Posts de psaTrading

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Aug 17, 2016 at 15:41

The highlight of today will for the release of the minutes of the last meeting of the Fed (the 26 and 27 July), which may give some signs on the posture of the Fed. The improved perception of the US economy and the reduction of external risks open the possibility of a rise in interest rates at the next meeting in September. However, since this meeting important data have been released, and such as the Fed itself said, with a bipolar character, such as reading of GDP for the 2nd quarter, the employment report for the month of July and retail sales in the same month.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Aug 16, 2016 at 14:03

The price of oil rose in a context of emerging speculation about the possibility of the freezing of oil production.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Aug 15, 2016 at 14:04

After 5 days consolidating, Last Friday we had an inside day in Dax. It seems we have a good long entry today..............................................Happy trading

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 29, 2016 at 15:47

The long-awaited meeting of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) ended up having a limited impact on Asian session. In addition to a somewhat volatile initial reaction, the major Asian indexes ended trading with contained variations. The BoJ announced that it will double the annual purchase ETF to 56700 M.USD as well as the special program of providing credit to local businesses for a total of 24,000 M.USD. Despite the rise in the Nikkei, the appreciation of the Yen indicates that this decision fell short of the anticipated by the market.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 28, 2016 at 15:40

At yesterday’s meeting, the Central Bank argued that consumption (which is the main engine of the economy) continues to accelerate and the labor market recovered significantly after reading May. While not explicitly referring to Brexit, the Fed acknowledged that the short-term risks to the economy decreased. Still, the central bank admitted that it will continue to closely monitor the evolution of inflation (which still remains below the desired level) and the evolution of the world economy. This improved perception of the US economy and the reduction of external risks open the possibili...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 27, 2016 at 15:31

The major Asian indexes closed lower, especially the Shangai composite which was losing almost 2.50% at 7:15 am. The only exception was the Nikkei. The Japanese stock market continues to fluctuate according to the rumors about the amount of the tax plan incentive that the Abe government promised. Yesterday, the press pointed to 57000 M.USD this morning circulated news that indicated an amount of 254000 M.USD.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 26, 2016 at 14:11

US markets closed with modest losses. This move was due in part to the oil correction and partly a justified profit taking after the strong gains achieved since the end of June. The decline was widespread, covering 9 of the 10 sectors that make up the S&P500. The only exception was the retail sector. The weakness of the oil conditioned not only its sector such as mining (given the correlation between crude oil and other industrial commodities) and industrial. The Nasdaq was conditioned by some profit taking and the analyst's decision at BGC to reduce the recommendation from Hold to...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 25, 2016 at 13:43

In the oil sector, Schlumberger and Halliburton, two of the largest suppliers of oil sector services, argued that probably the minimum the price of oil may have already been reached. In 2013, the price of crude oil traded at levels above 112 USD / barrel before entering into a strong fall that led earlier this year to levels close to 26 USD / barrel. The oil sector will be the protagonist of this week’s earnings season and its quarterly accounts will be the main challenge for the American markets. Analysts estimate that on average profits from this sector have retreated 71%. More relevan...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 22, 2016 at 14:20

In recent years, the central banks were the protagonists of the rise in global stock markets by adopting stimulus measures that allowed them to overcome adverse factors such as the loss of the maximum rating of US debt, the crisis of European sovereign debt, Japanese economic stagnation and more recently Brexit, among others. This created a dependence that financial markets have from central banks, a dependency which is demonstrated every time occurs a correction of the markets when the support of these institutions seem destined to decline.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 21, 2016 at 15:01

Asian shares had a positive session, driven by the strong Wall Street performance. Again, the Japanese market stood out positive. In addition to the favorable effect of the US markets, the Nikkei benefited from a report in the Kyodo News newspaper that point in the government Abe will implement a stimulus plan for the economy amounting to 188 000 M.USD. Previously, circulated in the market a rumor that the stimulus would total the 95,000 M.USD.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 20, 2016 at 18:34

Asian markets closed mostly with modest losses. In Tokyo, shares in Nintendo fell almost 13%, a movement from the profit taking following the sharp recorded rise since the launch of Pokemon Go application. In fact, since July 6, Nintendo shares rose from 14900 JPY (Yen) to 32700 JPY reached yesterday.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 19, 2016 at 17:51

After the UK Referendum its time to switch from news driven volatility trading and to update our models for the near future

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 18, 2016 at 18:44

The situation of the Italian banking sector and not yet visible effects of Brexit may have been the reason for the redemption of European equity funds. The funds dedicated to emerging markets gathered 6100 M.USD subscriptions in the last two weeks and funds specializing in bonds with yields and high risk registered 4400 M.USD.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 15, 2016 at 15:21

Yesterday US markets closed higher again, extending the recent appreciation. In addition to the positive environment that has marked the last few sessions, the American indices were boosted by good results from JP Morgan and its effect on stocks of other banks. JP Morgan reached in the 2nd quarter an unexpected increase in profits, with the unadjusted EPS reaching 1.55 USD compared to 1.54 USD in the same period of 2015. Revenues amounted to 25200 M.USD. These figures exceeded the forecasts of analysts who foresaw an EPS of 1.43 USD and revenue 24300 M.USD. The increase in the credit transfer ...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 14, 2016 at 12:06

Asian markets traded without major fluctuations. Once again, Japan was the exception to extend the recent rise, triggered by the victory of Shinzo Abe in the elections of last weekend. However in China, economic data continues to generate some apprehension. In June, exports fell 4.10% and imports% 8.40. Imports fell for the 20th consecutive month. The fall in exports indicates a lower economic activity in major Chinese trading partners, while another bending of imports indicates a slowdown in domestic demand, which so far has shown some resilience to the general slowdown in the economy.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 13, 2016 at 10:47

US markets extended the recent rise, with the S & P and Dow Jones reaching a new record high during the session. For the rise contributed some positive signs from Europe (including the end of the political stalemate in the English Conservative party) and the electoral victory of Shinzo Abe in Japan, whose promised measures of stimulus have indirect consequences on Wall Street. In addition also had influence the strong recovery of oil and the need for many fund managers follow the rise of the benchmark indices. Against this uncertain scenario, the fund managers had adopted a defensive p...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 12, 2016 at 12:31

Once again Asian markets closed higher, led by Japanese equities. After the electoral victory of the weekend, Prime Minister Abe stated that his executive is ready to take further measures to stimulate the economy, according to some members of his party, could amount to 100 000 M.USD. In China, inflation relative to June increased 1.90% compared to 2% in May. The Beijing government has an official target of 3%. This confirms the slowdown of the Chinese economy and raises expectations among investors that new stimulus measures may be adopted.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 11, 2016 at 10:14

Begins today officially the earnings season in the US, with the publication of quarterly Alcoa’s accounts, but only after the closing of the session. The forecasts point to a result per share of 0.09 USD, below the 0.19 USD recorded in the 2nd quarter of 2015. Although there is no statistical correlation between the quarterly accounts of Alcoa and the general trend of Earnings Season, the results of this company always have a impact on investor psychology.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 08, 2016 at 14:07

The Italian Government submitted a recapitalization plan for the banking sector (the most urgent the Monte dei Paschi di Siena) by state intervention, which is allowed by European standards but only under certain conditions. One of those conditions is that the bondholders participate in this plan through a partial restructuring of the debt they hold on banks. It is at this point that differs from the position of the Italian Government and the European Commission. At the end of 2015, the insolvency of four regional banks that affected nearly 20,000 private bondholders created a deep social obje...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 07, 2016 at 07:50

In England, real estate funds continue to suspend the possibility of redemption. English real estate market, especially in the London area, has been one of the most dynamic worldwide. Several investors sought this market to diversify its portfolio of assets, other acquired properties in England as a solution to a situation marked by equal interest rates or below 0%. Other investors faced the English real estate market as a refuge: in 2011, the Greeks were the main buyers of homes in London. Now, with the strong depreciation of the pound these investments lost value when denominated in the nati...

EURUSD	1.13234	GBPUSD	1.32805	AUDUSD	0.64781
USDJPY	144.171	USDCAD	1.38117	USDCHF	0.82547

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