EBC Markets Briefing | It is time for ASX to justify its valuation

The ASX200 neared its record high on Friday, trading at over 18 times future earnings, about 11% higher than its 10-year average valuation.

The ASX200 flirted with its record high on Friday, trading at more than 18 times future earnings - a roughly 11% premium to its average valuation over the last decade.

Corporate Australia will release half-year earnings next week. While modest growth is expected, traders will scrutinise whether profits justify stretched valuations.

A miss to expectations threatens to tip companies off their high valuations. Financial stocks are primed for decent earnings growth as they benefit from high interest rates, UBS analysts said.

Aussie banks will see a "relatively benign reporting season" characterised by stable margins and solid credit growth, Citi analysts said. Elsewhere weakness in resources firms continues to be a drag on the market.

While analysts see value in the sector after a dismal performance last year, weak Chinese commodities demand and higher operating costs remain upsetting.

BHP has put takeover plans for the London-listed Anglo American on ice, according to people close to the company. Anglo’s copper assets are the rationale behind the bid as iron ore boom is fading.

Woodside Energy warned Australia faces an “acute” challenge in keeping its position as one of the world’s leading energy suppliers in the face of Trump’s push to increase fossil fuel output.

The benchmark stock index stayed bullish above 50 SMA. The resistance lies around 8,550, a break of which is needed to break the record.

EBC Financial Risk Management Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC Financial News or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Peraturan: FCA (UK), ASIC (Australia), CIMA (Cayman Islands)
read more
USDJPY, GBPUSD, Oil

USDJPY, GBPUSD, Oil

Fed policy meeting to leave rates on hold; Will USDJPY recover ground?; BoC to cut rates by 25bps; GBPUSD ticks up; OPEC+ speeds up increases; WTI opens with bearish gap
XM Group | 6j 35min yang lalu
US dollar fails to benefit from improved risk appetite

US dollar fails to benefit from improved risk appetite

A quiet start to the week, as key markets are closed; All eyes on S&P 500 after nine consecutive positive sessions; Aussie benefits from Labour’s win, climbs against the US dollar; Gold stabilizes, but oil suffers again from OPEC+ reports;
XM Group | 9j 7min yang lalu
Crypto market blows off steam

Crypto market blows off steam

Expert market comment made by Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Crypto market blows off steam
FxPro | 9j 11min yang lalu
EUR/USD tests key support in bid for upside

EUR/USD tests key support in bid for upside

EUR/USD meets familiar support and returns above 1.1300. Technical Signals don’t yet confirm a meaningful rally. Sellers may stay on the sidelines until price falls below 1.1200.
XM Group | 9j 53min yang lalu
ATFX Economic Calendar- 2025.05.05~2025.05.09

ATFX Economic Calendar- 2025.05.05~2025.05.09

The ATFX Weekly Economic Calendar is a comprehensive resource designed to help traders and investors stay ahead of market-moving events. It outlines key economic data releases, central bank meetings, speeches, and geopolitical events for the week. This calendar provides a strategic tool for navigating global markets, offering insights into potential volatility triggers across multiple asset.
ATFX | 14j 30min yang lalu
ATFX Market Outlook 5th May 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 5th May 2025

Last Friday, the April Nonfarm Payrolls report in the U.S. surpassed expectations, indicating a resilient labor market. However, signs of slowing economic momentum, such as a contraction in Q1 GDP and rising jobless claims, raised concerns about a broader slowdown.
ATFX | 14j 43min yang lalu