Forex Market Report - 3rd July 2024
Our forex market report offers an overview of critical economic and financial events that impact the global forex markets. Traders should closely monitor developments to fine-tune their trading strategies accordingly.
DNA Markets
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497 dias atrás
1. US Economic Data Releases
- Non-Farm Payrolls: The upcoming release is expected to show a significant increase in job creation, which could bolster the USD.
- ISM Manufacturing PMI: A decline is anticipated, signaling potential weakness in the manufacturing sector.
- Federal Reserve Minutes: Insights into the Fed’s views on inflation and future rate hikes will be closely watched.
2. Eurozone Economic Developments
- German Industrial Production: A decrease is projected, highlighting ongoing challenges in Europe’s largest economy.
- ECB Policy Statements: Remarks on inflation control and monetary policy adjustments are critical for EUR direction.
- Eurozone Inflation Data: Rising inflation figures may prompt the ECB to consider more aggressive policy measures.
3. Asian Market Movements
- China’s Trade Balance: A narrowing surplus is expected, reflecting global trade dynamics and domestic economic shifts.
- Bank of Japan’s Stance: Continued dovish policies could keep the JPY under pressure against other major currencies.
- Australian Retail Sales: A slowdown in consumer spending might influence RBA’s interest rate decisions.
4. Geopolitical Tensions
- US-China Relations: Ongoing trade and technology disputes are affecting market sentiment and risk appetite.
- Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Continued instability and sanctions are impacting energy markets and EUR performance.
- Middle East Developments: Any escalation in the region could lead to volatility in oil prices and safe-haven assets.
5. Commodity Price Fluctuations
- Oil Prices: Fluctuations due to OPEC+ production decisions and global demand outlooks are influencing CAD and NOK.
- Gold Market: Safe-haven demand is increasing amid global economic uncertainties and inflation concerns.
- Agricultural Commodities: Weather patterns and supply chain issues are affecting prices, impacting currencies of export-reliant countries.
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The dollar roller coaster ride
•The acceleration of foreign economies will weaken the US dollar.
•The USD index may fall another 13.5%.
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•Verbal interventions are not helping the yen.
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