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How often does the market change?

Nov 30 2015 at 08:11
posts 5
Hi all, I am learning forex right now and I am wondering how much does the market change year to year. If I create a bot that gives me 100% return over the last 12 months with very little drawdown is that good enough to implement it? I ask because I am trying to build a strategy right now but I am testing it over many years of data. What I find is some years are amazing, some are horrible, others break even. I can tweak things to get an overall positive result but then I am left with long patches of little to no growth and the great years are only Okay.

So I guess what I am asking is how much effort should I put into building a strategy that beats and market for the past 10 years? Or is it best to find what works now(past 12-6 months) and be ready to develop something new if the market changes?

Example: If you found out that for the past 6 months 85% of long trades placed at 5pm New York time turned profit would you roll with that? Or ignore it, as it didn't work 7+ months ago.
Ben Nathan (BenNathanFX)
Nov 30 2015 at 11:00
posts 137
The market is always changing - Thats why theres no EA in the world with confirmed great live account performance that spans more than 12 months.

Youd be better off taking the time to learn about what moves the markets outside of the charts. I.e. Fundmaentals - use them to choose pair and direction on any given day and then use a technical method to manage that decision.

HOLY GRAIL: Fundamental Analysis to chose your pairs/direction, Technical Entry/SL/TP for consistent Management of those decisions
kieran (snapdragon1970)
Nov 30 2015 at 21:26
posts 1948
Read my posts if your interested in Eur/usd .

"They mistook leverage with genius".
Dec 02 2015 at 08:08
posts 5
Are there benefits of doing fundamental analysis if you trade on low time frames. Say 1hour or even 5minutes? Can you really tell the direction of a single day from fundamental sources? I understand how watching interest rates, employment numbers, inflation, etc, can give you a good idea of where money is going in the market longish term. However I don't know of any sources that can tell you the direction of one particular day. An hourly chart can trend down for days in a weekly uptrend. Unless you are talking about trading news releases I'm confused how fundamentals affect very low time frames with enough accuracy to trade on. Sure you could trade with 200+ pip stops but then you are basically trading the Daily charts while looking at the hourly.
Nov 24 2020 at 20:27
posts 232
There is no specific time to change the market. It is a volatile market. So, it can change anytime.
Nov 25 2020 at 09:23
posts 104
It keeps changing mate.
Forex market is too volatile, so can never predict its movement perfectly.
Dec 09 2020 at 10:32
posts 24
The market is volatile and has always been like that, so there is no particular day or date when it changes.
Dec 28 2020 at 04:46
posts 23
The market is quite volatile and it keeps changing from time to time. There are a number of factors that influence the changes.
Dec 28 2020 at 07:46
posts 25
The market changes periodically because external factors really influence it.
Feb 02 2021 at 10:34
posts 46
Every day there are some events that affect the market in one way or another, and in order to be aware of this and how to work on trading, I am guided by analytical reviews from Amarkets.
Feb 06 2021 at 15:28
posts 133
The forex market is highly volatile in nature. So, you must be prepared with strategies for different market situations.
Feb 08 2021 at 05:49
posts 104
forextrader777 posted:
The forex market is highly volatile in nature. So, you must be prepared with strategies for different market situations.
That's right, one should have multiple plans, we never know what the market throws at us.
Feb 09 2021 at 08:20
posts 31
Market is unstable, there is no particular time for it to change. However, one must do a continued research to know the current market state.

Mar 10 2021 at 05:32
posts 20
Well, the volatility in the market is ever present and I don’t think that the market would be the same without it.
Mar 11 2021 at 01:35
posts 298
Risk management is very important. If a trader cannot maintain risk, he will never be able to make a consistent profit.
Mar 12 2021 at 11:04
posts 18
The forex market is quite volatile and it keeps changing. And no one can actually control that.
Jul 04 2021 at 19:17
posts 330
cameronstanley posted:
The forex market is quite volatile and it keeps changing. And no one can actually control that.
Yes. This market is very volatile.
Jul 10 2021 at 01:46
posts 869
Market change continually. Try to keep up to date with the market.
Jul 10 2021 at 04:55
posts 46
The market is constantly changing, there are just certain days, events that give big fluctuations.
Aug 05 2021 at 01:26
posts 477
No one can say when the forex market will change. However, supply and demand depend a lot on it.
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