psaTrading's Posts - Page 6

Trading Journal in New Traders Aug 17, 2017 at 09:58

During today's session, investors should react to the publication of the minutes of the last Fed meeting. On the other hand, while fears about tensions between North Korea and the US have softened, worries about the situation Politics in the US worsened after US President Donald Trump had closed two consultative bodies on economic matters yesterday in the face of the resignation of prominent businessmen on board.

Trading Journal in New Traders Aug 16, 2017 at 10:10

The minutes of the last meeting of the FED, held on 25 and 26 July, will be published today. In this event, the Federal Reserve kept the fed-funds interest rate range unchanged at 1.00% -1.25% and signaled that the balance-sheet normalization process will soon begin. The first step will most likely be the reduction of asset purchases with the money coming from repayment of maturing bonds. To justify this decision is the positive view the FED has of the economy. With the economy operating at full employment, with the creation of jobs being labeled “solid” even with the 4.40% unemplo...

Trading Journal in New Traders Aug 15, 2017 at 13:42

The lowering of the risk of a US-North Korean military conflict has restored some confidence to European markets that have started the week with significant gains, recovering from last week's losses.

Trading Journal in New Traders Aug 15, 2017 at 06:43

According to the latest news, Secretary of State for Defense Jim Mattis and US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will have reported that the Trump Administration continues to seek diplomatic resolutions with Pyongyang. Still, investors should continue to monitor developments in relation to the situation on the Korean Peninsula.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 30, 2017 at 07:15

Without any news, the Fed meeting turned out to be a painless event, allowing investors to focus on the other issue of the moment: the earnings season. In this chapter, the news has been favorable, with the vast majority of companies reporting numbers that beat forecasts.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 27, 2017 at 08:40

After giving some signs of correction yesterday, the Fed's statement, which fits sharply in investors' expectations, boosted the common currency. Generally, when a given event fits investors' expectations, there is a tendency for financial markets to continue, at least in the short term, the underlying trend. This pattern is different from that in which the market expects a favorable factor or event and reacts in advance, so-called buy on rumors sell on facts.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 27, 2017 at 06:29

Asian markets closed without a common trend, though prudence over today’s Fed meeting has dominated investor sentiment. The Nikkei closed with gains near 0.50%, favored by the devaluation of the Yen against the Dollar.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 25, 2017 at 14:51

In the pre-opening, the European indices traded without great variations. The Euro was trading at a slight rise, which should exert pressure on European markets. Yesterday, it should be noted that 10-year German yields were trading again at levels below 0.50%. Now, if German yields remain below 0.50%, the odds, from a technical point of view, of a yield decline are higher than a rise. With regard to the Euro, the most relevant is not so much the German interest rates, but its comparison with the American ones. While the decline in US yields is more pronounced than that of the German bunds, the...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 25, 2017 at 06:29

Last friday US indices closed without major swings. American investors have shown little permeability to the strong devaluations observed in Europe. The reason for such resilience is that the strength of the Euro (dollar weakness) detracts from European companies' competitiveness but adds to American companies. Perhaps the American indices would have been able to prolong this week's rally if General Electric's results had not been badly received by the market. Given the relevance of GE in the American industry and in the global economy, the devaluation of its stock had a direct imp...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 23, 2017 at 06:37

European markets ended on a downward trajectory, due to the continued appreciation of the Euro and some business results that disappointed the market. The Euro appreciated about 0.20% against the Dollar, a day after Mario Draghi alluded to expectations regarding inflation and the potential end of the asset program. In fact, Mario Draghi pointed to the existence of plans to begin the discussion regarding the gradual reduction of the program of quantitative easing already next autumn. In terms of business, the car sector was among the worst performers, given some published results. On a counter-...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 20, 2017 at 07:37

In the pre-opening, the European indices traded with modest gains. The morning will be based on expectations of the ECB. At today's meeting of this institution, investors will try to find clues as to when this institution will start the process of normalizing its monetary policy. This standardization should be based on the progressive reduction of the asset purchase program and the gradual rise in interest rates.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 19, 2017 at 11:22

In the pre-opening, the European indices traded with modest gains. Under normal conditions, the good performance of the Nasdaq would be enough to drive European markets more decisively, but at the present stage the strength of the Euro represents a permanent obstacle to the Stocks of the Old Continent. Yesterday, the common currency approached 1.16, penalizing European markets and especially German, which historically has a greater correlation with the European currency due to the weight of the export sector in the index. Investors will now monitor the ECB's meeting tomorrow and the long-t...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 19, 2017 at 06:46

European markets closed lower due to the behavior of the Euro against the Dollar and some business results. In fact, the Euro reached the maximum since May 2016 against the US Dollar, which harmed the European export sector, such as industrial companies and car manufacturers.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 17, 2017 at 09:58

In the pre-opening, the European indices traded with some gains. In an early stage, the good performance of Wall Street should boost European markets. However, this momentum should be limited by the strength of the Euro. At a time when the Euro appreciates sharply against the US dollar, European markets tend to underperformance with their US counterparts. Despite the dynamism of domestic consumption and investment, European companies continue to have high exposure to external markets. In these economies, many of them going through a less dynamic phase (such as China and on a larger scale to Br...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 14, 2017 at 10:04

In the pre-opening, the indices of the Old Continent did not show a definite trend. Today's session should be divided into two parts. The first, in the morning, should be characterized by some tranquility with investors following the trend of state yields. The second part of the session will begin with the publication of the results of US banks and the spread of inflation in the US. The latter figure is expected to have an impact on European yields and consequently on the stocks of the Old Continent. Debt markets are highly interdependent, so an increase in yields in the US (if the consume...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 14, 2017 at 09:49

The effects of Janet Yellen’s words continued until the opening of the European session, which was moderately positive. If European equities could continue to benefit from the greater risk appetite of investors, this effect seems to have faded in the debt market. Following yesterday’s intervention by Janet Yellen, European bond yields, as well as their US counterparts, fell back. However, a part of this retreat was lost in the first minutes of today’s session. While German yields remain at levels above 0.50%, investors will continue to monitor, with concern, the behavior of i...

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 12, 2017 at 11:02

In the pre-opening, the European indices traded with contained variations. Although the sentiment is relatively neutral, signals from the debt market are somewhat worrisome. German bond yields were trading above 0.60%, prolonging the rise initiated after the break of the 0.50% technical barrier. Now, institutional investors are carefully monitoring Italian 10-year yields, which trade today at 2.29%.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 12, 2017 at 06:20

The debt market has been driven by a rise in state yields, caused by the words of the Fed and ECB members. Interestingly, at this stage of the market, European yields seem to be influencing American ones, not the other way round, as is usually the case.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 11, 2017 at 06:33

Positive signs given by the US employment report boosted Asian indices. The US and US consumers are important customers of the Asian economies' exports, so the employment report has a direct and relevant impact on the respective exchanges.

Trading Journal in New Traders Jul 09, 2017 at 07:15

Asian markets closed with contained losses, with the exception of the Shanghai stock exchange which ended in a slight rise. The fall of oil and the rise in yields were the themes of the session. In Japan, news circulated that the Central Bank intervened in the debt market, acquiring bonds, in order to halt the sharp rise in yields.

EURUSD	1.12817	GBPUSD	1.32679	AUDUSD	0.63745
USDJPY	145.519	USDCAD	1.38601	USDCHF	0.83152

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