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Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 25 at 08:40

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 25 at 08:37

I forgot something. Currencies, commodities, and indices have their own characteristics.USD/CHF/JPY - safe-haven currenciesEUR/GBP/CAD/AUD/NZD - risk currenciesThe euro can sometimes act as a safe-haven currency because the economic system and politics are fairly stable, and it is the second strongest currency after the dollar.Emerging market currencies are risk instrumentsCAD / NZD / AUD - commodity currencies, dependent on commodity prices. CAD - oil / NZD - dairy products and timber / AUD - gold, copper, iron.There are other commodities, but these are the main ones.Gold – a safe haven...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 25 at 08:30

Now we have EUR and USD negotiations in focus overall... FED rate cuts... Choose best economic data divergences and open risk on trades will be my approach for now

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 25 at 08:27

Key Themes:ECB Rate Cut Expectations Pushed BackEuro gained notably against Sterling and Swiss Franc, after ECB President Christine Lagarde downplayed near-term policy easing. Markets now lean toward an October rate cut, rather than September, supported by resilient July services PMI data and unchanged June forecasts.USD Recovery Amid Fed Stability SignsThe Dollar rebounded slightly as institutional risk faded—President Trump walked back threats to dismiss Fed Chair Jerome Powell, softening rhetoric during a symbolic Fed visit. Although frustrations remain over Powell’s rate stance...

Market Fundamental Context dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 24 at 13:17

I decided to keep a short report on what the market thinks. This is the most difficult thing for beginners to understand: what is important at the moment and how to dance from this starting point.The main idea on the market right now is promotion within the framework of trade war deals between the US and other countries. Let me remind you that the US recently reached an agreement with Japan and some other Asian countries. Prior to that, the US reached an agreement with England, while the pause with China has been extended for a longer period. All in all, this leads to (risk on). Risk assets sh...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 24 at 12:47

We can see that asset managers addig EUR longs / Adding GBP shorts / Retail traders 93% short and price move higher ANYWAYS IM ALREADY BE AND OUT WITH SOME PROFITS SO DO NOT COPY AHAHAH You saw just tiny part of pro approach... But even using this you increase probability of success dramaticly

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 24 at 12:41

Let's talk about supply and demand and how it looks on a chart: The supply and demand zone is not something definite, because supply and demand are constantly present in the market. I would like to offer you a very simple and effective way to identify the best price. Many may remember that very few traders are successful... We need strategy that will help us in identifying imbalances between price, supply, and demand. Figuratively speaking, we need to identify the place and time when the market is incorrect and capitalize on this. We need a discount, so we cannot buy high and sell low. Le...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 24 at 12:21

Now let's talk about inflation. Inflation of 2-3% is considered normal, provided that the economy is growing; in fact, it is even a sign of a healthy economy. The central bank states in its announcements the target inflation rate it is aiming for. High inflation is a serious problem because people's wages cannot keep up with inflation for goods and services, which leads to social unrest. To keep inflation within reasonable limits, the central bank tightens monetary policy, thereby making money more expensive and slowing down economic growth. Deflation, or negative inflation, is counte...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 17 at 11:31

Try to understand full scheme by yourself ( Imagine that you rule the country )

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 17 at 09:59

Everything matters, at the same time, don't try to smooth corners or take the easy way out. You have to put the whole puzzle together!

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 17 at 09:57

I will try to explain as simply as possible how the Central Bank and interest rates work. The central bank manages the country's money, it can make loans expensive or cheap by changing the interest rate. In fact, the central bank has two directions, either hawkish or dovish, tightening monetary policy or loosening monetary policy.The central bank looks at economic data and based on the state of the domestic economy, the central bank will decide what to do with the interest rate. Let's say we have economic growth, i.e. the GDP of the country is growing, usually with economic growth, inf...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 17 at 09:18

I forgot to talk about a couple of filters before we would move on to fundamental analysis.First of all, the most important thing is the context, it is essentially formed by the market itself, i.e. the participants that matter. For example, the central bank, politicians, banks and so on. For example, at the moment the main context is focused on the US trade war with the rest of the world and the independence of the FED, which means that the PMI news or for example the expected decrease in the interest rate of any country is not important. Although in some other time frame it will matter. Simpl...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 15 at 09:06

Now let's touch a little bit on economics and in general how everything works in reality, we will not go into details, we as traders need an advantage, concise and short but very useful.We have a foreign exchange market, where people buy and sell currencies for their own interests to make money. Each country has its own currency that represents it, like a sports team on an economic battlefield. By the way, the American dollar is considered the strongest world currency, mostly all transactions are conducted in dollars, less often in euros and yen. Given that each currency represents a diffe...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 15 at 08:34

To summarize, this is important because most people don't think straight when it comes to learning something new because their brains have degenerated drawing lines and circles on a chart, just kidding.You should have realized:1) Technical analysis alone doesn't work.2) Trading psychology is an excuse.3) Intraday trading is not desirable for most.4) 99.9% of social media trading gurus are frauds.5) Fundamental and quantitative analysis is the only answer.6) You need to separate yourself from the crowd to make money.7) By studying market sentiment and applying it to your trading you hav...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 12 at 18:41

The next topic, which is risk sentiment, is quite difficult in practical application because it requires real experience in trading fundamental analysis because the context is constantly changing. To put it simply, there are two risk on and risk off sentiments for big investors, when we say that we have risk on, it means that everything is stable in the world, there are no wars, crises and reasons to worry, which moves up risky assets such as AUD, GBP, NZD, CAD, Nasdaq, BTC.... Basically anything that is a risk asset. When we say risk off, it means that assets like USD, Gold, CHF, JPY, and som...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 12 at 18:35

Now we'll touch on the COT report, these are futures market reports from hedge funds, banks and so on. For us traders, the benefit of this report is that we can see what positions the big players opened last week. This report is released every Friday for the past week, which means that this indicator is slightly delayed and can not be used for trading ideas, we as pros can not rely on delayed information, we must become the best out of best traders. This indicator is also a confirmation type for trading idea rather than the reason itself, it works very well in conjunction with the mood of ...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 12 at 18:32

In the course of my previous arguments you should have realized that trading on technical analysis, intraday trading and psychology is what 99% of people do and as a consequence they all lose.Now let's move on to something more interesting, market sentiment analysis. I realize that it's hard to change to a new way at once, so I start with something simpler, like sentiment analysis. This type of analysis cannot be the main source of trading ideas and you will soon understand why. We will go over Retail Sentiment + COT report + Risk Sentiment. Retail sentiment - when amateur traders open...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 10 at 05:55

Good morning. Today I would like to touch upon such a problem as trading psychology. I have a completely different view of things than most people, I consider psychology to be a nonsense, because working on the table of ethereal problems within the framework of trading does not give us any advantage except for wasted time in the hope of changing ourselves, in the fight against ourselves.Let's face it, you've probably heard that a trader must overcome his fear, greed, pity, FOMO and so on. You are also familiar with the excuse of “I have a good strategy but because of psychology I...

Fundamental Trading FX dalam Pedagang Berpengalaman Jul 09 at 11:35

This topic will focus on fundamental analysis, sentiment analysis and technical analysis as an additional tool. From my experience I can say that my trading changed when I discovered fundamental analysis and sentiment analysis. Unfortunately technical analysis is absolutely subjective and is not able to give the desired results, all those who promote this approach are either beginners or want to sell you their stupid course. I don't blame them, they just want to make money by virtue of their intellectual abilities and only a few really know how to trade. By the way, have you ever noticed t...

EURUSD	1.16583	GBPUSD	1.34135	AUDUSD	0.65279
USDJPY	148.393	USDCAD	1.37309	USDCHF	0.80128

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