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JBLMark
3 reasons suggest that gold is overvalued
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Jul 15, 2020 at 05:25
1.In terms of real interest rates, short-term gold is a bit pricey.The last time gold traded at $1,800, at the end of 2011, real interest rates in the United States were -2% (two-year Treasury bonds -- core CPI). Now they are about -1.5%.Based on the real interest rate traded on two-year TIPS, it was also -2% in 2011 and is now -0.9%. With gold still around $1,800, it is overvalued in the short term.2.Holdings in gold etfs have reached an all-time high of more than 1m ounces. Its market capitalisation now amounts to 2% of the Fed's existing assets. That level, even taking into account the ...
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