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US construction slump reminiscent of 2005
Expert market comment from senior analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: US construction slump reminiscent of 2005
FxPro
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885 दिनों पहले
The number of US building permits issued collapsed by 11.2% in November to 1,342K after falling by 3.3% a month earlier. Barring a dip in the pandemic, this low number of permits was mid-2019 when the Fed turned to cut rates to support waning economic growth.
The biggest thing the Fed can do in the coming months is to slow the rate hikes and hope for a pause in the hike in a quarter or two.
The number of housing starts fell by 0.5% following declines of 2.1% and 2.9% in the previous two months. The decline is not so steep here, but a clear downward trend is still in place.
The rate of decline in construction is now comparable to what we have seen since 2005. On the other hand, overall construction volumes are near 2017-2019 levels, which can be considered an essential watershed between a desired economic slowdown and an uncontrolled collapse.
The chill in housing real estate could be confirmed or denied in tomorrow's secondary home sales publication, where a second consecutive decline of more than 5% and a tenth consecutive month of decline are expected. Housing market weakness is terrible news for the dollar as it revives speculation that the Fed will stop hiking or reverse to lower rates sooner than the FOMC is currently forecasting.
By the FxPro Analyst Team
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Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 61% 247.68 lot 2390 Lama 39% 155.75 lot 953 2% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURCAD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 25% 146.86 lot 1079 Lama 75% 440.99 lot 3370 4% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.00 lot 0 Lama 100% 0.01 lot 1 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURCZK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 12% 296.71 lot 1867 Lama 88% 2202.27 lot 8416 9% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURGBP. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 46% 7.23 lot 34 Lama 54% 8.49 lot 43 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURHUF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 17% 0.12 lot 2 Lama 83% 0.57 lot 5 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURNOK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 53% 271.00 lot 2251 Lama 47% 243.06 lot 2013 4% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURNZD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 42% 0.48 lot 21 Lama 58% 0.67 lot 7 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURPLN. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 7% 0.01 lot 1 Lama 93% 0.13 lot 3 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURSEK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 68% 1.06 lot 22 Lama 32% 0.50 lot 2 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURTRY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 78% 347.87 lot 1934 Lama 22% 97.01 lot 643 2% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPCAD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 38% 68.44 lot 583 Lama 62% 110.15 lot 940 1% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 83% 1417.88 lot 6832 Lama 17% 291.26 lot 2953 9% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NZDCAD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 28% 113.60 lot 553 Lama 72% 299.26 lot 1671 1% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NZDJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 58% 1327.48 lot 5980 Lama 42% 951.73 lot 2805 8% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NZDUSD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 10% 276.45 lot 1595 Lama 90% 2589.61 lot 9613 7% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 43% 1.15 lot 1 Lama 57% 1.51 lot 16 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDCZK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 12% 0.95 lot 20 Lama 88% 6.66 lot 64 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDHUF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 10% 1.49 lot 50 Lama 90% 13.21 lot 56 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDMXN. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.01 lot 1 Lama 100% 3.88 lot 50 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDNOK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 32% 0.54 lot 3 Lama 68% 1.17 lot 23 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDPLN. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 10% 0.38 lot 3 Lama 90% 3.53 lot 25 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDSEK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 11% 4.73 lot 45 Lama 89% 38.69 lot 265 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDSGD. -
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Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 38% 0.30 lot 1 Lama 63% 0.50 lot 2 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDTRY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 16% 0.61 lot 12 Lama 84% 3.21 lot 83 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDZAR. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 51% 247.48 lot 1820 Lama 49% 238.13 lot 915 2% pedagang kini sedang berdagang CHFJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 37% 227.63 lot 1459 Lama 63% 381.26 lot 3160 3% pedagang kini sedang berdagang AUDCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 74% 254.45 lot 1063 Lama 26% 90.12 lot 932 1% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPNZD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 13% 88.05 lot 689 Lama 87% 569.36 lot 5516 5% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NZDCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 56% 293.56 lot 901 Lama 44% 226.33 lot 749 1% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAGUSD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 57% 5695.83 lot 14635 Lama 43% 4335.40 lot 12484 19% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUUSD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 13% 170.00 lot 792 Lama 87% 1123.82 lot 8362 7% pedagang kini sedang berdagang CADCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 85% 735.16 lot 2064 Lama 15% 132.27 lot 903 3% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPAUD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 42% 2.47 lot 4 Lama 58% 3.35 lot 7 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang SGDJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.00 lot 0 Lama 100% 0.13 lot 7 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPNOK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 90% 1.22 lot 56 Lama 10% 0.13 lot 3 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURZAR. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 74% 7.57 lot 150 Lama 26% 2.66 lot 70 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang AUDSGD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 35% 0.33 lot 2 Lama 65% 0.61 lot 13 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPSEK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 99% 0.85 lot 35 Lama 1% 0.01 lot 1 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang CHFSGD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 48% 163.16 lot 316 Lama 52% 180.20 lot 387 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURSGD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 51% 0.72 lot 21 Lama 49% 0.68 lot 18 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPSGD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 21% 0.04 lot 4 Lama 79% 0.15 lot 8 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUGBP. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.00 lot 0 Lama 100% 0.02 lot 1 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NOKJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 3% 0.10 lot 1 Lama 97% 3.57 lot 30 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang ZARJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 100% 0.40 lot 2 Lama 0% 0.00 lot 0 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPTRY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.00 lot 0 Lama 100% 1.00 lot 1 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDRUB. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 3% 0.05 lot 1 Lama 97% 1.40 lot 2 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang SEKJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 89% 3.54 lot 137 Lama 11% 0.42 lot 7 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang EURMXN. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 74% 6.30 lot 20 Lama 26% 2.18 lot 11 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUAUD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 66% 3.48 lot 22 Lama 34% 1.81 lot 33 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUEUR. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 12% 0.07 lot 4 Lama 88% 0.52 lot 30 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUJPY. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 67% 0.02 lot 1 Lama 33% 0.01 lot 1 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAUCHF. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 100% 0.09 lot 3 Lama 0% 0.00 lot 0 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang GBPMXN. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 100% 0.16 lot 10 Lama 0% 0.00 lot 0 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAGAUD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 0% 0.00 lot 0 Lama 100% 0.54 lot 50 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang NOKSEK. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 2% 0.05 lot 4 Lama 98% 2.07 lot 20 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XAGEUR. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 97% 24.54 lot 49 Lama 3% 0.74 lot 5 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XPTUSD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 30% 0.27 lot 1 Lama 70% 0.63 lot 24 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang XPDUSD. -
Tindakan Peratusan Jumlah Kedudukan Singkat 1% 0.11 lot 8 Lama 99% 10.37 lot 57 0% pedagang kini sedang berdagang USDCNH.
