Posts de psaTrading

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 08, 2015 at 12:36

Berkshire Hathaways announced it will buy 20 million shares of Axalta Coating Systems for 560 M.USD.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 07, 2015 at 11:05

For many analysts and investors, the last job's report makes it more likely that the Fed may wait until the end of summer to raise interest rates for the first time since 2006 and was this same expectation that raised the markets and the words of the President of the New York Fed increased the optimism. William Dudley said that economic growth should accelerate soon, after a first quarter of a downturn that was due, in his view, to the bad weather that hit the country, to the appreciation of the dollar and the impact of the oil price fall in energy industry. His speech also suggested that ...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 06, 2015 at 11:46

This week investors will pay attention to the data disclosed by central banks in Europe and the USA. Greece will continue to shake the markets, with the deadline for payment of the loan to the IMF to end this Thursday.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 03, 2015 at 22:39

European markets were closed while the S&P 500 declined after the release of the job’s report number, which came out significantly worst than expected. Beneath the disappointment of the economy adding only 126,000 jobs last month, against the expected 240,000, was an unusually cold winter in many unfortunate parts of the country.Weak Jobs Gain Gives Fed New Reason to Delay First Rate Rise.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 02, 2015 at 16:59

European markets negotiate in consolidation. The oil sector should negotiate in a volatile form and may lose at an early stage, yesterday’s session gains. After the recovery on Wall Street session (motivated by the decrease of American production), the price of crude oil fell in Asian session due to protracted talks between the will and a sextet of countries. The continuation of these negotiations suggests that an agreement, even temporary, can be reached, it can mean a partial lifting of sanctions imposed on Iran. If this scenario materializes, the Iranian oil exports are expected to in...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Apr 01, 2015 at 21:42

Today begins a period that is seasonally negative for American stocks. Until April 15, the Americans will have to pay their IRS and many resort to the sale of shares or the redemption of investment funds to finance this charge. Over the past 20 years, the beginning of the month until that day, US markets were only able to achieve a positive return in only 30% of the time. This is it just an empirical data does not mean that American indexes will repeat this pattern this year. The important thing to remember is that the next two weeks will be due to attend a selling pressure.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 31, 2015 at 16:31

The main interest rate should be raised in June amid a stronger job market, consumer-spending growth and inflation heading back toward the Fed’s target.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 30, 2015 at 14:25

Today in the evening, the Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras will update the Greek Parliament on economic reforms that his government intends to implement and its discussions with European partners. In the Asian session, the price of the main raw materials traded lower. Despite continuous air strikes in Yemen and the apparent impasse in the negotiations between Iran and the sextet formed by the US, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany, failed to have a positive effect on the prices of crude oil, which lost in the Asian session some of the gains made last week. The European technology sector m...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 27, 2015 at 14:39

European markets negociate without a defined trend, and were initially influenced by the decrease of Euro during yesterday’s New York session and Asian today. In this context, the most cyclical stocks, including car manufacturers, should register a overperformance, as happened at the end of yesterday’s session. The decline of oil in Asian markets could generate selling pressure in the respective sector. The prevailing opinion in the oil markets is that air attacks on Shiite positions in Yemen should not restrict the transport of goods through the Red Sea, and should not ignite Shii...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 26, 2015 at 19:44

The reasons for the weakness in the Aamerican Indexes are from technical and fundamental nature. The technical reasons are linked to the fact that the rise in US indexes have reached extreme levels (although not as extreme as the Europeans) so a correction was not entirely unlikely. In fact, many investors decided to take profits in sectors that had accumulated higher valuations, such as biotechnology. Another factor that has weighed on investor sentiment is the downward revision of estimates for corporate profits for the 1st quarter of this year. The main reason for this review is the rise in...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 25, 2015 at 11:52

European markets shrink after the opening of the session, following the Wall Street trend. As we know, there are signs that point that European markets reached extreme levels. However, only when the DAX (who has served as benchmark for European markets) close below 11800, the short-term trend could be reversed. A possible correction of short-term European indexes does not compromise the positive environment that has marked the stock market year of 2015. One of the factors that may cause a decline in European markets is a recovery of the Euro.The course of the European currency can be influence...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 24, 2015 at 13:19

European markets negotiate without major fluctuations. The recovery of the euro and the disappointing data given by the manufacturing industry in China should weigh negatively on the main indexes. Today will be published the final data on economic activity, measured by the PMI indexes. Economists estimate a further improvement in recent months. The impact of these data in the equity markets should materialize via forex market. If the PMI indexes indicate a higher economic activity than estimated the Euro will tend to value itself, penalizing European equities. The issue of Greece has been rele...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 23, 2015 at 18:11

European markets are trading in slight correction. Last week, Merrill Lynch published a poll in which stood a clear preference for European equities, followed by the Japanese, and there is the conviction that economic conditions in the euro area will improve over 2015. The preferred sector of global investors is the automobile and less appealing the financial sector. US shares are less attractive according to the survey.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 20, 2015 at 19:15

FTSE 100 Index hit a fresh record and climbed above 7,000 for the first time.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 19, 2015 at 14:15

Stock markets negotiate with contained oscillations. The European markets will be the stage of the opposition of two effects: the positive associated with the rise of Wall Street and the negative associated with the recovery of the Euro, resulting from the meeting of the FED. The depreciation of the euro has been the main driver of European markets, so its recovery is a negative factor in the current environment. Therefore, is expected an underperformance of the European indexes against their American peers. If the recovery of the Euro continue, the DAX should be penalized as it is the most se...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 18, 2015 at 14:47

The strength of the U.S. dollar and its evolution will continue to dictate the behavior of stock market indexes. The EUR / USD exchange rate should be influenced by today’s meeting of the FED. The reaction of the forex markets may be exacerbated by the number of investors who have short positions on the European currency and may close their positions for profit taking. If as a result of this event, if the Euro / Dollar overcome the zone of 1,068 / 1,070 then it is likely that the European currency engage in a short-term recovery, which will penalize European indexes.

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 17, 2015 at 18:10

The so-called Fast Money had accumulated selling positions in the previous week, trying to capitalize on the fears of many investors in relation to interest rates. During yesterday’s session, many of these investors have reduced these selling positions due to the meeting of the FED (which starts today but whose decision shall only be forwarded tomorrow).

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 17, 2015 at 00:11

It seems we are facing a new paradigm in the equity markets, history teaches that the difference separating the two sides of the Atlantic will have to be resolved. The big question is by how: the correction of the European markets or the recovery of US markets? The answer to this question can be given by Euro behavior. The European currency has suffered a sharp devaluation against the dollar (for the reasons already described several times), boosting the prices of the exporting companies. Buying European bonds has been a very popular strategy among global investors. This strategy has already o...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 13, 2015 at 23:15

One of the most popular strategies among hedge funds (and also some private investors) is the purchase of shares of geographic areas were are being implemented quantitative easing programs. Therefore, Japan and the Eurozone are in favored markets for these investors. Since the beginning of the year, American savers signed in 4000 M.USD European equity fund and 1000 M.USD in Japanese equity funds. These subscriptions were made at the expense redemption of US equity funds, which in 2015 suffered outflows of approximately 5200 M.USD. This strategy has borne fruit, as from the beginning of the yea...

Trading Journal dans Nouveaux traders Mar 11, 2015 at 09:45

The Market is recovering from yesterday’s losses. Although Wall Street has prolonged the correction after the European close, European equities, show some resilience based on losses contained in the Asian markets and the favorable climate that has involved the European markets. Today initiate negotiations between the Greek authorities and technical EU / IMF / ECB on the measures that will be implemented in the country. The European indexes will remain very attentive and sensitive to any rumors or news from Athens. Also today, the ECB will hold its annual conference, where the debt purcha...

EURUSD	1.13037	GBPUSD	1.32767	AUDUSD	0.64436
USDJPY	144.966	USDCAD	1.38103	USDCHF	0.8268

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