAMMER.https://www....
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 20, 2015 at 01:37
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 17, 2015 at 12:39
@Mthiya Exactly... I would not bother forward testing them. If they were REALLY profitable they would be selling their signals on SignalStart or on ConnectForex.By the way, there is no one strategy on SignalStart or ConnectForex which I would use WITH CONFIDENCE on a larger account. Why? Because even the best signals use one of the two following trading styles: "Grids" or "Hope & Pray".
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 17, 2015 at 12:10
@Mthiya Interesting free signal service. Strangely, they don't indicate at what price level the actual LIVE orders were initiated, and there is no track record of the closed orders whatsoever.In view of the above it is practically impossible to make any evaluation of the signals (unless I miss something).P.S. Apparently the Premium version offers sound and e-mail alerts:https://www.fxmarketleaders.com/forexsignals/premiumaccountop
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 17, 2015 at 07:44
@Lordgert I have concluded a long time ago that #1 you mentioned is the answer: "There are no profitable traders on myFxbook. Or at least not ones who bother with forums."Also, I have to assume that there are more Lottery Millionaires in the world than Forex Millionaires...Which fact - if correct - clearly shows the statistical chances of becoming rich or even wealthy by trading Forex...
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 17, 2015 at 07:41
Sometimes postings are published with some delay. I don't think that anybody would intentionally manipulate with the posts...
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 17, 2015 at 07:29
@HolyGrailPTY Do you talk about me...? Blowing up accounts...? I have never managed accounts for clients and I have never blown up any account (not even mine).I have Vouched for you, but I will take it back for this false accusation, unless you apologize and make an amendment.
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 16, 2015 at 13:07
@Mthiya
5% average monthly profit for at least 2 years (with less than 25% max. DD)
في
التجار ذوي الخبرة
Dec 16, 2015 at 11:50
Probably we talk about is because if someone runs a profitable strategy on a REAL account for at least 2 years, it is unlikely that he make a serious effort to hide his DD. Most likely he has better things to do than that.I am curious how HolyGrailPTY could figure out just from trade history what was the real DD...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 16, 2015 at 03:18
@hermonysystem You do not realize that with your strategy you would take the profits from ICM's pocket (as they B-Book you). Of course, on a real account. For now they don't care about your DEMO profits.But on a real account, how long do you think they would let it go...? Maybe for a few days or a few weeks. At best.Then your account would get "red flagged" and they would attach one of their "virtual dealer plug-ins". If it did not work, they would find something in the "small print" of the contract not to pay your profits.All-in-all: DEMO TRADING IS USELE...
Who can earn 100% return a month with a DD below 50% and on a regular basis?
في
عام
Dec 15, 2015 at 11:35
On a regular basis...?? With a DD below 50%...?PLEASE, LET'S WALK THE TALK!
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