I'm looking for (Risk of Ruin) probability討論

I would like this to be added into myfxbook, it seems like a nice feature.

Love this site

Waxavi, thanks for the compliments!

Can you show an example of such calculation?

LOL I don't know, sorry... I just used some js formula in some site that did the math.

I will find it as soon as I can!

ROR=1/(1 + %Exp)^(Ic/Ir)

Where
%Exp is the Expectancy as percentage.
Ic is Initial Capital.
Ir is Amount at Risk per each trade.

I would define Ic/Ir as how many consecutive losses a trader can afford before going broke, if I risk 1% per trade, then Ic/Ir= 100

Source: https://bit.ly/ggJsXa

My prob. of losing my stake is 1.63^-53... so practically 0, I think the formula is too optimistic, I would like some people's opinion!

Here you go guys: https://www.futuresmag.com/Issues/2009/August2009/Pages/Minimizing-your-risk-of-ruin.aspx?page=1

Expectancy must be positive, there are different formulas, I think all of them reflect similar results.

thanks wilkinson for this article very interesting
with this such good but simples formulas, i think it is simple for myfxbook to add risk of ruin information
- proba (account loss 20%)
- proba (account loss 50%)

Then that would be risk of drawdown (50%)?

yes, it's in the box
thans to all for this good idea and implementation