psaTrading' s příspěvky - stránky 32

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 03, 2015 at 10:22

In the beginning of the session the European markets traded with some gains. Continuing Greece as center stage of the current situation, it’s creditors will present today a final proposal. It was reported that the proposal should include reforms of the labor market and the pension system, privatization and changes in the functioning of the public system. The outline of this proposal should be submitted today to the Greek Prime Minister when he meets the President of the European Commission. This document represents a change compared to recent months as constituting a joint proposal from ...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 02, 2015 at 15:45

The Greek issue has caused a sharp increase in volatility and an intention to many fund managers to protect themselves from a possible negative surprise. In fact, the volatility of European indices May reached levels only recorded in January. This uncertainty with regard to Greece, which is causing the growth in volatility has also induced much fund managers to resort to buying puts (put options) to protect their portfolios. If hypothetically is not reached an agreement for Greece, most likely the European indices will fall, generating losses in the portfolios of investment funds. However, the...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 01, 2015 at 10:29

In the pre-opening, European markets were trading with slight gains, benefiting from the positive closing of the Asian indices. Today will be published the final reading of the PMI index (Purchasing Managers Index), which should confirm that the eurozone economy is recovering at a solid but steady pace, based on the ECB’s action, the depreciation of the Euro, the price decrease of oil and revive domestic demand in some. In the coming days investors’ attention will remain focused on the Greek situation. The talks between the leaders of this country and its creditors resumed yesterda...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 29, 2015 at 14:44

After months of deadlock, the news reported by the Greek authorities that pointed to a breakthrough appeared to be the decisive step to a solution. However, this advance was categorically denied by several European leaders, thus constituting an unexpected setback in this process. Apparently, the “triumphant” message of the Greek negotiators was reported in the press even before the start of the meeting with the European partners. According to CNBC, negotiations will resume on Sunday, date the Greek authorities said they would announce the agreement. These advances and setbacks can ...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 28, 2015 at 12:23

Central Europe stock markets will be more positively influenced, by the Greek situation than conditioned negatively by the appreciation of the Euro. Theoretically, if the prospect of improving investors regarding the Greek situation should enhance the Euro it is therefore reduced the perceived risk of the eurozone.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 27, 2015 at 12:51

European markets deal in consolidation after the fall of the stock exchanges in yesterday’s session. Markets can now benefit from the recovery in commodity prices, especially the price of crude oil and copper.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 26, 2015 at 12:00

Today, attention will focus on the publication of economic indicators that will help investors to shape their expectations for future interest rates. The agenda of this week does not provide for the publication of first-line indicators, with the exception of GDP, whose new calculation will be announced on Friday.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 25, 2015 at 17:08

Despite the earning season is completed, some companies continue to provide information on its activity. The German Merck said it expects its sales to increase about 5% in its core segments, before the new drug development perspective.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 22, 2015 at 09:16

The European indices started the session negotiating without major fluctuations. In the currency market, the euro continue to be traded above 1.11, a crucial support that was broken yesterday and could be a sign for the continuation of the downward movement.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 21, 2015 at 08:40

Today begins the meeting of European leaders in Riga and which will continue tomorrow. The Greek Government has always mentioned that the distance between the positions of his country and its partners were essentially political and not technical. Therefore, it is not excluded that during this event, to be held some overtures between the parties. Athens seems to have a more flexible approach than in the past regarding several important matters: Privatizations; The introduction of a new tax on banking transactions and fiscal targets for 2015. Yesterday, information sources cited an Athens govern...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 20, 2015 at 09:41

Yesterday, the European currency suffered sharp losses by virtue of the words of an ECB member, who said that the ECB should accelerate the pace of debt purchase program. The EURUSD pair broke today the level 1.11, so the upward movement of the last month is definitely compromised, which is very positive for the European Stock Indexes.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 19, 2015 at 09:56

A survey conducted by Merrill Lynch showed that the vast majority of global managers have a level of liquidity well above the average of recent years. If the S & P start a new rally, these managers will be forced to allocate this liquidity to equity markets in order to follow their benchmarks.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 18, 2015 at 16:32

The European indices are trading slightly higher. Investors should continue to show up prudent and to monitor the behavior of essentially three markets: The American Stock Market, the Bond and Foreign Exchange markets. In the US, the S & P continues to test a major resistance zone, which if exceeded could positively influence the European markets. In the currency market, the euro retreated slightly but still remains the possibility of the up trend to continue as investors may buy more euros. In the bond market, European sovereign yields advance slightly. In addition, the rumors about G...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 15, 2015 at 09:26

European indexes climb, reflecting the good performance of Wall Street and Mario Draghi’s words. Yesterday the ECB President reiterated the full support of the Central Bank to the European economy through its quantitative easing program, which will last as long as necessary. These comments are important for two reasons. The first is that dispels some concerns that had arisen that the ECB, given the improvement of the European economy could reduce this program. The second is that financial markets often need evidence to support their convictions.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 14, 2015 at 11:51

The European indices started the session trading down, again with the debt market to influence investor’s decisions. However, attention should also be focused on the evolution of the Euro / Dollar after yesterday the dollar having depreciated following the publication of retail sales in the US, an indicator that disappointed the market.Greece’s economy fell back into recession in the first quarter, data released Wednesday Showed. The contracting economy Increases the Measures on Tsipras to meet conditions in September by euro-region Governments and the International Monetary Fund f...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 13, 2015 at 11:22

The European indices negotiate with slight gains, reflecting the recovery on Wall Street after the European close. Before the opening were published variations of GDP in Germany and France. The German economy grew by 0.30% in Q1 2015 compared to the last quarter of 2014. Economists had anticipated an increase 0.50%. In the same period, the French economy grew 0.60%, beating economists' forecasts. Despite the negative deviation of German growth, these data demonstrate that the economic recovery in the Euro Zone is gaining some consistency. However, equity markets are going through a very co...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 12, 2015 at 11:36

The European indices decline. Yesterday’s meeting of Eurogroup was marked by very timid advances towards an understanding between Greece and its European partners. Even with regard to the meeting statement did not prevail an agreement, since Greece intended to be mentioned a breakthrough in the talks, while other countries only recognized the existence of a more constructive atmosphere, prompting again for what remains. Tomorrow is the next event, the ECB decision regarding the liquidity lines available to Greek banks. In recent days there were some rumors, that last week, when the gover...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 11, 2015 at 11:51

Tomorrow Greece will have to repay 755 M. € to the IMF. During the end-of-week, the Greek government reduced its estimates for GDP growth, which is expected to grow 0.80% in 2015, less than the 1.40% forecast in March, when was addressed a letter, about the reforms, to the European Commission.Technically, the main theme of the next few days will be the S & P test the area of 2120, which in recent months is working as resistance for the upward movement of the index. If the S & P over this area, then it will be possible a new rally.Asian markets closed higher, reflecting ...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 08, 2015 at 15:07

European shares jumped the most since January, buoyed by a surprise election win for British Prime Minister David Cameron’s party and improving U.S. jobs data.Stocks extended gains after data showed the U.S. jobless rate in April fell to a six-year low, while payrolls climbed 223,000 (Below estimated 224,000), a faster pace than in March.The statement from the Fed’s last meeting said that the continuous progression of the labor market is a necessary (but not sufficient) for the central bank to start normalizing monetary policy. If job creation was well above the estimated we would ...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci May 07, 2015 at 11:35

The weakness and volatility that the equity markets have accused the last two sessions is essentially the result of three factors: the uncertainty with regard to Greece, the strength of the euro and the rise in yields. With economic data pointing to a slowdown in the US economy, it is natural and probable the appreciation of the Euro, and may convince many investors to close their selling positions in this currency. Another factor that has conditioned the equity markets is the general rise in yields of government bonds. In part, this rise in yields (bonds decline) due to the fact that many glo...

EURUSD	1.13037	GBPUSD	1.32767	AUDUSD	0.64436
USDJPY	144.966	USDCAD	1.38103	USDCHF	0.8268

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