What strategy can be used for such a situation?

Mar 10, 2012 at 16:41
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4 Replies
Biedrs kopš   43 ieraksti
Mar 10, 2012 at 16:41



Hi everyone,

I'm trying to code a strategy that can be effective in the situation shown in the picture attached. For discussion purpose, let's call it a 'volatile range'. The picture is on a 1-hr chart. At a longer time frame, it will look like a normal range. At a smaller time frame, it will look like a nice trend. Please don't tell me to zoom into a smaller time frame and code a trend strategy, or go to a longer time frame and code a range strategy. I'm trying to solve the situation as illustrated, because it can happen at any time frame.

Any suggestions on how to place a trade? Any strategy to 'out-perform' under such market conditions?

I've tried trend techniques and they end up buying when price is high and shorting when price is low. I also tried reversion techniques (eg, BBands, iEnvelope, RSI, Stoch) and the price action always hits the reasonable SL before turning around.

Many thanks in advance!




Pielikumi

"The first rule of forecasting should be that the unforeseen keeps making the future unforeseeable." - David McCasland (January 5,2012, Our Daily Bread)
seravitae
forex_trader_28915
Biedrs kopš   5 ieraksti
Mar 11, 2012 at 11:52
bullish entry when open below center band line and bid/ask/ or close crosses center line, vice versa for bearish entry. SL/TP you may have to play with.
Biedrs kopš   43 ieraksti
Mar 11, 2012 at 13:37
Hi Sebastian,

Thanks for the suggestion. Visually on that picture looking from left to right, it's about 6 wins to 4 losses, at reward/risk slightly greater than 1. Any suggestions from other readers?

"The first rule of forecasting should be that the unforeseen keeps making the future unforeseeable." - David McCasland (January 5,2012, Our Daily Bread)
tradesofgrass
forex_trader_49094
Biedrs kopš   8 ieraksti
Apr 04, 2012 at 06:34
Enter short when close is greater than previous close for the 6 previous bars.
tradesofgrass
forex_trader_49094
Biedrs kopš   8 ieraksti
Apr 04, 2012 at 06:49
AND (14,3,3) Stochastic %D > 80 or > 90. This has a 68% win rate over the past 3 years and a profit factor of 2.3
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