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Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 23 at 14:39

The forex market didn’t really go anywhere today, with most major pairs stuck in tight ranges. Even fresh PMI data didn’t move the needle much, as traders largely brushed it off.Eurozone: PMIs showed mixed signals. Germany’s numbers looked a bit better, but weak readings from France dampened the mood. The bloc is still on a modest growth path, and with price pressures easing, the ECB technically has space to cut rates — though most officials seem happy to sit tight at 2.00% unless things suddenly deteriorate.UK: The picture’s gloomier. PMIs signaled slowing growth...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 22 at 15:14

FX stays quiet, Dollar easesNot much action in the forex market today — most major pairs just hovered inside Friday’s ranges. The Dollar gave back a bit of last week’s gains, but selling was light with little conviction behind it. Fed outlook hasn’t really budged: futures still price in about a 92% chance of a cut in October, plus close to 80% odds of another in December. Those expectations continue to anchor positioning while the Dollar cools off.All eyes later today will be on Fed speakers, especially New York Fed President John Williams. His words usually carry weigh...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 19 at 07:10

The yen bounced back hard today after the BoJ kept rates at 0.50% but dropped a hawkish surprise—two board members actually pushed for a hike. That’s a sign momentum is building toward policy normalization. Still, the Nikkei gave back some of its record highs from earlier this week, as investors took a step back on worries tighter policy could be coming sooner than expected.The shift inside the BoJ shows they’re inching closer to rate hikes, even though inflation pressures have cooled a bit. Politics could complicate things, though—Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s ...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 18 at 17:35

Sterling traded steadily mixed today, showing little reaction to the BoE’s decision to hold rates at 4.00%. The 7–2 vote leaned slightly dovish, with Swati Dhingra and Alan Taylor backing a 25bps cut, but the outcome was broadly expected given their well-established dovish leanings. Importantly, the MPC’s statement flagged that medium-term inflation risks remain “prominent,” sending a clear signal that policymakers are not yet comfortable opening the door to more near-term easing.For markets, the key question is whether November will deliver a cut. On that, the an...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 18 at 06:34

Markets had a wild ride overnight after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut and updated forecasts. The Dollar first tanked when officials penciled in two more cuts this year—but then snapped back higher as traders realized the overall tone wasn’t as dovish as expected. That bounce in the greenback dragged Wall Street and Gold off record highs, while 10-year yields recovered after briefly dipping under 4%.For now, the Dollar’s rebound suggests the worst of the selling pressure might be behind us, but it’s still too early to call a proper trend shift. A lot will hinge on wheth...

Is learning forex from YouTube sufficient, or should you take a course? dalam Pedagang Baharu Sep 17 at 12:10

I highly recommend the course, but not just any course, rather one based on fundamental analysis and quantitative analysis. Technical analysis and psychology do not work because 99% of people study precisely that, and the crowd never makes money in the market. On top of everything else, amateur or novice traders are unable to look at themselves from a different angle and correct their mistakes. If they could, they would have done so long ago, which is why they need an outside perspective. My answer is simple: the information on YouTube is not enough...What's the point of reading books and ...

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 17 at 07:03

First, you need to build up your physical health and energy. If you are weak, sick, and poor, no amount of psychology or trading will help you. Get yourself in shape, get rid of addictions, and find a job.After that, it would be better to work on your relationships, get rid of those who hold you back and only cause problems, whether it's your girlfriend or friends, and in some cases even family. I would limit my communication with people who harm you and at the same time try to find like-minded people, at least online.Calming your emotions is not an easy task. First, as I said above, you n...

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 17 at 06:52

I would like to caution you against working with psychology by working with your thoughts and brain; you cannot change psychology using psychology itself.

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 17 at 06:49

Markets were mostly in wait-and-see mode today as traders braced for the Fed’s big policy decision. A 25bps cut is all but locked in, but the real action will come from the details: how split the vote is, what the new projections show, and Powell’s tone at the presser. That’s what’ll shape expectations on how quickly (and how far) this easing cycle goes.The setup is tense. Stocks and Gold are already sitting at record highs, with room to push further if Powell leans dovish. Bond traders are glued to the 10-year yield, watching if it can crack below the 4% mark — a...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 16 at 06:27

Risk appetite stayed strong in the U.S. overnight, with both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ hitting fresh record highs. Traders piled further into equities and risk assets on growing conviction that the Fed will kick off its easing cycle this week. Sentiment got an extra boost from news that Washington and Beijing reached a “framework” agreement on TikTok — taking some heat out of U.S.–China tensions.Fed in FocusMarkets are almost unanimous that the FOMC cuts rates this week. That view only firmed after Stephen Miran, Trump’s nominee, was confirmed to the Fed Boar...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 15 at 15:14

orex trading was pretty quiet in Asia today. Major currency pairs barely budged, and regional stock markets also held steady. That calm comes even after another batch of weak Chinese economic data, which showed the slowdown there is spreading. Traders didn’t seem too rattled, though—the numbers mostly reinforced the idea that Beijing will need to roll out more stimulus soon. For now, the prospect of extra support from the government is helping keep risk sentiment from turning sour.China’s policy outlook is still tied closely to the Fed. Once the Fed makes its rate-cut path cl...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 13 at 12:55

Markets entered last week with elevated anticipated and left with even sharper convictions. Weak U.S. labor data tilted sentiment decisively toward faster Fed easing, while equity markets used that prospect as a springboard to yet another round of record highs.Bond markets echoed that view. US 10-year yield broke briefly below 4%, sending a signal that investors are ready to front-load expectations for deeper easing. In the currency markets, Dollar failed to reclaim ground, leaving the stage open for other majors to shine.At the front of the pack, Aussie surged ahead, powered additionally by s...

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 12 at 06:47

Summarizing the latest posts, we can conclude that it is necessary to eliminate harmful habits that destroy the body and brain, and that we need to redirect energy from the emotional brain to the rational brain.There is no point in going round in circles with repetitive internal dialogues, emotions, and self-pity. As long as you remain in this vicious circle, all your attempts to trade normally will be futile. The first thing that can help with this is controlled breathing and exercise. Our task is to control our thoughts as often as possible throughout the day. This is an approach through the...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 12 at 06:35

The euro slipped a bit after the ECB kept its deposit rate unchanged at 2.00% and rolled out fresh staff forecasts, but the dip didn’t last long. Markets noticed inflation—both headline and core—is now seen just under the 2% target by 2026–27, which leaves the door open for more easing later. Still, the ECB isn’t in any hurry, sticking to its “data-dependent” line. Unless the numbers get worse, no one’s betting on a near-term move, which kept the euro pretty steady overall.Over in the U.S., CPI landed mostly as expected. Headline inflation rose 0...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 10:53

Recession Watch in the USAbout 3% of US states are already in recession, according to Moody’s Analytics.Even more worrying: states that make up a third of US GDP are either in recession or at high risk.The good news? California, Texas, and New York are still holding up pretty well, which is helping stabilize the overall economy.Japan’s Central Bank MovesMost economists think the Bank of Japan will hike its key interest rate by 0.25% or more in Q4 2025.Here’s the risk: if the US tips further into recession while the BoJ keeps raising rates, the carry trade could unwind, leadin...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 07:51

Gold have best situation right now cause if we have lower print = rate cuts = gold bullishIf we get higher inflation = less rate cuts = but gold is hedge against inflation and stagflation But i think we need some retracement on Gold

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 06:57

Fundamental contextAsian markets were pretty mixed today, with trading staying quiet as investors waited for two big events: the ECB meeting and U.S. inflation data. Nobody seemed eager to make bold moves before getting some clarity.The ECB decision probably won’t stir things up much — markets are fully expecting rates to stay at 2.00%. Christine Lagarde isn’t likely to give any strong guidance either, so the focus will mostly be on her tone and the new forecasts to see if policymakers think rate cuts are done for now.On the other hand, U.S. CPI is the real market mover. The ...

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 06:54

This is roughly the cycle that occurs in the brain of the average person. Various uncontrollable thoughts come into their head, they either regret something, such as a missed trade, then they experience emotions and believe that what they are thinking about is important, and so on in an endless cycle.

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 06:24

Our task is to transfer the energy that is expended in the limbic system to the prefrontal cortex and then to the pineal gland.The prefrontal cortex is where willpower, choice, reason and discipline reside. Essentially intelligence. And in the pineal gland is our capacity for intuition, which overtakes logic and emotion. Unfortunately, many people for some reason want to go straight to the intuitive level of trading, although they trade purely on emotions. I will tell you simply, if you have not realized the zen of life and have not gone into the spirit, then forget about intuition.NOT YOUR LE...

Advanced Trading Psychology dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Sep 11 at 06:19

In most people, the bulk of the energy is concentrated in the limbic system, where all the neural connections are located. Unfortunately or fortunately, our society is not rational at all. The average mass of people has rather mediocre intellectual abilities due to poor education. And perhaps because of genetics, but it doesn't concern us. Society moves forward thanks to the few, while the masses are most often mistaken.All of this is also reflected in the markets... The crowd is stupid and they are wrong about the direction of prices. They take big risks in intraday trades and lose all th...

EURUSD	1.15584	GBPUSD	1.3294	AUDUSD	0.65473
USDJPY	153.011	USDCAD	1.40229	USDCHF	0.80672

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