Posts de Norm_XXI - Página 10

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Mar 01, 2018 at 09:58

The question that today's session raises is whether European indices will fully reflect the Wall Street losses or considering its recent underperformance this indentation will be limited. The year 2018 teaches that complacency can be a dangerous feeling.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 27, 2018 at 09:27

The indexes are still in consolidation. A breakout from this consolidation zone will set in motion and a trend for the weeks, until then we may expect to sell the highs and buy the lows.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 27, 2018 at 06:30

In the macroeconomic context, the day was marked by the presence of ECB President Mario Draghi in the European Parliament. In his first dialogue this year with MEPs, and about a week away from the next monetary policy meeting, the ECB President said that the ECB should remain persistent and patient in attributing stimulus to the economy, even in the face of current momentum which makes the Central Bank more confident in terms of prospects for inflation levels. In fact, Draghi argued that inflation remains dependent on monetary stimuli. In addition, Mario Draghi mentioned that ECB measures have...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 26, 2018 at 05:53

Last Friday the US market traded bullishly, though on a weekly basis it was headed for losses. Hewlett-Packard shares rose about 10 percent after having reported quarterly results and future prospects that pleased investors. In terms of the debt market, 10-year TO yields, which peaked at the beginning of the week in the last 4 years, were now down to around 2,875%.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 23, 2018 at 10:27

One day after the minutes of the last FED meeting were published, the US market was trading higher, with attention focused on the economic indicators reported and the interventions of some Fed members. The number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits decreased by 7,000 to 222,000, thus reaching the 2nd lowest level since the end of the 2007-2009 recession. The forecast was for 230,000. On the other hand, the advanced indicators of the economy registered an increase of 1% during the month of January, compared to the estimates of 0.70%.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 22, 2018 at 06:02

Considered the largest retailer in the world, Walmart reported a adjusted EPS of 1.33 USD, which fell short of the estimated 1.37 USD. Revenues amounted to 136 300 M.USD, which exceeded forecasts of 134 900. But what displeased investors was the evolution of WalMart’s efforts to compete with Amazon in the e-commerce market. WalMart’s online business growth rate of 23% is small compared to the 40% recorded by Amazon. WalMart shares fell by 10.20%, the biggest daily drop since January 1988.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 21, 2018 at 06:06

Most European stock markets ended up with almost all sectors showing gains. The London market was an exception, with the main FTSE 100 index showing a slight loss (-0.03%). The session was essentially based on the reaction of investors to some published results. Billiton recorded a devaluation of more than 4%, penalizing its sector. The mining company reported a semiannual profit amounted to 4050 M.USD and EBITDA to 11240 M.USD. Both numbers fell short of the 4340 M.USD and 11580 M.USD estimated by analysts. On the positive side, the proposed dividend is $ 0.55 per share, more than the $ 0.48 ...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 20, 2018 at 06:06

European markets closed lower, retreating from gains made last week. The volume of trading was lower than usual, given the closing of the North American Stock Exchange, reason why the movements ended up having a greater weight. Most of the sectors traded in the negative, with the losses being led by car manufacturers and pharmacists. Daimler fell 2.08%, after news that it may have used software to tamper with gas emissions. Reckitt Benckiser reported quarterly results and raised forecasts for 2018. Investors, however, attached great importance to moderate potential in terms of operating margin...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 18, 2018 at 07:58

In the United States, the recovery initiated in the last 5 sessions and that has allowed the recovery of the market after the recent correction, remained on this last day of the week. Today’s macroeconomic agenda has been filled with some relevant indicators. Regarding the real estate market, the houses under construction during the month of January registered a 9.70% increase, above the expected 3.50%, as well as construction permits which also showed a very favorable evolution (7.40%) and surpassed the expectations that pointed to a zero variation. On the other hand, the consumer confi...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 16, 2018 at 15:24

The US market was trading higher, with indexes trying to reach a series of 5 consecutive days in positive territory. Attentions have been focused on macroeconomic indicators. Yesterday the data on inflation were announced and today the number of weekly applications for unemployment benefit has been published, which increased from 7,000 of the lows of the last 45 years to 230,000. In the business field, Cisco Systems was advancing more than 3% after having reported results higher than the estimates. For the first time in more than two years, the company has seen an annual increase in revenues.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 15, 2018 at 06:07

With the positive performance of the banking sector, the US market recovered from the initial losses. This negative performance at the opening was spurred by the publication of data on inflation relative to the first month of the year. The consumer price index rose 0.50% in January (the highest increase in the last 5 months), up from the 0.30% expected by economists. In relation to the same month of the previous year, inflation remained at 2.10%, but exceeded the expected 1.90%. On the other hand, the so-called core inflation (which excludes the most volatile goods and is the most considered) ...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 14, 2018 at 08:25

On Friday US markets ended up in a session that was again marked by high volatility, thus completing the worst week for stock markets since January 2016. During the session, the S&P ranged from a loss of 1.80% to a appreciation of 2.10%. The magnitude of the S&P oscillation becomes sharper when compared to the fact that in 2017, the American index recorded about 150 consecutive sessions with oscillations of less than 1%. The day was totally dominated by market factors, which replicated the movements of the previous sessions. During the day, there were some selling associated with autom...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 14, 2018 at 07:46

As it did last week, the evolution of American markets should dictate course and sentiment in Europe. In recent sessions, oil has suffered sharp losses due to strong sales by hedge funds.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 09, 2018 at 15:09

This point is particularly relevant as there is a relevant difference between the decisions taken by investors and decisions resulting from an automatic algorithm. Investors tend to assess market conditions before submitting their orders, so in the absence of purchases a number of these investors are likely to wait for market normalization. On the other hand, the automatic programs generally act solely and exclusively according to the algorithms with which they have been programmed that will be able to integrate the market conditions or not. As a result, many of these programs will be able to ...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 09, 2018 at 14:57

Deutsche Bank has published an interesting study on how S&P reacted after the 10 biggest VIX rises. Thus, on average, the S&P appreciated 3.90% in the week following the occurrence of these increases. However, S & P lost an average of 0.40% in the following month and 2.60% in the following three months. Yesterday’s rise in sovereign interest rates is explained by the lower buyer interest that the 10-year bond auction raised among investors and the news that the two parties in Congress have reached an agreement to fund the American state with 300,000 M. USD over the next two y...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 08, 2018 at 06:37

Normally, after a steep decline like the one observed in the previous sessions, markets tend to fluctuate quite volatile not only because the fall forces investors to restructure their portfolios but force them to reshape their outlook on the stock market situation. At this stage investors’ sensitivity to events and news is extreme, so their reaction to these factors could be somewhat exacerbated, thus contributing to the remain of high volatility.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 07, 2018 at 06:48

Once the first negative reaction is over, and in a purely technical and short-term perspective, it can not be excluded that stock markets can start a recovery. World stocks may be favored by the fact that yields have reached levels that are technically called overbought.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 06, 2018 at 06:17

The epicenter of the weakness in the stock market lies in the bond market and more precisely in the rise in yields. Only now, and after months of upward trend, stock market investors are beginning to wake up to the potential detrimental effects that rising yields can cause. In a phase of high nervousness, any event can aggravate investors' sentiment.

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 05, 2018 at 05:46

Wall Street traded lower on the day the job report was known. The environment was characterized by a rise in yields on sovereign debt and the reaction to business results released yesterday after the closing of three major companies: Alphabet (Google), Amazon and Apple. The employment report showed that 200 000 jobs were created during January, more than the expected 180 000. Salaries rose 0.30%, in line with expectations. These data boosted yields on Treasury Bonds, with 10-Year Treasury Bonds reaching the highest of the last 4 years. Regarding the reaction of technology companies that report...

Trading Journal em Novos Negociantes Feb 02, 2018 at 12:26

Last week the USDCAD fell with a wide range and closed near the low of the week, in addition the currency pair managed to close below the previous week low, which suggests a strong bearish momentum.

EURUSD	1.07592	GBPUSD	1.25421	AUDUSD	0.6609
USDJPY	153.496	USDCAD	1.36902	USDCHF	0.90581

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