Is it Trump Tweet Market manipulation ?

I think so, because one day he says a strong dollar is good and another day he says the opposite, but not any time, just at the right time and every time it makes a lot of moving the market has against sense. it's very easy for him to get on the market before and send his tweet after and every time jack pot for him (and his friends)

It’s possible; but not always! This is why, we traders need to follow these kind of personalities on social medias.

Yes, sometimes, posts and replies of some influenced politics can affect the market. this trend depends on the market participants' psychology condition.

Sure. market is predictable at least to some point. Trump is not.
I got Trumped more times beginning his election...

Every politician can have an effect on the market. You shouldn't worry about it if you know where you're entering and exiting the market before you're even in. That's what SL is for.

jsa1742 posted:
Every politician can have an effect on the market. You shouldn't worry about it if you know where you're entering and exiting the market before you're even in. That's what SL is for.

Exactly, this is why we all need to use the SL according to our analysis! And again, there nothing like 100% in Forex, it’s all about probabilities.

You know it's a market manipulation when the market is affected by the tweet.
Which is the case with Elon Musk's 'going private at 420' tweet.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/sep/29/elon-musk-tesla-40m-sec-case-tweets
Not sure about how much Trump's tweets affect anything anymore... There's just too much BS rolling out of that one.

estraub posted:
You know it's a market manipulation when the market is affected by the tweet.
Which is the case with Elon Musk's 'going private at 420' tweet.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/sep/29/elon-musk-tesla-40m-sec-case-tweets
Not sure about how much Trump's tweets affect anything anymore... There's just too much BS rolling out of that one.

he was heavily fined for that.

I bet that the banks have algos purely looking at trump tweets and trading FX and equities based on what they say. If they don't I'm going to write one...!

This really isn't a 'fair' question. Market manipulation implies that there is some wrong doing or something shady going on. If Trump had been shy and reserved his entire life and just started tweeting after he was in office then I think we should be suspicious. But he is who he is. His tweets are annoying at times, when you're on the wrong side of the move. Sometimes you get the benefit of the tweet. And, quite predictably when the market moves strongly in one direction based on a tweet it nearly always comes back before the close of the trading day. So in this sense his market moving tweets have provided great opportunities to fade the news reaction.

In the same sense Draghi has been making comments that have moved GBP significantly over the last 2 to 3 weeks.

News from any political figure can move the markets. This is not new. Sometimes a market will make a wild move out of nowhere for seemingly no reason at all. Markets are by in large pretty random on unpredictable, there are very few points where we can predict what is LIKELY to happen. This is where we trade and this is where our edge comes from. You have to learn to accept and live with that. Trump tweets are just part of that.

togr posted:

he was heavily fined for that.

That he was. By this day I think that's the most expensive tweet in the world.

Two things led us to connect Trumps tweets with stock market, rather than other indices. 30 American blue-chip companies, comprised of these price modules, are involved in companies around the world, and therefore their turn is taking over the entire government's global and domestic political platforms. This is also the equity benchmark that Trump often refers to in its tweets to the masses.

Trump is a businessman, so I cannot say that is not possible.... it is indeed possible

Edith1995 posted:
Trump is a businessman, so I cannot say that is not possible.... it is indeed possible

Yes it is! And, fundamental issue very much interrelated concern here! That’s why, no way to ignore it.

Why we talk about Trump only. Each famous person (politics person, actors, analysts ect.) can affect on the world market. When a lot of investors pay attention on some twit or post on facebook, they will make a conclusions. Their conclusion will affect the desisions they make on market. This is the simpliest chain of manipulating of the market.

Exactly one of the ways that central banks deliveratly manipulate currency prices is to make announcements about expected interest rate rises and whether they will support the currency etc.

ChillBro posted:
Exactly one of the ways that central banks deliveratly manipulate currency prices is to make announcements about expected interest rate rises and whether they will support the currency etc.

Interest rate is one of the most crucial issue; new traders should always take extra care on this issue; including the technical analysis based traders.

Trump for sure can do many many things with it's Tweets really and do not work here anyways;) But you know somebody says that Trump is totally and mentally ill by many many parameters here, thanks in advance for your question there;)

Nuadahuginn posted:
Trump for sure can do many many things with it's Tweets really and do not work here anyways;) But you know somebody says that Trump is totally and mentally ill by many many parameters here, thanks in advance for your question there;)

I don’t think, all tweets are effective; but major issues are always crucial! Since, he is the president of USA!