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EUR/USD
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Aug 01, 2014 at 15:58
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
EURUSD has found support at 1.3365 on the back of a bullish RSI divergence, coinciding nicely with a significant miss in US NFPs. This is the most significant bullish correction we have seen in the past couple of months, and the pair has broken out of its July bearish channel. While we are long-term bearish on the pair we see an increased likelihood of a correction here and will look to sneak in an aggressive long if we see a pullback. Below 1.3377 (today’s lows) the bullish correction has ended and we are looking down toward 1.33 once again.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Nov 11, 2012
271 Posts
Aug 01, 2014 at 22:19
Mitglied seit Nov 11, 2012
271 Posts
takechance posted:takechance posted:
As it could not get support at 1.3425 the next levels on my chart are 1.3375 and 1.3350. I doubt 1.34 will hold.
As expected EUR could not get support at 1.34 and moved towards 1.3375 as per my chart forecasting.
Today is the last day of the week as well as the month so we may see some good retracements upwards as a result of short covering.
My watch levels would be 1.3425, 1.3460 and 1.3500.
All good. Exactly as expected the pair got support at 1.3375 area and bounced back to the first target level 1.3425. The next levels I would expect are 1.3450 and 1.3490 on Monday.
Good luck and happy weekend. :)
antariks1@
Aug 03, 2014 at 21:36
Mitglied seit Jun 07, 2011
372 Posts
The dollar traded unchanged or positive against most pairs the G10 during the European morning of Friday. Was positive against the GBP, the JPY, CAD, AUD and NOK, in that order, and negative against the SEK. The 'greenback' was unchanged against the EUR, CHF and JPY.
Aug 03, 2014 at 21:37
Mitglied seit Jun 07, 2011
372 Posts
bewayopa posted:The SEK was the only currency that appreciated against the dollar during the European session this morning. PMI in this country rose to 55.2 points in July, being above the expectations of the market and 54.8 points above a fractional growth for 54.9 points. Better than expected, this indicator SEK helped recover some losses last Wednesday, resulting from the disclosure of GDP for the second quarter below expectations, giving investors a reason to believe in a strong currency and a more robust economy .
The dollar traded unchanged or positive against most pairs the G10 during the European morning of Friday. Was positive against the GBP, the JPY, CAD, AUD and NOK, in that order, and negative against the SEK. The 'greenback' was unchanged against the EUR, CHF and JPY.
Mitglied seit Oct 11, 2013
775 Posts
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
Aug 04, 2014 at 12:23
Mitglied seit Apr 08, 2014
1141 Posts
EURUSD moved higher during the course of last Friday, as the nonfarm payroll numbers were worse than expected. The trend has been very bearish lately, so the fact that we ended up bouncing during the day on Friday isn’t that big of a deal, it doesn’t change anything until we clear the 1.3550 region, something that probably isn’t going to happen soon.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Mitglied seit Oct 11, 2013
775 Posts
Mitglied seit Feb 27, 2011
53 Posts
Aug 05, 2014 at 04:46
Mitglied seit Feb 27, 2011
53 Posts
* The 'normalization' still would not lead to massive sales.
* Fears of the FOMC meeting last week seem to have vanished.
* Asian regional indices are stable, while the European session seems to be the start of a week of normal operation.
*** The decision of the European Commission that the rescue Banco Espirito Santo (BES) of Portugal planned € 4.9 billion in complying with the standards of EU assistance also helped to calm nerves.
However **, after examining the situation over the weekend, investors have announced that with solid U.S. data, nonfarm payrolls by about 200,000 and an unemployment rate unchanged at 6.1%, prospective political career would not change Fed
* Neither positive nor negative Marginal market correction based on the recognition that the Fed is moving slowly towards normalization would be seen as a healthy retreat rather than an absence resulting from an impact.
* Despite this improved growth and signs of inflation, a real adjustment in terms of setting interest rates, is still far away.
* In relation to the fundamental or structural data, it has not changed anything.
* In the coming weeks, Yellen (and members of the dominant soft line) will become increasingly stressed that while asset purchases are coming to an end, the normalization will be gradual.
* With little U.S. data, with the exception of the report of non-manufacturing ISM index (which is expected to reach a maximum of 11 months), the upward momentum of the USD would pause, as the focus would go to across the Atlantic.
* Fears of the FOMC meeting last week seem to have vanished.
* Asian regional indices are stable, while the European session seems to be the start of a week of normal operation.
*** The decision of the European Commission that the rescue Banco Espirito Santo (BES) of Portugal planned € 4.9 billion in complying with the standards of EU assistance also helped to calm nerves.
However **, after examining the situation over the weekend, investors have announced that with solid U.S. data, nonfarm payrolls by about 200,000 and an unemployment rate unchanged at 6.1%, prospective political career would not change Fed
* Neither positive nor negative Marginal market correction based on the recognition that the Fed is moving slowly towards normalization would be seen as a healthy retreat rather than an absence resulting from an impact.
* Despite this improved growth and signs of inflation, a real adjustment in terms of setting interest rates, is still far away.
* In relation to the fundamental or structural data, it has not changed anything.
* In the coming weeks, Yellen (and members of the dominant soft line) will become increasingly stressed that while asset purchases are coming to an end, the normalization will be gradual.
* With little U.S. data, with the exception of the report of non-manufacturing ISM index (which is expected to reach a maximum of 11 months), the upward momentum of the USD would pause, as the focus would go to across the Atlantic.
Mitglied seit Jun 08, 2014
454 Posts
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