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archertrading
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archertrading
Tom'sEa WPFX LIVE
em
Sistemas de Negociação
May 20, 2012 at 21:04
Look, I mainly develop proprietary stuff, but I've been watching this system some time with interest. In light of the recent events, I'd like to offer up some advice. The system is what it is, but I think a much safer way to trade it would be something like:Long Only EURUSDShort Only EURJPYLong Only USDJPYIn this way you're long one EUR, short one EUR. Long one USD, short one USD. Long one JPY, short one JPY. If the JPY is trending, your drawdown would only be in one of the pairs.If the EUR is trending your drawdown will only be in one of the pairs.If the USD is trending, your .......
Daily percentage added to Twitter option
em
Caixa de Sugestões
Mar 08, 2012 at 19:16
My point is simply this: Pips does not always equal. Profit is a factor of pips X position size. Not all pips are created equal! :)
Daily percentage added to Twitter option
em
Caixa de Sugestões
Mar 08, 2012 at 19:12
I've lost 1000 pips in a day and it reflected a gain of 2%. A lot of stat arb trades were 2X the lot size on one side compared to the other and while a profitable set of trades, the twitter feed reflected very negatively. I too got lots of "ouch" and "you're having a bad day" messages.... which I wasn't.
can some expert analyze my result? please help
em
Geral
Jan 04, 2012 at 05:58
Sure, you can curve fit the hell out of a dataset, but it becomes increasingly hard over time and in varying market conditions. Hence a longer backtest. This is precisely why you get these EA sellers that do a backtests on a year by year basis. The same inputs wouldn't have worked throughout all of the years in the test and while it's not a bad thing to re-optimize your strategies for current conditions, we don't know what they are in advance and these guys naturally know what the market conditions were like in 2006 and they engineer the backtests to do the best for that timeframe....
can some expert analyze my result? please help
em
Geral
Jan 03, 2012 at 19:57
@ jpbiznes - as a few people have said, you've got to run it for years. The more the merrier. A curve fit model is easier to work on a shorter period. Try to see the results in as many market conditions and cycles as possible. @ Raiden - That is common and for your backtests we normally employ something like this: mt4i.com/spreadcontroller.aspx and set it to a value a tad higher than the statistical highs of the spread. Performance is reduced naturally, but you get a more realistic picture as slippage does occur in live trading. @rob559 - every serious trader and quant I know backtests. T...
Daily percentage added to Twitter option
em
Caixa de Sugestões
Nov 16, 2011 at 11:29
It would be great that if in addition to pips gained / day in the twitter option that you could add the percentage gain on the day. For example I just closed a profitable arbitrage between the NZDJPY and EURNZD. That said the pip value on the EURNZD is about 70% of that of the NZDJPY. So... it shows a negative pip count (which is true) but the trade was profitable. In addition unless a person is using a fixed lot size across all pairs, the pip count is kind of irrelevant. People using volatility based position sizing or the kelly criterion or the one that scares me... Martingale. All of these ...
Forex Growth Bot
em
Sistemas de Negociação
Sep 08, 2011 at 06:57
This thing just continues it's slide into the abyss. Sad... I thought that for once the commercial EA industry would for once provide something of value to it's customers, but it appears that it's just business as usual. I've read through most of the thread, and I've been trading for many, many years. You have ups and downs, but if my equity curve went straight down for the past month, wiping out a quarter of my account, I'd have to be comatose to let it continue.
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