Posts de psaTrading

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 29, 2015 at 11:45

The lower volatility of Asian markets boosted US equities. The rally was led by the mining and oil sectors, which had been the most penalized by falls in Chinese stock markets and commodities. The rise may also have been influenced by the closure of vendors positions by the so-called fast money (short-term investors) before the meeting of the Fed.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 28, 2015 at 15:41

The present situation confirms the evidence of slowdown in China and the stagnation of some emerging economies such as Brazil and South Africa. The copper (copper), whose cycles anticipate with some precision the economic cycles, lost 26% in the last 12 months. In this context, the US economy appears as an oasis. Orders for durable goods grew by 3.40% in June, exceeding the 3% estimated by economists. This indicator is strongly influenced by aircraft orders. In June, Boeing received an order for 161 planes, after the Air Festival of Paris-Le Bourget. In May, orders were only 11. The recent los...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 27, 2015 at 17:44

Investor sentiment was influenced by company results and also the weakness of commodities. Conditioning the markets were some leading companies like Apple, 3M, Microsoft (among others) which presented disappointing sales, the very cautious outlook for some companies in the future, profits not based on increased sales but repurchase programs of own shares and cost cuts. The fall in the price of raw materials has not only an impact on the producing economies (such as Brazil, Australia and South Africa) as signals that economic activity in the consuming economies (notably China and other countrie...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 24, 2015 at 09:03

The European indices started the session with some gains. The session will again be dominated by the presentation of results on both sides of the Atlantic. Good numbers from Amazon may give some encouragement to the European technology sector. The mining sector may continue to register a underperformance due to the selling pressure on the commodities that has characterized the Asian sessions. In addition, Anglo American reported a 30% fall in half-yearly profits, trying to compensate shareholders by paying a dividend of 0.32 GBP. To these factors must be added the warning signs of the Chinese ...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 23, 2015 at 11:45

US markets closed lower, penalized by the disappointing results of some leading companies such as Microsoft, Yahoo! and Apple. It was the latter company to condition investor sentiment, given its influence on the activity of several technology companies. Still, the market managed to contain the impact of the fall in shares of Apple (-4.23%). Microsoft’s shares fell 3.68% and Yahoo’s fell 1.23%. Despite the disappointing results of these companies, most US companies continues to exceed analysts’ forecasts. Yesterday, before the opening, Coca-Cola, Boeing, EMC and Campbell Soup...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 22, 2015 at 18:40

On the 14th of July after the agreement between Greece and its creditors, there was the question of the impact of this understanding in the equity markets. Before Greece forcibly take the leading role (in late April), the DAX traded between 11800 and 11900. The day before yesterday, the DAX index reached these levels. European markets perhaps need new catalysts to allow them to approach to the maximum of the year. Among these possible factors include a renewed depreciation of the Euro, the continued improvement in the economic situation in the region, the good business results, etc.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 21, 2015 at 16:00

The source for the recent weakness of the raw materials is related to the oil price drop (which often anticipates the cycles of other commodities) justified by the intention of Iran to increase production by 2 million barrels, the recent rise in dollar and by ongoing evidence of a slowdown in China's economy.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 20, 2015 at 16:42

During this week, European investors will follow the publication of the results of US companies as well as first quarterly accounts that European companies will present. Mining shares may trade under some pressure because of the fall in the price of various metals such as gold, silver and palladium. Banks shares, such as Barclays and Standard Chartered, may negotiate with a larger volume than normal. The English newspapers announced that Barclays will decrease the number of employees, while the Standered Chartered revealed it would announce restructuring measures in order to reduce costs.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 17, 2015 at 18:39

It was a pretty profitable Week!The forum is a great help.Which you all a nice weekend.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 16, 2015 at 09:55

Last night, the Greek Parliament approved with comfortable majority (229 votes) some measures from the agreement sealed on Monday. The dissenting votes (64) came from the Golden Dawn party (Far-right), some members of the coalition party (Independent Greeks), and several members of Syriza (among those 32, who opposed, the President of Parliament) beyond 6 abstentions also from Members of this party. This malaise within Tsipras’ party was already evident by the fact that half of the members of the Central Committee of the Syriza have signed a motion condemning the agreement. Next Wednesda...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 15, 2015 at 17:03

In the 2nd quarter, China’s GDP grew by 7%, slightly higher than the 6.90% estimated and in line with the objective of the Government’s growth. Industrial production increased 6.80% (vs 6% est.) in June and retail sales 10.60% (vs. 10.62 est.). The Department of Chinese Statistics said that these calculations were not “inflated, defending their position from the skepticism of some Western economists.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 14, 2015 at 09:41

US markets closed higher, mirroring the positive reaction of European markets to the solution found to Greece. In the coming days, investors will follow the publication of results by several US companies, including some of the top banks such as JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Citigroup, among others. In addition to these banks, General Electric, a symbol of American business world. For this quarter, analysts estimate a decline in EPS (earnings per share) of companies in the S & P500 between 4% and 4.40%. This is the first quarter since 2012 in which analysts anticipate a bendi...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 13, 2015 at 17:57

At the end of the longest summit of European history, the leaders of the eurozone countries arrived this morning to a principle of understanding, and promised to be available to provide more loans to Greece. This will be done immediately to restore normalcy to the banks, but also for the next three years, so that Athens can pay its debts and finance a new recapitalization of its banks, hoping that in this period, reform its economy and put the public finances in a sustainable track.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 10, 2015 at 10:46

The European indices opened with strong gains. Contributing to this scenario was the sharp appreciation of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, which for now, dissipate fears about the instability of this market, but most important was the delivery by Greece of a number of proposals that seem more credible and likely to be accepted by creditors, in exchange for a support program of 53500 M€, for a period of three years.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 09, 2015 at 11:06

The next 96 hours will be a “time trial”. According to a poll conducted by Reuters, 55% of economists believe that Greece will leave the Eurozone, 60% of respondents believe that Greece can not repay the ECB on the 20th (when matures the loan of 3500 M.€). Most believe that in the case of Greece leave the Eurozone, the ECB will intensify the purchase of European sovereign debt.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 08, 2015 at 12:17

Asian markets closed with sharp losses, justified by the uncertainty in the eurozone and the weakness of Chinese stock markets. In Shanghai, at 7:20 AM, the local stock market lost 6%, with many private investors being forced to sell, as they could not provide financial guarantee to maintain their investment positions in the stock exchange. Chinese officials already mentioned there is “a sense of panic” in the market, which explains the irrationality of sales spiral.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 07, 2015 at 09:12

According to the Greek authorities, the Greek banks will not reopen today and will remain closed for a few days. In addition to the limitations on cash withdrawals and control the movement of capital, liquidity of these institutions is alarmingly decreasing in recent days.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 06, 2015 at 13:11

The voting yesterday generates great uncertainty. All this uncertainty may generate some nervousness in financial markets, because uncertainty is the worst enemy of investors. The next key date will be July 20, when Greece will have to repay 3500 M. € to the ECB. If this reimbursement is not hypothetically performed, most likely it will be decreed a failure of Greece.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 03, 2015 at 08:58

If there are no unexpected developments for Greece and considering the Wall Street holiday, today’s session should be less volatile than the last one.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Jul 02, 2015 at 17:01

Another particular moment of increased volatility in the financial markets:On Sunday 5th July 2015 Greece will be requested to vote in a referendum about the approval or refusal of the austerity measures requested by the EU. This can significantly impact the markets when they open on Sunday July 5th and Monday July 6th.

EURUSD	1.13386	GBPUSD	1.32906	AUDUSD	0.64669
USDJPY	144.218	USDCAD	1.38024	USDCHF	0.82262

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