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Profit / loss analysis and trading talks
Feb 02 at 15:51
Membro Desde Dec 28, 2023
28 posts
WhiteWitcher posted:How do you identify the signs of a market correction in advance?
Oh may I share my analytics too?
Quite risky at first glance, selling the EURUSD at the bottom of the trend, especially if you look at H1, but it paid off in the short term before the market rolled back into the correction, since I was guided by the H4 trend, but did not want to sit through the drawdown in the correction.
Thus, drawing a conclusion from my trading, I can say that entrances and exits from the market need to be looked at on the same hourly interval, otherwise you can catch unnecessary disturbances and close ahead of time without making a profit.
What do you think Marcellus?
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Feb 06 at 08:50
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Raven1209 posted:Excellent. You have successfully taken advantage of the strong trend position and key levels to determine the entry and take profit. I can only add that on all time frames this trend was confirmed by the MACD confident buy position, and the position of the EMA line was confirmation of continued growth.
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
But I also see that there was a long-term divergence on the four-hour chart that could lead to a drop deep enough to hit your stop loss. But I also want to note your prudence and the fact that you were not in a hurry to enter the market and waited until the level of 1.34100 was broken.
Thank you for sharing your experience. I look forward to further posts.
@Marcellus8610
Membro Desde Nov 30, 2017
12 posts
Membro Desde Feb 05, 2024
3 posts
Feb 08 at 13:12
Membro Desde Sep 02, 2022
56 posts
Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Feb 08 at 14:58
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
BonkersBit posted:The analytical part is based on the trend theory and key/marker technical levels, indicators MACD, EMA and RSI. I also use my developed algorithm for analyzing and calculating possible scenarios and risk associated with them. It provides the control over the market situation and the maximum benefit from each trading position.
What indicators do you use on your charts? I have tried MACD but had too many false signals
@Marcellus8610
Feb 08 at 16:00
Membro Desde Sep 29, 2022
64 posts
lexusxxx posted:Despite its simplicity, 90% of traders fail. Apparently not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Feb 09 at 12:40
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Raven1209 posted:Oh maybe that's why they lose? Because they are trying to combine too much or come up with something new. lollexusxxx posted:Despite its simplicity, 90% of traders fail. Apparently not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Feb 09 at 15:13
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
lexusxxx posted:This is just scratching the surface, and behind scene are many hours of work on the balance of the strategy, risk management, working on mistakes, tracking entry points, tracking news and changes in market behavior. This is just what I did today.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
@Marcellus8610
Feb 12 at 18:26
(editado Feb 12 at 18:27)
Membro Desde Jan 15, 2024
28 posts
MarcellusLux posted:Trading is the path for the strong.lexusxxx posted:This is just scratching the surface, and behind scene are many hours of work on the balance of the strategy, risk management, working on mistakes, tracking entry points, tracking news and changes in market behavior. This is just what I did today.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Feb 13 at 17:10
Membro Desde Jan 15, 2024
28 posts
WhiteWitcher posted:By the way, when was the last time you heard about new trading systems that would use new methods of market analysis?Raven1209 posted:Oh maybe that's why they lose? Because they are trying to combine too much or come up with something new. lollexusxxx posted:Despite its simplicity, 90% of traders fail. Apparently not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Feb 14 at 12:16
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Oscar555 posted:Oh trading on the market in the form which it now exists I believe has been fully studied in terms of indicators and analytical tools. All of these patterns and mathematical dependencies that ALWAYS display data based on historical data. That is, there is no predictor unless post-analysis.WhiteWitcher posted:By the way, when was the last time you heard about new trading systems that would use new methods of market analysis?Raven1209 posted:Oh maybe that's why they lose? Because they are trying to combine too much or come up with something new. lollexusxxx posted:Despite its simplicity, 90% of traders fail. Apparently not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Feb 15 at 18:10
Membro Desde Jan 15, 2024
28 posts
WhiteWitcher posted:That's what I'm talking about. Will we not see progress?Oscar555 posted:Oh trading on the market in the form which it now exists I believe has been fully studied in terms of indicators and analytical tools. All of these patterns and mathematical dependencies that ALWAYS display data based on historical data. That is, there is no predictor unless post-analysis.WhiteWitcher posted:By the way, when was the last time you heard about new trading systems that would use new methods of market analysis?Raven1209 posted:Oh maybe that's why they lose? Because they are trying to combine too much or come up with something new. lollexusxxx posted:Despite its simplicity, 90% of traders fail. Apparently not everything is as simple as it seems at first glance.Raven1209 posted:Is it really enough to just find a trend to get profit? It looks too simple for me. Am I wrong?
I'm more into trading than analytics, but I'll try to analyze one of my latest trades.
I will be glad to your comments.
I started trading the USD/CAD pair after it broke through the resistance level at 1.34100, which had formed a series of peaks at the end of the week on January 12th and January 15th on Monday. It was a confident trend-following position that had been growing since December. I set a take profit level around 1.34500, which was indicated by the active impulse peak on January 11th. I didn't seek additional confirmations; in principle, I had enough understanding of the trend and the timing to get profit and set a take profit.
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Feb 17 at 09:06
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
@WhiteWitcher I believe trading has several directions for development, which depend on the needs of traders. For example, for high-frequency trading, the speed of data processing and, accordingly, the instant response of the algorithms are important. This is a parameter that can be improved.
@Marcellus8610
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
Feb 17 at 09:10
Membro Desde May 19, 2020
403 posts
@WhiteWitcher continuing the discussion, for example, market analysis can be significantly enhanced by tools using artificial intelligence.
As for more abstract approaches, there are always open questions in studying the psychology of traders and market behavior. I believe this is very important in crypto trading, where the reaction of the holders decides a lot.
As for more abstract approaches, there are always open questions in studying the psychology of traders and market behavior. I believe this is very important in crypto trading, where the reaction of the holders decides a lot.
@Marcellus8610
Feb 19 at 14:11
Membro Desde Jan 15, 2024
28 posts
I see your point, @MarcellusLux , about the advancements in AI and psychological studies in trading. While these are undoubtedly promising, we must also be cautious about overestimating technology's ability to predict market behaviors accurately, especially in unpredictable markets like crypto.
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Feb 20 at 20:27
Membro Desde Aug 19, 2021
227 posts
Oscar555 posted:Oh there are no unpredictable markets. lol.
I see your point, @MarcellusLux , about the advancements in AI and psychological studies in trading. While these are undoubtedly promising, we must also be cautious about overestimating technology's ability to predict market behaviors accurately, especially in unpredictable markets like crypto.
Feb 21 at 18:50
Membro Desde Sep 02, 2022
56 posts
MarcellusLux posted:You talk about the importance of trades analysis. But what should those who trade with the help of an EA do?
@WhiteWitcher continuing the discussion, for example, market analysis can be significantly enhanced by tools using artificial intelligence.
As for more abstract approaches, there are always open questions in studying the psychology of traders and market behavior. I believe this is very important in crypto trading, where the reaction of the holders decides a lot.
Feb 22 at 13:08
Membro Desde Jan 15, 2024
28 posts
lexusxxx posted:If this is your EA, then it will also be useful for you to work on improving it.MarcellusLux posted:You talk about the importance of trades analysis. But what should those who trade with the help of an EA do?
@WhiteWitcher continuing the discussion, for example, market analysis can be significantly enhanced by tools using artificial intelligence.
As for more abstract approaches, there are always open questions in studying the psychology of traders and market behavior. I believe this is very important in crypto trading, where the reaction of the holders decides a lot.
Feb 23 at 11:14
Membro Desde Sep 29, 2022
64 posts
In my recent GBP/USD trade, initiated on February 21st, I entered a short position at 1.26044. A stop loss was set at 1.26329, just above a minor resistance point to limit risk, while the take profit was placed at 1.25752, targeting a previous support level.
The trade closed on the same day at the stop loss level, resulting in a $5,700 loss. This outcome suggests that my bearish outlook was perhaps premature, or I may have overlooked short-term bullish signals. It's a reminder of the volatile and unpredictable nature of forex markets and the necessity of rigorous risk management.
The trade closed on the same day at the stop loss level, resulting in a $5,700 loss. This outcome suggests that my bearish outlook was perhaps premature, or I may have overlooked short-term bullish signals. It's a reminder of the volatile and unpredictable nature of forex markets and the necessity of rigorous risk management.
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