Brexit
vontogr
(togr)
Membre depuis Feb 22, 2011
4862 messages
Jun 16 2016 at 08:36
Well majority of brokers are prepared, they have decreased leverage like 10 times.
stian
Membre depuis Nov 14, 2015
325 messages
Jun 16 2016 at 23:28
Brexit campaign suspended.
Ozzie Matt
(aeronthomas)
Membre depuis Dec 04, 2010
1557 messages
Jun 17 2016 at 00:55
betting book makers reducing chance of Brexit, maybe linked to killing of pro brexit politician and suspension of campaigning, pound has certainly really shot up!, euro recovered too
mlawson71
Membre depuis Dec 11, 2015
1487 messages
Jun 18 2016 at 08:31
Brokers are panicking ahead of Brexit though. (https://smnweekly.com/2016/06/17/brokers-seem-to-panic-ahead-of-uk-vote/). Some have even said they don't know when they'll return to normal operations and trading conditions, others have changed all orders to close-mode only, some are refusing to trade EUR,GBP and CHF pairings altogether.
Ozzie Matt
(aeronthomas)
Membre depuis Dec 04, 2010
1557 messages
Jun 18 2016 at 10:52
mlawson71 posted:yes I think they are afraid of another SNB event with huge swings causing negative balances for clients and bankruptcies etc. I still think Britain will remain as most undecided will just vote to stay and keep status quo and not risk change. we will see. I won't have any GBP trades over and any EUR trades open I will have hedged.
Brokers are panicking ahead of Brexit though. (https://smnweekly.com/2016/06/17/brokers-seem-to-panic-ahead-of-uk-vote/). Some have even said they don't know when they'll return to normal operations and trading conditions, others have changed all orders to close-mode only, some are refusing to trade EUR,GBP and CHF pairings altogether.
vontogr
(togr)
Membre depuis Feb 22, 2011
4862 messages
Jun 18 2016 at 14:10
aeronthomas posted:mlawson71 posted:yes I think they are afraid of another SNB event with huge swings causing negative balances for clients and bankruptcies etc. I still think Britain will remain as most undecided will just vote to stay and keep status quo and not risk change. we will see. I won't have any GBP trades over and any EUR trades open I will have hedged.
Brokers are panicking ahead of Brexit though. (https://smnweekly.com/2016/06/17/brokers-seem-to-panic-ahead-of-uk-vote/). Some have even said they don't know when they'll return to normal operations and trading conditions, others have changed all orders to close-mode only, some are refusing to trade EUR,GBP and CHF pairings altogether.
Well it is better to avoid trading for upcoming week. I believe once we know the results it will get soon or later get back to normal
xgavinc
Membre depuis May 11, 2011
235 messages
Jun 20 2016 at 09:42
togr posted:xgavinc posted:togr posted:
It seems Brexit wont happen:)
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-brexit-watch/
Still a close call. History has proven polls to be unreliable, anything can still happen as the number of people who have not taken part in the poll far exceed those who have, and some who want to keep their vote secret will instinctively choose the opposite side when taking part in a poll. I am however confident that a Bremain is more likely if voters actually understand the pro's vs con's and were adequately informed with facts and not propaganda.
It could. But all brokers is sending emails about Brexit. Not referendum. It is like they had already left EU.
As far as I can see from news reports, the term 'Brexit' has been coined as the de-facto term for the referendum as a whole, media reported 'Brexit' as referring to 'Decision to exit or remain'... 'Bremain' was only later used to clear up confusion in the media and not to steer readers into a direction and to clearly divide the supporters of each camp, however, most still use the word 'Brexit' to describe the referendum, it should not be confused as the article, report, etc. as favoring or believing the votes will call for an 'exit'.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
xgavinc
Membre depuis May 11, 2011
235 messages
Jun 20 2016 at 10:01
Consensus:
A leave would equate to a lot more volatility.
leave - USD/XXX down, GBP/XXX up, EUR/XXX down (but not as much movement).
remain - USD/XXX up, GBP/XXX down, EUR/XXX up (but not as much movement).
Pick your poison or stay out of these pairs.
A leave would equate to a lot more volatility.
leave - USD/XXX down, GBP/XXX up, EUR/XXX down (but not as much movement).
remain - USD/XXX up, GBP/XXX down, EUR/XXX up (but not as much movement).
Pick your poison or stay out of these pairs.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
vontogr
(togr)
Membre depuis Feb 22, 2011
4862 messages
Jun 20 2016 at 12:23
xgavinc posted:togr posted:xgavinc posted:togr posted:
It seems Brexit wont happen:)
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2016-brexit-watch/
Still a close call. History has proven polls to be unreliable, anything can still happen as the number of people who have not taken part in the poll far exceed those who have, and some who want to keep their vote secret will instinctively choose the opposite side when taking part in a poll. I am however confident that a Bremain is more likely if voters actually understand the pro's vs con's and were adequately informed with facts and not propaganda.
It could. But all brokers is sending emails about Brexit. Not referendum. It is like they had already left EU.
As far as I can see from news reports, the term 'Brexit' has been coined as the de-facto term for the referendum as a whole, media reported 'Brexit' as referring to 'Decision to exit or remain'... 'Bremain' was only later used to clear up confusion in the media and not to steer readers into a direction and to clearly divide the supporters of each camp, however, most still use the word 'Brexit' to describe the referendum, it should not be confused as the article, report, etc. as favoring or believing the votes will call for an 'exit'.
yeah they use term Brexit to describe referendum about it