GER40 Analysis: Germany’s economic expansion is imminent

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the GER40 for MAR 18, 2025.

Fundamental Analysis of GER40GER40 Key Takeaways

  • German economic expansion is imminent: On March 18, local time, the German Bundestag passed a 100 billion euro fiscal plan with a majority of more than two-thirds. The next step is to obtain approval from the Bundesrat on March 21. The Union Party, the Social Democratic Party and the Green Party have basically obtained enough votes in the Senate, but further negotiations are still needed on some details.
  • Speech by the President of the European Commission: European Commission President von der Leyen delivered a speech on European defense. She said that by 2030, Europe must have a strong European defense posture, and the security architecture that the EU relies on can no longer be taken for granted.
  • Ultima Markets Elon: This is a landmark fiscal spending plan, a major step towards providing hundreds of billions of euros in debt financing for Germany’s defense and infrastructure. It will largely release defense spending by relaxing debt restrictions, and also announce the end of the country’s decades of fiscal austerity.

Technical Analysis of GER40 Daily and Hourly ChartsGER40 Daily Chart Insights

(GER40 Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

  • Stochastic oscillator: The fast line of the indicator crosses the slow line below the 50 median line, sending a bullish signal, clarifying the bullish rise in the market price trend.
  • Adjustment may be in place: The DAX closed with a cross star after approaching the Fibonacci 1.382 extension level last Tuesday, which is the adjustment target price of the extended platform type in the wave theory. The sharp rise last Friday reversed the downward trend. It is currently close to the historical high, and it is under pressure in the short term, but it is a high probability event to continue to rise in the long term.

GER40 H1 Chart Analysis

(GER40 H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

  • Stochastic oscillator: The indicator and the market price form a top divergence pattern, suggesting that the short-term market price will fluctuate and adjust for a period of time. Be alert to the exchange rate
  • The lower support: The market price has confirmed the strong bulls after accelerating the breakthrough of the upward channel. Based on the current logic of adjustment, continue to pay attention to whether there are opportunities to enter the market with the lower channel line and the retracement price.

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