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EUR/USD
Nov 06, 2014からメンバー
28 投稿
Jul 10, 2014からメンバー
1117 投稿
Jun 08, 2014からメンバー
454 投稿
Jun 12, 2015 at 19:42
May 01, 2015からメンバー
675 投稿
EUR recorded a decrease on Thursday after a downtrend throughout the day. The session starts at a price of 1.1323, then went down, reaching the lowest level for the day at 1.1183. Later reversed direction and the euro finished at 1.1257. In case the price continue to fall, the couple will move to the first support at 1.1051.
Jun 14, 2015 at 06:20
Jun 07, 2011からメンバー
372 投稿
The Euro fell after comments from German Chancellor that 'a strong euro hampers the reforms in Spain and Ireland.'
But the real effective exchange rate is at 2002 levels, when the EUR / USD is found to transact at around 0.90.
The balance expected for the current account of the euro area for this year is 2.6% of GDP, the opposite of a weak currency sign.
But the real effective exchange rate is at 2002 levels, when the EUR / USD is found to transact at around 0.90.
The balance expected for the current account of the euro area for this year is 2.6% of GDP, the opposite of a weak currency sign.
Jun 08, 2014からメンバー
454 投稿
Jun 14, 2015 at 12:50
Nov 11, 2013からメンバー
20 投稿
Let's use Derivatives OPTIONS AND FUTURES to analyse EUR!
The month began with the down movement but then the price returned into the upper half of the “Options corridor”. On the first attached image (daily EUR/USD chart) we can see a resistant on the Balance Line (1.12250).
I would like to repeat, that this Line as well as both green and gray zones are results of EUR Options trading on Chicago Exchange. Everything is based on real data and not on some questionable and subjective parameters.
Anyway, this situation indicates an uptrend. But let’s not hurry. There is another FX-DERIVATIVE, which can help us. EURO FUTURES!!! Look at the second attached image. This is H4 EUR/USD chart.
I put some blue zones on the graph. Those zones indicate price levels where most of bad traders will have Margin Calls! That’s right! So the market makers can use that for their evil purposes. The data for those zones I also took from the CME website (https://www.cmegroup.com/).
Ok, so right now the price is between the Balance Line and the blue (let’s call it “Margin Zone”). Even thou we have the uptrend (because of the options), I would wait until the price will move above the Margin Zone (1.13122 - 1.13386). However on the level (1.14391 – 1.14127) there is another Margin Zone which actually is located on the maximum of the last month. Will there be a resistance?
To begin trading SHORT, the price will have to move below the Balance Line and below the lowest Margin Zone (1.11214 – 1.10950).
I made a separate topic about this method:
https://www.myfxbook.com/community/experienced-traders/fx-derivatives-for-spot-analysis/973437,1
Subscribe to it, if you are interested to learn more
The month began with the down movement but then the price returned into the upper half of the “Options corridor”. On the first attached image (daily EUR/USD chart) we can see a resistant on the Balance Line (1.12250).
I would like to repeat, that this Line as well as both green and gray zones are results of EUR Options trading on Chicago Exchange. Everything is based on real data and not on some questionable and subjective parameters.
Anyway, this situation indicates an uptrend. But let’s not hurry. There is another FX-DERIVATIVE, which can help us. EURO FUTURES!!! Look at the second attached image. This is H4 EUR/USD chart.
I put some blue zones on the graph. Those zones indicate price levels where most of bad traders will have Margin Calls! That’s right! So the market makers can use that for their evil purposes. The data for those zones I also took from the CME website (https://www.cmegroup.com/).
Ok, so right now the price is between the Balance Line and the blue (let’s call it “Margin Zone”). Even thou we have the uptrend (because of the options), I would wait until the price will move above the Margin Zone (1.13122 - 1.13386). However on the level (1.14391 – 1.14127) there is another Margin Zone which actually is located on the maximum of the last month. Will there be a resistance?
To begin trading SHORT, the price will have to move below the Balance Line and below the lowest Margin Zone (1.11214 – 1.10950).
I made a separate topic about this method:
https://www.myfxbook.com/community/experienced-traders/fx-derivatives-for-spot-analysis/973437,1
Subscribe to it, if you are interested to learn more
avoblikov@
Jun 15, 2015 at 07:57
Apr 08, 2014からメンバー
1141 投稿
On Friday session the EURUSD initially fell but found enough buying pressure near the 1.1147 to turn around and managed to close in the green near the high of the day, creating a hammer pattern. The hammer pattern suggests that the currency might want to test again the 1.1391 area unless the Greek drama steps in.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Oct 02, 2014からメンバー
909 投稿
Oct 11, 2013からメンバー
775 投稿
Jun 15, 2015 at 12:50
Jun 07, 2011からメンバー
372 投稿
EUR / USD opened today with a 'gap' after reaching the resistance of 1.1300 on Friday.
There is a negative divergence between the short-term oscillators and the price.
The RSI is back below its 50 and MACD line below its signal line, just stay negative.
This 'momentum' increases the possibility of further decreases.
There is a negative divergence between the short-term oscillators and the price.
The RSI is back below its 50 and MACD line below its signal line, just stay negative.
This 'momentum' increases the possibility of further decreases.
Oct 08, 2011からメンバー
137 投稿
Jun 15, 2015 at 16:28
Oct 08, 2011からメンバー
137 投稿
EUR/USD daily chart
the pair is currently in consolidation with 9 bars.
Use either high of the last 3 days and add 1 pip to the ask price and place a buy-stop order.
Place your SL 5 pips below the low of the reverse-hook, which is 1.1148 on our charts
Trade to above the last full correction on the weekly chart
which is 1.1533 on our charts.
the pair is currently in consolidation with 9 bars.
Use either high of the last 3 days and add 1 pip to the ask price and place a buy-stop order.
Place your SL 5 pips below the low of the reverse-hook, which is 1.1148 on our charts
Trade to above the last full correction on the weekly chart
which is 1.1533 on our charts.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Oct 08, 2011からメンバー
137 投稿
Jun 15, 2015 at 17:06
Oct 08, 2011からメンバー
137 投稿
EUR/USD daily chart update
Friday's bar was a doji bar.
As I have mentioned several times in my previous postings, doji bars in consolidation or congestion often are an indication that prices will break out soon. Usually 1 to 3 bars later.
In this scenario, the doji bar is bar nr. 8 in the consolidation.
A consolidation consists of max. 10 bars. Bar nr. 10 is the last bar that can be traded according to the rules of price-bar formations.
Friday's bar was a doji bar.
As I have mentioned several times in my previous postings, doji bars in consolidation or congestion often are an indication that prices will break out soon. Usually 1 to 3 bars later.
In this scenario, the doji bar is bar nr. 8 in the consolidation.
A consolidation consists of max. 10 bars. Bar nr. 10 is the last bar that can be traded according to the rules of price-bar formations.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
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