USDJPY poised for a new bullish wave; will it succeed?

USDJPY sets the ground for a bullish reversal, but it's still trapped below key resistance. Technical signals cannot rule out more bearish actions; sellers wait below 140. Fed to deliver its first rate cut in four years at 18:00 GMT.
XM Group | hace 369
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USDJPY turned green on Tuesday, marking its best daily session in a month after securing a solid base around the 140 number.

The time has finally come for the Fed to make a crucial decision between a 25bps or a 50bps rate cut today at 18:00 GMT and the pair seems to have completed a bullish dragonfly candlestick pattern. Following a steep downward trend from a 38-year high of 161.94, the price might again push for some recovery, especially if the central bank announces a normal 25bps reduction.

Nevertheless, previous bullish endeavors were unable to surpass the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 143.55, and additional obstacles may arise at the 145.00 trendline region prior to the 50-day EMA at 147.25.

Despite a slight improvement in technical indicators, downside risks persist as the RSI remains deep in bearish territory. Nonetheless, only a close below the 140.00 floor could bolster selling forces towards the 137.00-137.80 trendline zone. There are two more constraining lines to the downside, passing through 135.60 and 134.00. Falling lower, the pair might next stop near 133.00.

In short, USDJPY may be preparing for its next consolidation or bullish phase, but it’s unknown if it will successfully break above the 20-day EMA and exceed 145.00.

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ADVERTENCIA DE ALTO RIESGO: El comercio de divisas implica un alto nivel de riesgo que puede no ser adecuado para todos los inversores. El efecto de apalancamiento crea un riesgo adicional y una exposición a las pérdidas. Antes de decidirse a operar con divisas, considere cuidadosamente sus objetivos de inversión, su nivel de experiencia y su tolerancia al riesgo. Podría perder una parte o la totalidad de su inversión inicial. No invierta dinero que no puede permitirse perder. Infórmese sobre los riesgos asociados al trading de divisas y pida consejo a un asesor financiero o fiscal independiente si tiene alguna duda. Todos los datos y la información se proporcionan "tal cual" con fines informativos únicamente y no están destinados a fines comerciales o de recomendación. Los resultados pasados no son indicativos de los resultados futuros.