KabataFx-INST 토론

As trading in sell side with huge orders to supply the exit from buy side, Can you really meet all exit demands and cap price spike and push back them?

Do you watch order flow before enter the market?

open positions:

Buy Gbp x2
Sell Eur x1
Sell Jpy x1
Buy Usd x3 ? (gold)

It seem not hedged.

we use a very advanced order flow and can see many levels , thus when we place an order we are sure with a big percentage that we will get filled. we have an aggregator that combines all the orders from different levels and fills us at large cap, ( wide spreads). but since our style of trading is not scalping we are fine with the spreads . so we can easily trade 50-100M with preset conditions from our algo

It is very impression that your trades turned around from - 10% draw down into +10% profit, such as Gold trades. Wonderful, Well-done! I learnt lot. Thank you !

I believe your trading style is short-term (maxi 2 or 3 days) anti-sentiment (or count-trend) method. When you enter trades, how do you set up risk limit if price does not turn around in your way? It seem you has no hedge protection on open position, and just let it go, and wait for a turn around to be unfold.

How many algo do you use?
Is your algo similar to TWAP based slot algo or VWAP based algo ?

It is a good time to exit short on eur-usd, due to Usd-yuan got a good pullback to 38% fib level 6.6x; next cycle is down.

we are not in any trades at the moment we are waiting for next week New month

GB10Y is rising to run 1.6 level. So, GBP pairs may rise up significantly.
Eur, Usd rise, too on the same speculation.

In near end of year, US dollar index, dxy, seem break down its range. It may get a impulse down leg to 85 level ? major risk? or jump up from 91.50 to form a up impulse leg to 99 level.

But, with USD/CNH moving down, then, usd will be weak without China Central Bank's intervene. China yuan seem to be No.1 currency in 2018.

SPX is still moving higher, 2017 got 400 pts. US people still hold themself with their bubble. NO attraction to the world.
US bond markets have been twisted or cooked by some force there.
US 30 year Yield: 2.743%, US 10 y: 2.413%, US 2 y: 1.991%. indicate US short term risk for a market crash is very higher in 1st quarter 2018.