Edit Your Comment
Recent Fed Cut - What question should we ask ourselves?
會員從Jan 18, 2022開始
6帖子
Sep 22, 2024 at 04:45
會員從Jan 18, 2022開始
6帖子
===
The Federal Reserve (the central bank of the U.S.) has announced a significant interest rate cut, reducing rates by 0.5 percentage points (half a percent). This brings the new short-term interest rates down to between 4.75% and 5%. It's the first major rate cut since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020.
This cut is meant to help support the economy by making borrowing cheaper, which can lower costs for things like mortgages. People were expecting a smaller cut, but the larger reduction reflects the Fed’s commitment to keeping the economy on track without falling behind on issues like inflation or the job market.
In simple terms, the lower interest rates mean it should be cheaper for people to borrow money, whether it’s for homes or businesses, helping boost economic activity.
So what does this mean for the USD?
- Increase in volatility, in search for a direction
- Lower yield differential between USD and other currencies, which might lead to outflow and hence a weaker USD
Since prices are based on expectations, the question of "Will USD strengthen or weaken?" is equivalent to "Will investors price in larger and steeper rate cuts because of this significant 0.5% cut instead of a 0.25% cut?".
===
The Federal Reserve (the central bank of the U.S.) has announced a significant interest rate cut, reducing rates by 0.5 percentage points (half a percent). This brings the new short-term interest rates down to between 4.75% and 5%. It's the first major rate cut since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020.
This cut is meant to help support the economy by making borrowing cheaper, which can lower costs for things like mortgages. People were expecting a smaller cut, but the larger reduction reflects the Fed’s commitment to keeping the economy on track without falling behind on issues like inflation or the job market.
In simple terms, the lower interest rates mean it should be cheaper for people to borrow money, whether it’s for homes or businesses, helping boost economic activity.
So what does this mean for the USD?
- Increase in volatility, in search for a direction
- Lower yield differential between USD and other currencies, which might lead to outflow and hence a weaker USD
Since prices are based on expectations, the question of "Will USD strengthen or weaken?" is equivalent to "Will investors price in larger and steeper rate cuts because of this significant 0.5% cut instead of a 0.25% cut?".
===

*商業用途和垃圾郵件將不被容忍,並可能導致帳戶終止。
提示:發佈圖片/YouTube網址會自動嵌入到您的帖子中!
提示:鍵入@符號,自動完成參與此討論的用戶名。