SP500 quiet correction

Expert market comment made by Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: SP500 quiet correction
FxPro | 656 dias atrás

The US S&P500 hovered close to 6000, a new psychologically important level. In the second half of the week, the market's momentum needed to be clearer. This was due to both fatigue from the 5% rally from the lows of the 4th and the steady appreciation of the dollar.

Later in the week, the pullback in US indices intensified as investors took profits from the post-election rally. On Thursday, the pressure on equities was due to the strengthening of the dollar, which reached the upper boundary of a two-year range against a basket of major currencies. On Friday, however, index futures fell in line with the weakening DXY.

At the same time, markets remain generally confident about the future, with the VIX Fear Index below 15 and close to four-month lows. The Fear and Greed Index at 59 is on the cusp of exiting 'greed'. The recent peak earlier this week was below the 'extreme greed' levels associated with overbought conditions, leaving the potential for a cautious comeback by buyers after some localised profit-taking. It is also worth remembering that the period from November to January is one of the best seasons for equities, especially during bull markets.

A pullback in the S&P500 to the 5900 area could be an important correction target. This is also a round level, a pullback area to 61.8% of the upside momentum from early November and just above the October highs. A deeper target could be the 5670-5700 area, which nullified the last impulse but represents a retracement to 61.8% and the July and August highs of the medium-term advance from the August lows.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

 

FxPro
Digitar: NDD
Regulamento: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
The yen is advancing on three fronts

The yen is advancing on three fronts

The yen surged on three simultaneous tailwinds: BoJ rate hike expectations rising to 90% with speculation of a 50bp move, rumours of currency intervention, and an extraordinary GPIF meeting fuelling speculation of a portfolio shift toward domestic bonds. Falling Treasury yields and weak ADP data added further pressure on the dollar, pushing USDJPY sharply lower.
FxPro | 58 minutos atrás
The US Equities Brace for Further Pressure as Short Positioning Reaches Extremes

The US Equities Brace for Further Pressure as Short Positioning Reaches Extremes

The US equities are flashing increasingly defensive signals. Small caps are leading the sell-off, with the Russell 2000 underperforming and put/call positioning turning extremely bearish. Meanwhile, net shorts in Nasdaq 100 futures have surged to multi-year highs, creating downside risk — but also the potential for a powerful short squeeze.
Headway | 17h 57min atrás
Brent is heading towards $100 a barrel

Brent is heading towards $100 a barrel

Brent is rallying on Middle East escalation and Strait of Hormuz supply fears, pushing the dollar to two-week highs as rising oil prices fuel inflation expectations and lift the probability of a Fed rate hike in September to 68%. Strong US manufacturing PMI and hawkish FOMC comments are adding further fuel to the Treasury yield rally.
FxPro | 20h 31min atrás
Further Middle East hostilities fuel dollar’s engines

Further Middle East hostilities fuel dollar’s engines

Dollar rallies as US-Iran strikes lift oil and bolster Fed hike bets - Yen rebounds as BoJ Gov. Ueda appears ready to raise interest rates - Kiwi falls as RBNZ hikes, but appears less hawkish than expected - Wall Street and gold tumble amid renewed inflation fears
XM Group | 22h 55min atrás