What strategy can be used for such a situation?

paulng

Aug 13, 2010 부터 멤버 게시물40

Mar 10, 2012 at 16:41

Aug 13, 2010 부터 멤버 게시물40

Hi everyone,

I'm trying to code a strategy that can be effective in the situation shown in the picture attached. For discussion purpose, let's call it a "volatile range". The picture is on a 1-hr chart. At a longer time frame, it will look like a normal range. At a smaller time frame, it will look like a nice trend. Please don't tell me to zoom into a smaller time frame and code a trend strategy, or go to a longer time frame and code a range strategy. I'm trying to solve the situation as illustrated, because it can happen at any time frame.

Any suggestions on how to place a trade? Any strategy to "out-perform" under such market conditions?

I've tried trend techniques and they end up buying when price is high and shorting when price is low. I also tried reversion techniques (eg, BBands, iEnvelope, RSI, Stoch) and the price action always hits the reasonable SL before turning around.

Many thanks in advance!

첨부 파일:

"The first rule of forecasting should be that the unforeseen keeps making the future unforeseeable." - David McCasland (January 5,2012, Our Daily Bread)

forex_trader_28915

Feb 08, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물5

Mar 11, 2012 at 11:52

Feb 08, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물5

bullish entry when open below center band line and bid/ask/ or close crosses center line, vice versa for bearish entry. SL/TP you may have to play with.

paulng

Aug 13, 2010 부터 멤버 게시물40

Mar 11, 2012 at 13:37

Aug 13, 2010 부터 멤버 게시물40

Hi Sebastian,

Thanks for the suggestion. Visually on that picture looking from left to right, it's about 6 wins to 4 losses, at reward/risk slightly greater than 1. Any suggestions from other readers?

"The first rule of forecasting should be that the unforeseen keeps making the future unforeseeable." - David McCasland (January 5,2012, Our Daily Bread)

forex_trader_49094

Sep 30, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물9

Apr 04, 2012 at 06:34

Sep 30, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물9

Enter short when close is greater than previous close for the 6 previous bars.

forex_trader_49094

Sep 30, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물9

Apr 04, 2012 at 06:49

Sep 30, 2011 부터 멤버 게시물9

AND (14,3,3) Stochastic %D > 80 or > 90. This has a 68% win rate over the past 3 years and a profit factor of 2.3

EURUSD	1.13037	GBPUSD	1.32767	AUDUSD	0.64436
USDJPY	144.966	USDCAD	1.38103	USDCHF	0.8268

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