psaTrading's Posts - Page 33

Trading Journal in New Traders May 06, 2015 at 12:13

European equities rebound and trade with modest gains after the sharp losses from yesterday. The Greek situation has taken quite confusing and sometimes contradictory contours. On the one hand, European Commission sources said that since the new leader was appointed to the Greek talks with Brussels Group, negotiations registered some progress although they remain some obstacles at the level of pension reform and labor market. But then, Finance Minister German proves skeptical about an agreement at the next meeting of the Eurogroup (11th). Today, Bloomberg reports that the Greek negotiators acc...

Trading Journal in New Traders May 05, 2015 at 10:51

European stocks are advancing for a second day as companies including UBS Group AG and Adidas AG posted better-than-estimated results. The situation in Greece as well as the British election, are the main unknowns at this stage. However, a European Commission spokesman said yesterday that the resumption of negotiations with Greece has been “constructive”, being held in an “intense” way. According to the source the way to an agreement is still long but can be covered up to May 11, the day which will be held the next meeting of the Eurogroup.

Trading Journal in New Traders May 04, 2015 at 11:08

European equities are technically rebounding from last week losses. The volume of the session should be lower due to the holiday in the London Stock Exchange. The evolution of the Euro will be guiding European equity markets. Last week, the strong appreciation of the Euro was the strongest reason for the fall of the main European indexes. The devaluation of the European currency was in the last 12 months, one of the main drivers of the sharp appreciation of European equities. The injection of liquidity by the ECB further strengthened this downward trend of the euro, benefiting European exporte...

Trading Journal in New Traders May 03, 2015 at 22:12

Greece and its creditors remain apart on key elements of the country’s bailout agenda even as they work to bridge differences in a bid to avert a default as early as this month.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 30, 2015 at 12:53

The EURUSD broke the last month consolidation range (1.05-1.105), favored by weak growth in the US economy. The devaluation of the Euro had been a major catalyst which drove the rally of the European markets. Technically, the movement of the Euro yesterday is positive for the European currency, can not be excluded additional short-term gains. If this materializes, should assist to an overperformance of the mining and petroleum sectors (the fall of the dollar benefits commodities), while the more cyclical sectors and exporters (automotive, industrial, etc.) should register a underperformance. I...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 29, 2015 at 22:14

The decline of the dollar against the euro after a report that showed the U.S. economy barely expanded in the first quarter induced European stocks to tumble the most since December.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 28, 2015 at 12:12

The situation in Greece will continue to be a source of volatility. Yesterday when it was reported that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras had carried out a reshuffle of the team is in talks with Brussels Group (IMF / EU / ECB) European markets reversed the initial negative trend, recovering about 1% in less than one hour. Even the Greek yields suffering an increase (because of the Eurogroup meeting outcome) reversed this pattern, ending the day lower. The government in Athens announced that the coordination of negotiations will be delivered to number two in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Euclid ...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 27, 2015 at 10:46

he main stock indexes should trade today under the influence of two opposite factors. The first, positive, is the good performance of US markets. The second is negative, and is related to the situation in Greece. Although almost no one was waiting for an agreement at the meeting of the Eurogroup on Friday, the point is that the few steps forward to bridge the gap between Greece and its European partners still appear insufficient. Interestingly, with the exception of the Greek Minister of Finance, several European leaders at the press conference following the meeting gave greater emphasis on di...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 24, 2015 at 13:52

In recent weeks, Greek officials have been shown to be optimistic about an agreement, but some members such as Germany, Finland, among others, are skeptical because of some ground gained in the last three months. However, yesterday’s statements by German Chancellor Angela Merkel (who said he had a constructive meeting with Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras), may serve to mitigate some differences within the Eurozone. The next meeting of the Eurogroup will take place on 11 May, which will function as a reference date for the financial markets.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 23, 2015 at 19:03

Starts today in Riga the Council of Europe. The main theme of this event will be the situation in the Mediterranean. However, it is not excluded that behind the scenes is discussed the situation in Greece. With regard to Greece, this event is of a more political character and serves as a prelude to tomorrow’s Eurogroup meeting, which takes a more technical nature. Most of the actors in these two events do not anticipate that an agreement is reached but expect at least that the talks give some steps forward.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 22, 2015 at 11:52

The situation in Greece continues to condition the equity markets. Yesterday was enough the rumor that the ECB might change its position in relation to Greek banks for which the respective shares lost 5% and the DAX back off nearly 1% in a few minutes. A rumor circulated in the market that the ECB could cut the line of emergency liquidity to Greek banks and simultaneously make a haircut to their guarantees. In addition, the situation of the Greek public accounts assume confused contours, as a representative of the European Commission stated that it is not known how much liquidity is available ...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 21, 2015 at 10:30

European stocks initiated the session extending yesterday’s recovery. Investors will respond to the results of Credit Suisse, ARM Holdings and SAP. The Swiss bank reported a quarterly profit growth of 23% (1050 M.CHF), surpassing analysts’ expectations of 1030 M.USD, in that, among the various activities of Credit Suisse, the good performance of the financial assets trading unit was highlighted. The German SAP announced that the operating income in the 1st quarter reached 1060 M. €, roughly in line with the 1070 M. € anticipated. Revenues totaled the 4500 M. €, above...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 20, 2015 at 14:07

European stocks technically recover from the last week falls. Last week, European markets had one of the worst weekly performance this year. The reasons for this fall are essentially three. The first is the decline of the dollar, which had been the main catalyst for the rally of some indexes such as the DAX, which includes several export companies. The European currency has been favored by the weak US economic data, with the perception that the rise in interest rates in the US is not imminent and some factors of a more technical nature (the fall of the Euro has reached extreme levels and not o...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 17, 2015 at 10:50

The situation in Greece has been receiving increased attention not only in the financial markets but also in the press. Last Tuesday, Standard & Poor’s lowered the rating of Greece from B- to CCC + (speculative grade or junk), citing the deteriorating economy and public accounts due to ongoing talks with its European partners. The growing nervousness expressed by the financial markets has not been uniform. While stocks and Greek bonds have been penalized and European equities as a whole have been retreating, the obligations of State of the countries of southern Europe have remain...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 16, 2015 at 13:12

Oil shares have benefited from the recovery of crude oil, which is explained by the interruption of the rise of the dollar against major currencies, the closure of vendors positions by several hedge funds and some evidence that the increase in supply may not be as consistent as previously anticipated. In addition, yesterday the US Department of Energy reported that the oil reserves of the country increased by only 1.3 million barrels instead of 3.21 million estimated.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 15, 2015 at 13:29

Investors will continue to monitor the situation in Greece, which in recent days has been the scene of various news and contradictory rumors.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 14, 2015 at 12:18

After 3 consecutive rising days American indexes closed with contained losses. Investors adopted a more cautious attitude towards the intensification of the earnings season. Today begins the earnings season for the banking sector, which is always a important for the market. This cautious attitude of investors also led to a lower volume average. Sales reached most sectors, particularly the most active in recent days. The oil sector fell 1% after the gains from the acquisition of BG Group by Shell and the rise of crude oil price. Another sector that has excelled is the utilities that yesterday c...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 13, 2015 at 15:42

With the acquisition of BG Group by Shell to increase expectations of more mergers and acquisitions in the oil sector. Despite the drop in crude oil price in recent months, the oil sector has several opportunities especially for larger companies who have accumulated enough liquidity in recent years. Thus, rather than increase investment as they had planned before the abrupt oil fall, some of the largest companies in the sector have preferred to acquire smaller companies, thereby not only gain market share as synergies.

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 10, 2015 at 10:31

With the absence of relevant economic indicators, today investors should focus attention on business news. This week has been characterized by news of business consolidation movements as well as the depreciation of the Euro, which yesterday has reached the minimum against the dollar since March 19th. The presentation schedule of business results is now being filled, although the earnings season in the US traditionally start earlier. The retail sector will call attention on the day after the Carrefour have presented figures on better sales than estimates, due to growth in Latin America and to t...

Trading Journal in New Traders Apr 09, 2015 at 15:00

The minutes of the last meeting of the Fed revealed that there was a recognition of global economic risks and an early weakest year in economic terms. However, in a comprehensive way the members of the Federal Reserve remain confident that the economic recovery will continue and give the necessary conditions for there to be a change in interest rates even in the year 2015.

EURUSD	1.13037	GBPUSD	1.32767	AUDUSD	0.64436
USDJPY	144.966	USDCAD	1.38103	USDCHF	0.8268

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