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3 reasons suggest that gold is overvalued
Jul 15, 2020 at 05:25
Membro Desde Jul 15, 2020
1 posts
1.In terms of real interest rates, short-term gold is a bit pricey.The last time gold traded at $1,800, at the end of 2011, real interest rates in the United States were -2% (two-year Treasury bonds -- core CPI). Now they are about -1.5%.Based on the real interest rate traded on two-year TIPS, it was also -2% in 2011 and is now -0.9%. With gold still around $1,800, it is overvalued in the short term.
2.Holdings in gold etfs have reached an all-time high of more than 1m ounces. Its market capitalisation now amounts to 2% of the Fed's existing assets. That level, even taking into account the Fed's unlimited money-making, is historically moderate and not low.
3.There are signs of a reversal in non-commercial holdings. Historically, when non-commercial holdings diverged from ETF holdings and gold began to decline, gold generally adjusted negatively.
2.Holdings in gold etfs have reached an all-time high of more than 1m ounces. Its market capitalisation now amounts to 2% of the Fed's existing assets. That level, even taking into account the Fed's unlimited money-making, is historically moderate and not low.
3.There are signs of a reversal in non-commercial holdings. Historically, when non-commercial holdings diverged from ETF holdings and gold began to decline, gold generally adjusted negatively.
Membro Desde May 18, 2020
9 posts
Jul 19, 2020 at 09:20
Membro Desde Aug 25, 2019
28 posts
I do no think that gold is given to much valuable. You could say that it is the standard among the valuable minerals. That is becaues compared to othe other valuable materials it is easier to get and can be afforded by qute a number of people. It is just like the USD. Most people know and prefer it because is known and accepted worldwide.
Membro Desde Jun 30, 2020
47 posts
Membro Desde Jul 23, 2020
759 posts
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