Pound/dollar had a bullish momentum yesterday, formed a peak of 1.2493. Commercial bias remains bullish for now to test 1.2570 as part of the bullish scenario after the rebound of a triple bottom near 1.2135/08. Intraday support at 1.2440 is seen. A clear break below that could bring price to neutral zone for testing 1.2390. The longer, however, the price holds above 1.2300, I prefer bullish scenario at this stage, and any downside pullback should be seen as a good opportunity to buy.
GBP/USD registered a volatile session on Wednesday. The pound has won 6 pips to an asset. The opening rate was 1.2473 and during the day there were numerous fluctuations in the currency pair. In the first hours of the new day, there was a slight majority of the bulls and they successfully took a peak at a level of 1.2505. There was awakening in bearish players and consequently the course reached the bottom at a rate of 1.2423 or just 3 pips from the first support. Eventually a British pound was worth 1.2479 against the US dollar.
Momentum above session high resistance near 1.2525 level is likely to get extended towards 1.2555-60 horizontal hurdle, above which the pair should aim towards reclaiming the 1.2600 handle. On the downside, retracement back below 1.25 mark now seems to find immediate support near 1.2480 level and only a decisive break below this support would negate near-term bullish bias and trigger a near-term corrective slide back towards 100-day SMA strong resistance, now turned important support near 1.2410 region.
Strong overall bullish stance was boosted by Thursday’s close above 1.2476 (Fibo 61.8% of 1.2704/1.2107 downleg), keeping targets at 1.2563/69 (Fibo 76.4% of 1.2704/1.2107 / 24 Feb high) in near-term focus. Overbought slow stochastic on daily chart suggests that correction may extend, but no firmer bearish signal seen so far. Broken 100SMA (1.2412) and top of daily cloud (1.2404) mark strong supports which are expected to contain extended dips.
GBP/USD reached a high of 1.2530 this week and then started going downhill. The pair is now 1.2484 as we approach the closing candles for the week. Trend on the short-term looks bearish with first bear target at 1.2453.
The British pound registered a volatile session against the dollar on Wednesday. The pair opened at 1.2448 and ended at 1.2432. The graphics continue to develop between moving average, while the index of relative strength remained on neutral territory. In the short term outlook remains neutral as overcoming the levels at 1.2516 or 1.2360 will determine prevailing attitudes.
At the upside, daily cloud top at 1.2473, reinforced by Tenkan-sen line, marks the first upper trigger, with extension above 1.2500 (top of hourly Ichimoku cloud that caps near-term action) needed to signal stronger upside attempts. On the downside, loss of 1.2420/13 pivots would risk fresh weakness towards lower triggers at 1.2360/56 (daily Kijun-sen / cloud base) and signal bearish continuation on firm break lower. Res: 1.2466; 1.2473; 1.2500; 1.2522Sup: 1.2414; 1.2395; 1.2356; 1.2338.
Pound/Dollar tried to lift up in the end of the week, topped at 1.2539. Overall price is still in the downward phase after break below the bullish price channel, but has not yet managed to stay convincingly below EMA 200 and moves in the minor ascending channel. The outlook is neutral for now, perhaps with slight bullish signals for testing 1.2550. The nearest support is at 1.2475. A clear break below that area could trigger further downside pressure testing a key support 1.2375, which needs to be clearly pierced down for the continuation of the bearish scenario.
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