Crypto: just a bumpy downtrend

Expert market comment made by Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Crypto: just a bumpy downtrend
FxPro | 606 hari yang lalu

Crypto: just a bumpy downtrend

Market picture

The crypto market declined during the week to a total capitalisation of $2.5 trillion, a third lower than the peaks in December last year. However, towards the end of the week, we could see attempts to stabilise the market, with a rebound of $2.67 trillion.

Despite the growth attempts, only if the market breaks above its 200-day moving average will we be able to take it as a signal of a return to growth. For now, the market dynamics resemble no more than just a bumpy downtrend.

The story is similar in Bitcoin, where the bears are regaining control of the market on bounces to the $83,500 area. A 200-day moving average is near this level.

Ethereum is in a steep decline, having pulled back below $1900. At its low point, it was below $1750. It hasn't been this cheap since October 2023, losing over half of its price since its peak in mid-December.

News background

Outflows from spot bitcoin-ETFs in the US continue for the seventh day in a row, with 19 trading sessions out of 21 already.

CryptoQuant calls the range of $75,000 - 78,000 as support, which coincides with the lower boundary of the realised price. If the quotes are fixed below this zone, the $63,000 mark may become a benchmark.

Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced an updated Bitcoin Act bill in the US Senate that would allow the government to store more than 1 million bitcoins as part of a newly created crypto reserve. The US can buy 200,000 BTC each year for five years, reallocating funds from the Fed and Treasury Department.

The US SEC has extended the deadlines for several applications to launch spot ETFs based on XRP, Solana, Litecoin and Dogecoin. Bloomberg called the regulator's move ‘expected’ and in line with standard procedures.

The FxPro Analyst Team

FxPro
Jenis: NDD
Peraturan: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
baca selanjutnya
Investors Are Heavily Long the US Dollar

Investors Are Heavily Long the US Dollar

Investors are heavily positioned for further US dollar gains as strong jobs data fuel expectations of a hawkish Fed. With inflation still a concern, a December rate hike is back in focus. Tomorrow’s inflation figures could determine the dollar’s next move, but crowded long positions leave the market vulnerable to a sharp reversal if the data disappoint.
Headway | 5j 46min yang lalu
Sterling’s Rebound Faces US Inflation Hurdle

Sterling’s Rebound Faces US Inflation Hurdle

Sterling’s rebound against the dollar faces an immediate hurdle from US inflation data, as traders weigh the Bank of England’s renewed tightening against evidence that the US economy can withstand higher interest rates.
Errante | 9j 9min yang lalu
EURUSD plummeted from its high

EURUSD plummeted from its high

Strong US jobs data and Trump’s weaker political position after the midterms are lifting the dollar and pushing EURUSD lower.
FxPro | 9j 14min yang lalu
Gold, GBPUSD, EURUSD

Gold, GBPUSD, EURUSD

• US inflation data could determine Gold’s next major move • UK GDP and BoE hawkishness may support Sterling recovery • Eurozone growth and French tensions remain key euro risks • Gold, GBPUSD and EURUSD watch critical recovery levels
XM Group | 10j 16min yang lalu
Crypto is testing an important trend line

Crypto is testing an important trend line

The crypto market lost 6% over the week and is testing the 200-day MA at $2.46T. Bitcoin is at $74K; the battle for the trend will be decided in the US session amid ETF outflows.
FxPro | 10j 19min yang lalu